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Player Prop Picks

Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Hits
Arenado is hitting at a 70–83% clip for 0.5+ hits across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.0 H/G over the last week and 0.8 H/G on the season. His career mark at Citi Field is 0.8 H/G. All 6 reasons favor the over.

Matt Olson OVER 0.5 Hits
Olson is clearing 0.5+ hits in 83–86% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.1 H/G over the last week and 1.1 H/G on the season. His career mark at Angel Stadium is 0.8 H/G. All 6 reasons favor the over.

Christian Walker UNDER 1.5 Hits
Walker is clearing 1.5 hits in just 33% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. He's averaging 1.3 H/G over the last week and 1.3 H/G on the season. His career mark at Coors Field is 1.3 H/G. All 6 reasons favor the under.

More Player Props

Best Buys

Inside Edge x Monte Carmelo
Today's Plays
Wednesday, April 8 · Prices via Polymarket
Over 8.5
Mariners at Rangers · 2:35p ET
+21%
Buy at 41¢ or lower. IE true odds are 62%. Target a sell at 66¢ or hold through.
Gore has given up 43 home runs in early innings since 2023 (tied-10th-most) and 24 on 95-mph pitches. Seattle's Bryan Woo excels with two strikes (.398 OPS allowed, 8th-best), meaning if the Mariners get ahead, runs pile up on the Texas side while Seattle tacks on late.
Over 7.5
Diamondbacks at Mets · 4:10p ET
+9%
Buy at 49¢ or lower. IE true odds are ~58%. Target a sell at 62¢ or hold through.
Peterson locates fastballs away 46% of the time (9th-highest), and Corbin Carroll and Ketel Marte have thrived on away fastballs (.327 and .299 averages). Nelson has surrendered 25 home runs on 95-mph pitches (tied-11th-most). Both starters are hittable in the zones these lineups attack.
Baltimore
Moneyline vs White Sox · 2:10p ET
+2.6%
Buy at 59¢ or lower. IE true odds are 61.6%. Target a sell at 75¢+ or hold to $1.
Bradish has posted a .603 OPS allowed since 2023 (9th-best) and holds left-handed hitters to a .211 average. His breaking pitches limit opponents to a .168 average (9th-best). The White Sox have no clear path to generating consistent contact against his arsenal.
Houston
Moneyline vs Rockies · 3:10p ET
+1.1%
Buy at 59¢ or lower. IE true odds are 60.1%. Buy & hold through to $1.
Lorenzen has been vulnerable on first pitches (.406 opponent average, 10th-worst) and Yainer Diaz and Jose Altuve both swing aggressively at the first pitch (48% and 45% swing rates). Colorado strikes out more than any team in baseball (27% rate) and Houston's bullpen punches out hitters at 26%, highest among all relief corps.
Los Angeles
Moneyline vs Blue Jays · 3:07p ET
+0.1%
Buy at 61¢ or lower. IE true odds are 61.1%. Target a sell at 75¢+ or hold to $1.
Marquee pitching matchup of the day. Ohtani has slugged .611 on sliders and owns the most home runs on breaking pitches (52) and fastballs (62) since 2023. Cease throws his slider more than anyone (44%) and locates fastballs up 56% of the time — feeding directly into Ohtani's strengths. Thin edge but high-variance upside.
New York
Moneyline vs Athletics · 7:05p ET
−5.6%
IE true odds are 60.4% but market is at 66¢. Wait for a dip to 58¢ or lower before buying.
Severino has surrendered 36 home runs on 95-mph pitches (3rd-most) and holds a .293 RISP average allowed (14th-worst). Aaron Judge (29 HR on 95 since 2023, 3rd-most) powers the lineup, but the market has already priced in the mismatch. IE confidence favors the Yankees but the price is too rich — patience here.

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All Games

Wednesday, April 8 · 15 games · Prices in ¢ = implied win probability · Polymarket
Day
Game Time ML Spread O/U
SD @ PIT 12:35p PIT 51¢ SD -1.5 @ 35¢ 7.5 · O 45¢
KC @ CLE 1:10p KC 54¢ KC -1.5 @ 39¢ 7.5 · O 43¢
MIL @ BOS 1:35p BOS 55¢ MIL +1.5 @ 64¢ 8.5 · O 42¢
BAL @ CWS 2:10p BAL 59¢ BAL -1.5 @ 44¢ 7.5 · O 49¢
SEA @ TEX 2:35p SEA 54¢ SEA -1.5 @ 41¢ 8.5 · O 41¢
Afternoon
Game Time ML Spread O/U
LAD @ TOR 3:07p LAD 61¢ LAD -1.5 @ 48¢ 7.5 · O 50¢
HOU @ COL 3:10p HOU 59¢ HOU -1.5 @ 48¢ 12.5 · O 41¢
PHI @ SF 3:45p PHI 55¢ PHI -1.5 @ 42¢ 8.5 · O 49¢
STL @ WSH 4:05p STL 53¢ STL -1.5 @ 40¢ 8.5 · O 49¢
ATL @ LAA 4:07p ATL 54¢ ATL -1.5 @ 41¢ 8.5 · O 51¢
AZ @ NYM 4:10p NYM 57¢ AZ +1.5 @ 62¢ 7.5 · O 49¢
Evening
Game Time ML Spread O/U
CIN @ MIA 6:40p MIA 55¢ CIN +1.5 @ 64¢ 7.5 · O 49¢
CHC @ TB 6:40p TB 52¢ CHC -1.5 @ 36¢ 7.5 · O 54¢
ATH @ NYY 7:05p NYY 66¢ ATH +1.5 @ 50¢ 8.5 · O 46¢
DET @ MIN 7:40p DET 58¢ DET -1.5 @ 44¢ 8.5 · O 46¢
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US

Best Games to Live Trade

❝

Nola is striking out 57% of right-handed batters this season (best in MLB) and 50% of those Ks are looking (4th-highest) — he's generating a 34% chase rate (2nd-highest among SPs). But Mahle has a 1.72 ERA at home since 2025 (2nd-best in MLB) and holds lefties to a .535 OPS. The risk: Willy Adames has 22 HRs on breaking pitches since 2024 and Arraez is batting .335 on breakers from RHP — and Nola's curveball usage (32%) is 5th-highest in baseball.

» Buy PHI at 55¢ pregame. If Nola gets through 5 with a lead, price climbs to 70¢+. Sell there or hold through — Philly's pen allows a .230 groundball BA with RISP (3rd-best) and the Phillies lead MLB in late-inning runs per game (1.79). Don't chase if SF leads after 5 — Mahle is elite at home.

PHI @ SF
❝

Gray's slider gets chased out of the zone 48% of the time (highest among starters since 2023) and opponents hit .135 against it. He allows just .316 SLG first time through the order — lowest in MLB. Milwaukee's lineup lines up poorly: Bauers slugs .250 on breaking pitches from RHP (8th-worst) and 44% of Frelick's strikeouts last season were looking. Drohan has no Remarkable data, so expect high variance early from the Milwaukee side.

» Buy BOS at 55¢ pregame. If Gray gets through 4 with a lead, price should reach 70¢+. Sell there or hold through — Boston's pen allowed a .650 OPS vs. 2-3-4 hitters last season (best in MLB). Don't chase if Milwaukee leads early — their pen allows just .355 SLG since 2024 (3rd-best).

MIL @ BOS

Player Trends

🔥 Trea Turner has a eight-game hit streak, starting on March 30th -- tied with Gio Urshela, Ildemaro Vargas, Andy Pages, CJ Abrams, Cam Smith for the longest active streak among active MLB players.

🔥 Ben Rice has a 10-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on October 8th, 2025.

🧊 Yoan Moncada is hitless in his last 12 ABs dating back to April 3rd.

🧊 Jose Ramirez is hitless in his last 13 ABs dating back to April 5th.

Fantasy Picks

Jeremy Pena · HOU · SS · vs Michael Lorenzen
Pena is slugging .889 with 2 extra base hits in 9 AB's against Lorenzen.

Francisco Lindor · NYM · SS · vs Ryne Nelson
Lindor is slugging 1.100 with 3 extra base hits in 10 AB's against Nelson.

Kyle Tucker · LAD · RF · vs Dylan Cease
Tucker has an OPS of 1.034 in 18 AB's over the last 5 days.

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