Welcome! With prediction markets, you don't have to pick winners to make money. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning — you profit without needing to pick the winner. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.
Player Prop Picks
Jose Altuve OVER 0.5 Hits
Altuve is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67–69% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.2 H/G at T-Mobile Park over his career. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Trevor Story OVER 0.5 Hits
Story is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 0.8 H/G at Busch Stadium over his career. All 4 reasons favor the over.
George Springer UNDER 1.5 Hits
Springer is clearing 1.5+ hits in just 8–17% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.0 H/G at Rogers Centre over his career. All 4 reasons favor the under.
Best Buys
White Sox at Royals · 7:40p ET
Buy at 46¢ or lower. Inside Edge true odds are ~62% (over 8). Target a sell at 60¢ or hold through.
Widest gap on the board. Chicago is 36-201 since 2024 when scoring four or fewer — they need runs to have a pulse, and Martin's contact-heavy profile invites them. Kansas City closes games at an absurd clip (78-1 entering the ninth since 2025). Both sides push runs across; the market at 47¢ hasn't caught on.
|
Moneyline vs Rangers · 10:10p ET
Buy at 67¢ or lower. Inside Edge true odds are ~69.7%. Target a sell at 73¢ or hold through.
Glasnow is suffocating with two strikes — .120 BA when ahead since 2024, .152 opponent average on non-fastballs. Rocker has upside but Texas has been vulnerable when tied late. Inside Edge's 69.7% is the highest confidence on the slate and the market is a few cents behind.
|
Diamondbacks at Phillies · 6:40p ET
Buy at 48¢ or lower. Inside Edge true odds are ~53% (over 8). Target a sell at 57¢ or hold through.
Six Inside Edge insights back this over. Phillies hitters slugged .448 vs. relievers last season (best in MLB) and Arizona allowed 1.7 runs per game in close-and-late situations (highest in MLB). Translation: both bullpens leak, and the late innings should be a run-scoring environment.
|
Moneyline vs Angels · 6:45p ET
Inside Edge true odds are 62.8% and market is at 62¢. Fairly priced. Buy & hold at 61¢ or lower.
Burns generates a 62% K rate on low non-fastballs and holds a .130 OBP with two strikes. Kochanowicz doesn't miss bats. The matchup is lopsided but the market already knows it — a penny or two of drift creates a clean entry.
|
Moneyline vs Diamondbacks · 6:40p ET
Inside Edge true odds are 61.7% and market is at 62¢. Fairly priced. Buy & hold at 60¢ or lower.
Luzardo has been elite vs. right-handers — 16 Ks, zero walks — and Philly is 169-37 since 2024 when holding opponents to four or fewer runs. Dominant matchup, but the market already reflects it. The over is where the value lives today (see Over 8.5 above).
|
Moneyline vs Rockies · 9:40p ET
Inside Edge true odds are 61.8% but market is at 64¢. Wait for a dip to 60¢ or lower before buying.
Six matchup advantages favor San Diego. Padres lefty hitters struck out just 17% vs. RHP since 2024 (lowest in MLB) and Rockies relievers allow a .275 opponent average (worst in MLB). Colorado can't get outs, but at 64¢ the market has already priced all of it in. Patience.
|
Marlins at Tigers · 6:40p ET
Inside Edge true odds are ~53% (over 8) and market is at 50¢ for 8.5. Buy & hold at 48¢ or lower.
Marlins hitters struck out just 20% last season (tied-fourth-lowest) and Tigers relievers matched that rate (second-lowest). Neither side misses bats — contact gets through, and runs follow. Thin edge after the half-run gap, so wait for 48¢ or below.
|
Tired of news that feels like noise?
Every day, 4.5 million readers turn to 1440 for their factual news fix. We sift through 100+ sources to bring you a complete summary of politics, global events, business, and culture — all in a brief 5-minute email. No spin. No slant. Just clarity.
All Games
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ CHC | 2:20p | CHC 58¢ | PIT +1.5 @ 60¢ | 7.5 · O 40¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ @ PHI | 6:40p | PHI 63¢ | AZ +1.5 @ 54¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ |
| MIA @ DET | 6:40p | DET 58¢ | MIA +1.5 @ 59¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ |
| LAA @ CIN | 6:45p | CIN 63¢ | LAA +1.5 @ 54¢ | 9.5 · O 43¢ |
| MIN @ TOR | 7:07p | TOR 57¢ | MIN +1.5 @ 60¢ | 9.5 · O 45¢ |
| NYY @ TB | 7:10p | NYY 57¢ | TB +1.5 @ 45¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| ATH @ NYM | 7:10p | NYM 59¢ | ATH +1.5 @ 59¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ |
| SF @ BAL | 7:15p | BAL 54¢ | SF +1.5 @ 64¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ |
| CLE @ ATL | 7:15p | ATL 56¢ | CLE +1.5 @ 62¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ |
| WSH @ MIL | 7:40p | MIL 66¢ | WSH +1.5 @ 52¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| CWS @ KC | 7:40p | KC 62¢ | CWS +1.5 @ 56¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| BOS @ STL | 8:15p | BOS 56¢ | STL +1.5 @ 44¢ | 7.5 · O 48¢ |
| COL @ SD | 9:40p | SD 64¢ | COL +1.5 @ 54¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| HOU @ SEA | 9:40p | SEA 56¢ | HOU +1.5 @ 62¢ | 7.5 · O 49¢ |
| TEX @ LAD | 10:10p | LAD 68¢ | TEX +1.5 @ 48¢ | 9.5 · O 43¢ |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
|
Best Games to Live Trade
San Francisco sends Landen Roupp to Camden Yards against Shane Baz and the Orioles. Roupp has been nearly unhittable early — opponents are grounding out at a 67% clip (highest among SPs) and chasing 46% of his two-strike pitches (4th-best in MLB). Left-handed batters have managed just a .153 OPS against him this season. Baz lives at the top of the zone — he elevates his fastball 61% of the time (highest among AL starters) — and that plays directly into San Francisco's biggest weakness: 41% of Giants strikeouts have come on 95+ mph fastballs, the highest rate in baseball. Baltimore's offense hasn't helped much either, posting just a .699 OPS last season (5th-lowest in AL), and the bullpen craters when behind in the count (.690 SLG allowed, 3rd-worst in MLB).
» Buy SF at 46¢ or lower — Roupp's ground-ball rate and chase numbers should neutralize Baltimore's lineup through five, and the Giants' pen induces double plays at the highest rate in MLB (12%) with a 49% groundball rate. Sell there or hold through: Caleb Kilian hasn't allowed a hit in 15 ABs, and Keaton Winn is generating a 42% miss rate. Don't chase if Baz is dealing early — his elevated heat matches up too well against Giants hitters to fade cheaply.
Arizona sends Mike Soroka to Citizens Bank Park against lefty Jesus Luzardo and the Phillies. Soroka is a first-time-through specialist — opponents hit just .181 against him the first time through the order (3rd-best in MLB) with an 18% line-drive rate last season (lowest in baseball). Luzardo generates whiffs at an elite clip — 31% miss rate since last season (3rd-best among qualified SPs) — but Arizona's lefty hitters are slugging .880 in lefty-lefty matchups this season, best in MLB, and Ketel Marte slugged .512 on off-speed pitches last season while Luzardo threw off-speed 56% of the time (4th-highest among SPs). Philadelphia's pen has been dominant on the road — 0.50 ERA this season, best in MLB — and the Phillies are 86-22 when allowing four or fewer runs since last season (.796, best in MLB).
» Buy PHI at 62¢ or lower — Luzardo's whiff rate should carry him through the early innings, and once Philly goes to the pen, Arizona's relief corps has allowed a .753 OPS since last season (3rd-worst in MLB) with just a 21% strikeout rate. Sell there or hold through: Philly's relievers are walking just 8% of 2-3-4 hitters. Don't chase if Soroka is carving early — his first-time-through numbers are elite, and the D-backs' 120 double plays grounded into since last season could stall rallies.
Player Trends
🔥 Kyle Schwarber has a 10-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 29th.
🔥 Taylor Ward has an 11-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 28th.
🔥 Jo Adell has a five-game hit streak, starting on April 4th.
🧊 Julio Rodriguez has no extra-base hits in his last 52 at-bats.
🧊 Yoan Moncada is hitless in his last 15 ABs dating back to April 3rd.
Fantasy Picks
Giancarlo Stanton · NYY · DH · vs Steven Matz
Stanton has taken Matz deep 2 times in his last 21 PA's against him.
Bobby Witt Jr. · KC · SS · vs Davis Martin
Witt Jr. is slugging .575 in his last 312 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Martin over the last 2 seasons.
Ketel Marte · ARI · 2B · vs Jesus Luzardo
Marte is slugging .769 in his last 87 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Luzardo over the last 2 seasons.
We're building one-click trade execution straight to your Polymarket/Kalshi account — reply if you want early access.