Welcome! With prediction markets going mainstream, we're retooling everything around a simple idea: you don't have to pick winners to make money. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning — you profit without needing to pick the winner. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.

We're building one-click trade execution straight to your Polymarket/Kalshi account — reply if you want early access.

Player Prop Picks

Ryan O'Hearn OVER 0.5 Hits
O'Hearn is hitting at an 80–89% clip for 0.5+ hits across every timeframe — last 7 days, last 30, and 2025. He's averaging 1.0 H/G over the last week and 1.3 H/G on the season. His career mark at PNC Park is 1.1 H/G. All 6 reasons favor the over.

Trea Turner UNDER 1.5 Hits
Turner is clearing 1.5 hits in just 30–33% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2025. He's averaging just 0.6 H/G against Robbie Ray in his career and 1.1 H/G at Oracle Park. All 6 reasons favor the under.

Matt Chapman OVER 0.5 Hits
Chapman is clearing 0.5+ hits in 64–71% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2025. He's averaging 1.3 H/G over the last week and has a .9 H/G career mark at Oracle Park. All 6 reasons favor the over.

More Player Props

Best Buys

Inside Edge x Monte Carmelo
Today's Plays
Tuesday, April 7 · Prices via Polymarket
Over 6.5
Tigers at Twins · 7:40p ET
+7%
Buy at 51¢ or lower. IE true odds are 62%. Target a sell at 66¢ or hold through.
Skubal locates 41% of his fastballs inside, and Josh Bell crushes inside heat — a .500 hard-hit rate in that zone, tied for 11th-best in baseball. That matchup alone can fuel crooked innings even with Skubal's changeup shutting down the rest of the lineup.
Athletics
Moneyline vs Yankees · 7:05p ET
+5.9%
Buy at 32¢ or lower. IE true odds are 37.9%. Target a sell at 42¢ or hold to $1.
Schlittler throws nothing but 95-plus fastballs for the Yankees, but Oakland's Shea Langeliers slugs .598 on pitches at that velocity (6th-best in baseball). When the one trick a starter has lines up with a hitter's strength, the underdog becomes dangerous.
Atlanta
Moneyline vs Angels · 9:38p ET
+4.4%
Buy at 56¢ or lower. IE true odds are 60.4%. Target a sell at 75¢+ or hold to $1.
Kikuchi's slider-heavy approach (36% usage, 5th-highest among starters) is his best weapon, but Acuña slugs .602 on breaking balls from right-handers. When your opponent's go-to pitch feeds your best hitter's sweet spot, the lineup tilts your way.
Under 6.5
Padres at Pirates · 6:40p ET
+4%
Buy at 54¢ or lower. IE true odds are ~58%. Target a sell at 62¢ or hold through.
Skenes throws 95-plus on every pitch and his changeup allows just .126 slugging — best in baseball. Cronenworth, Bogaerts, and Tatis all struggle against hard velocity or changeups. On the other side, Pivetta's heavy breaking-ball mix attacks Oneil Cruz, who slugs just .295 on breaking pitches. Both starters line up perfectly against the opposing lineup's weakest spots.
Detroit
Moneyline vs Twins · 7:40p ET
+2.3%
Buy at 60¢ or lower. IE true odds are 62.3%. Target a sell at 78¢+ or hold to $1.
Skubal's changeup allows just .229 slugging (4th-best among starters) and it lines up directly against Minnesota's two biggest bats — Josh Bell slugs .234 on changeups and Brooks Lee slugs .224. The Twins have no clear path to scoring when that pitch is working.
Houston
Moneyline vs Rockies · 8:40p ET
+1.3%
Buy at 61¢ or lower. IE true odds are 62.3%. Buy & hold through to $1.
Colorado strikes out more than any team in baseball (27% rate) and Houston's bullpen punches out hitters at a 26% clip, highest among all relief corps. Opponents hit just .213 against Astros relievers with runners in scoring position. The mismatch compounds as the game goes on.

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All Games

Tuesday, April 7 · 15 games · Prices in ¢ = implied win probability · Polymarket
Afternoon
Game Time ML Spread O/U
KC @ CLE 1:10p CLE 52¢ KC -1.5 @ 34¢ 7.5 · O 36¢
BAL @ CWS 3:10p BAL 56¢ BAL -1.5 @ 42¢ 7.5 · O 43¢
AZ @ NYM 4:10p NYM 60¢ AZ +1.5 @ 60¢ 7.5 · O 43¢
Evening
Game Time ML Spread O/U
CIN @ MIA 6:40p MIA 55¢ CIN +1.5 @ 63¢ 7.5 · O 45¢
SD @ PIT 6:40p PIT 59¢ SD +1.5 @ 62¢ 6.5 · O 46¢
CHC @ TB 6:40p TB 55¢ CHC +1.5 @ 63¢ 7.5 · O 50¢
STL @ WSH 6:45p WSH 52¢ STL -1.5 @ 36¢ 7.5 · O 49¢
MIL @ BOS 6:45p BOS 59¢ MIL +1.5 @ 61¢ 7.5 · O 42¢
ATH @ NYY 7:05p NYY 68¢ ATH +1.5 @ 50¢ 8.5 · O 48¢
LAD @ TOR 7:07p LAD 58¢ LAD -1.5 @ 46¢ 7.5 · O 52¢
DET @ MIN 7:40p DET 60¢ DET -1.5 @ 45¢ 6.5 · O 51¢
Night
Game Time ML Spread O/U
SEA @ TEX 8:05p SEA 52¢ SEA -1.5 @ 38¢ 7.5 · O 48¢
HOU @ COL 8:40p HOU 61¢ HOU -1.5 @ 51¢ 10.5 · O 53¢
ATL @ LAA 9:38p ATL 56¢ ATL -1.5 @ 44¢ 8.5 · O 51¢
PHI @ SF 9:45p PHI 58¢ PHI -1.5 @ 44¢ 7.5 · O 43¢
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US

Best Games to Live Trade

❝

Sanchez's two-strike chase rate is the highest in MLB since 2023 (47%), and Philly's bullpen has a 0.00 ERA on the road this season. But Willy Adames has the most HRs on fastballs down since 2024 (14) — and Sanchez locates down more than anyone. Expect SF to hang around early before the pen slams the door.

» Buy PHI at 55¢ pregame. If Sanchez gets through 5 with a lead, price climbs to 70¢+. Sell there or hold through — Philly's pen should lock it down. Don't chase if SF leads after 5.

PHI @ SF
❝

Skenes posted a 1.77 ERA at home last season (tied for best in MLB) and holds opponents to a .126 AVG when ahead in the count. Pivetta is elite first time through the order (.471 OPS against), but Oneil Cruz — Pittsburgh's biggest bat — has the worst two-strike OPS in MLB since 2024 (.402) and Pivetta dominates lefties (.191 BAA).

» Buy PIT at 52¢ pregame on the Skenes home advantage. If Skenes is dealing through 5, price pushes to 70¢+. Sell above 70¢ or hold through for $1 — Pirate relievers have a 1.56 ERA in close-and-late this season.

SD @ PIT

Player Trends

🔥 Randy Arozarena has a five-game hit streak, starting on April 1st.

🔥 Freddie Freeman has a six-game hit streak, starting on March 31st.

🔥 Oneil Cruz has a six-game hit streak, starting on March 31st.

🧊 Konnor Griffin is hitless in his last 12 ABs dating back to April 3rd.

🧊 Julio Rodriguez has no extra-base-hits in his last 45 at-bats.

Fantasy Picks

Yordan Alvarez · HOU · LF · vs Kyle Freeland
Alvarez is slugging .760 in his last 29 PA's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Freeland over the last 2 seasons.

Matt Olson · ATL · 1B · vs Yusei Kikuchi
Olson has an OPS of .922 in 26 AB's against Kikuchi over the last 2 seasons.

James Wood · WSH · LF · vs Matthew Liberatore
Wood has an OPS of 1.088 in 16 AB's over the last 5 days.

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