Welcome! With prediction markets going mainstream, we're retooling everything around a simple idea: you don't have to pick winners to make money. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning — you profit without needing to pick the winner. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.
We're building one-click trade execution straight to your Polymarket/Kalshi account — reply if you want early access.
Player Prop Picks
Giancarlo Stanton OVER 0.5 Hits
Stanton is clearing 0.5+ hits in 80% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 0.9 H/G at Yankee Stadium over his career. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Starling Marte OVER 0.5 Hits
Marte is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.8 H/G at Kauffman Stadium over his career. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Hits
Arenado is clearing 0.5+ hits in 64–67% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 0.8 H/G at Citi Field over his career. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Best Buys
Reds at Marlins · 12:10p ET
Buy at 53¢ or lower. IE true odds are ~62%. Target a sell at 66¢ or hold through.
Lowder owns the lowest strike rate when behind in the count among qualified starters (51%). Meyer throws his slider 62% of the time when behind — highest in MLB — and opponents bat .301 against his non-fastballs (third-worst). Both starters leak contact in hitter's counts, and IE's over-8 confidence sits at 62%.
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Athletics at Yankees · 1:35p ET
Buy at 46¢ or lower. IE true odds are ~53%. Target a sell at 57¢ or hold through.
Judge slugged .498 on non-fastballs last season (15th-best) and Springs throws off-speed 52% of the time (9th-highest among qualified SPs). Jazz Chisholm has a 32% miss rate on outside fastballs and Springs locates away 68% with two strikes — highest in MLB. 62% of Grisham's Ks are looking, and 56% of Springs' Ks are looking. Lots of zone-edge chess, lots of damage when contact lands.
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Tigers at Twins · 1:40p ET
Buy at 48¢ or lower. IE true odds are ~53%. Target a sell at 57¢ or hold through.
Flaherty locates his fastball down 40% of the time (11th-highest) and throws low pitches 65% against right-handers (highest in MLB). Buxton strikes out 27% of PAs and has the worst miss rate on fastballs down in the league. Flaherty's breaking-ball usage reaches 44–49% in key counts. IE's under-8 confidence is 53% — the extra half-run at 8.5 adds cushion.
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Moneyline vs White Sox · 7:40p ET
IE true odds are 62.5% and market is at 63¢. Fairly priced. Buy & hold at 62¢ or lower.
Lugo has posted a 69% strike rate (5th-highest among qualified SPs) and allowed just a .111 OBP the first time through the order (tied-4th-best). He throws 56% of pitches in the zone versus lefties (tied-2nd-highest). Chicago's Sosa and Vargas struggle on breaking pitches, and Lugo leans on his curve heavily. No edge at current price, but dominant matchup if it dips.
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Moneyline vs Rockies · 9:40p ET
IE true odds are 61.6% but market is at 64¢. Wait for a dip to 60¢ or lower before buying.
Vasquez has limited right-handed batters to a .143 SLG this season (tied-7th-best). Jordan Beck is slugging just .120 (10th-worst). Colorado's contact-oriented approach meets a pitcher with a 16% miss rate — the lowest among qualifiers — making this a grind rather than a blowout. IE likes San Diego but the market's already there.
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Moneyline vs Athletics · 1:35p ET
IE true odds are 62.4% but market is at 67¢. Wait for a dip to 61¢ or lower before buying.
Yankees are 8-3 and the matchup favors them — Judge's power versus Springs' off-speed approach is volatile. But at 67¢ the market has overshot IE's 62.4% confidence. The total is where the value lives today (see Over 8.5 above). Patience on the moneyline.
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Moneyline vs Diamondbacks · 7:10p ET
IE true odds are 55.4% but market is at 61¢. Wait for a dip to 54¢ or lower before buying.
McLean has allowed just a .139 average and .229 OPS the first time through the order, but walks 37% of batters to three-ball counts (highest among qualified SPs). Rodriguez has allowed a .681 SLG to leadoff batters (2nd-highest) and opponents hit .301 on his non-fastballs. Lindor and Bichette own the matchup edges, but IE's 55.4% is well below the market — too rich at 61¢.
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All Games
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN @ MIA | 12:10p | MIA 53¢ | CIN +1.5 @ 64¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ |
| ATH @ NYY | 1:35p | NYY 67¢ | ATH +1.5 @ 51¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| DET @ MIN | 1:40p | DET 55¢ | DET -1.5 @ 42¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ @ NYM | 7:10p | NYM 61¢ | AZ +1.5 @ 59¢ | 7.5 · O 45¢ |
| CWS @ KC | 7:40p | KC 63¢ | CWS +1.5 @ 54¢ | 9.5 · O 47¢ |
| COL @ SD | 9:40p | SD 64¢ | COL +1.5 @ 54¢ | 8.5 · O 45¢ |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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Best Games to Live Trade
The 4-7 Athletics send Jeffrey Springs against Ryan Weathers and the 8-3 Yankees. Springs is a crafty lefty who gets better as the game goes on — hitters batted just .181 against him the third time through last season — and he attacks with his slider when behind (41%, 2nd-highest among SPs). Weathers is hittable early (.533 SLG allowed first time through) and leaks too much with two strikes. The bullpen gap is massive: Oakland's pen has the worst OBP allowed in baseball and a 9.20 ERA at home, while New York's relievers lead MLB with a 55% two-strike K rate.
» Buy NYY at 66¢ or lower — if Springs shuts down early innings and the line dips, that's your entry. Once Oakland goes to the pen, price should climb, sell there or hold through.
Colorado sends lefty Brennan Bernardino to Petco against righty Randy Vasquez and the Padres. Vasquez is a ground-ball machine — 69% rate against righties (2nd-highest among SPs) — and punishes first-pitch aggression (.227 opponent avg on pitch one). Colorado's offense has been the weakest early-game group in the NL, scoring the fewest runs through five innings since 2024. San Diego crushes left-handed pitching — lowest K rate in baseball against lefties (18%) — and Machado, Merrill, and Laureano all feast on the curveball that Bernardino throws 31% of the time.
» Buy SD at 63¢ or lower — Vasquez should keep Colorado quiet through five, and if the Padres lead at that point, price climbs. Sell there or hold through: San Diego's pen allows just .614 OPS vs. righties (best in MLB) and strikes out 47% of two-strike hitters. Don't chase if Colorado leads early — their pen walks very few (5%, 2nd-best) and could keep it close.
Player Trends
🔥 Kyle Schwarber has a 10-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 29th.
🔥 George Springer has a 11-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 28th.
🔥 Matt Wallner has a five-game hit streak, starting on April 4th.
🧊 Rafael Marchan is hitless in his last 13 ABs dating back to March 30th.
🧊 Heliot Ramos has no extra-base-hits in his last 42 at-bats.
🧊 Julio Rodriguez has no extra-base-hits in his last 52 at-bats.
Fantasy Picks
Josh Bell · MIN · 1B · vs Jack Flaherty
Bell has an OPS of .935 in 78 AB's against right-handers who depend on the fastball like Flaherty over the last 2 seasons.
Francisco Lindor · NYM · SS · vs Eduardo Rodriguez
Lindor is slugging .535 in his last 48 PA's against bottom tier left-handers like Rodriguez over the last 2 seasons.
Bo Bichette · NYM · SS · vs Eduardo Rodriguez
Bichette has taken Rodriguez deep 2 times in his last 14 PA's against him.