Welcome! With prediction markets, you don't have to pick winners to make money. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning — you profit without needing to pick the winner. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.
Player Prop Picks
Giancarlo Stanton OVER 0.5 Hits
Stanton is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67–75% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 3 reasons favor the over.
Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Hits
Arenado is clearing 0.5+ hits in 58–60% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 3 reasons favor the over.
Marcell Ozuna UNDER 0.5 Hits
Ozuna is clearing 0.5+ hits in just 22–33% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 3 reasons favor the under.
Best Buys
Moneyline vs White Sox · 4:10p ET
Buy at 62¢ or lower, target sell at 70¢ — because Wacha is holding opponents to a .056 average the first time through the order and Chicago's road record is just .276 since 2024.
Inside Edge true odds: ~68%. Wacha's .043 slugging with two strikes is 2nd-best among qualifiers, and the White Sox post-loss mark (.281) compounds the road woes.
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Moneyline vs Rangers · 9:10p ET
Buy at 63¢ or lower, target sell at 70¢ — because the Dodgers are 10-3 overall and Leiter's OPS allowed jumps to .733 the second time through the order.
Inside Edge true odds: ~68%. Sheehan has walked zero 1-2-3 hitters and owns a 40% miss rate on inside fastballs (3rd-best) — LA controls late innings.
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Moneyline vs Pirates · 2:20p ET
Buy at 57¢ or lower, target sell at 64¢ — because Cabrera is holding opponents to a .059 average on low non-fastballs and the Cubs own the best first-inning scoring record in baseball since 2025.
Inside Edge true odds: ~62%. Cubs win at an .824 clip when scoring first — if they jump Ashcraft early, history favors them heavily.
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Moneyline vs Rays · 6:10p ET
Buy at 63¢ or lower, target sell at 69¢ — because Fried is limiting opponents to a .147 average this season and just .108 with two strikes.
Inside Edge true odds: ~67%. Fried also holds RHB to .170 slugging (6th-best) and leads in backdoor breaking-ball Ks. Yankees road success (.557 since 2025) tips the matchup.
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Moneyline vs Diamondbacks · 1:05p ET
Buy & hold at 54¢ or lower — because Pfaadt has allowed a .598 slugging to 2-3-4 hitters since last season and Philly's home record at Citizens Bank Park is .663 since 2024.
Inside Edge true odds: ~58%, market at 55¢. Pfaadt's slugging mark is the highest among qualified starters — clear venue edge, but thin margin.
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Moneyline vs Rockies · 8:40p ET
Buy & hold at 58¢ or lower — because Colorado is one of baseball's weakest road teams at .225 since 2025 and the Padres own a .629 home mark in the same span.
Inside Edge true odds: ~61%, market at 59¢. Colorado's overall record (.278 since 2025) is equally grim — a penny of drift creates the entry.
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Moneyline vs Cardinals · 7:15p ET
Buy & hold at 54¢ or lower — because Suarez owns a 0.71 ERA versus division opponents since 2025 and his low breaking ball allows just a 20% hard-hit rate (2nd-best).
Inside Edge true odds: ~57%, market at 55¢. Boston is 0-8 when trailing entering the 9th — if Suarez keeps them ahead, that number stays irrelevant.
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Moneyline vs Astros · 9:40p ET
Buy & hold at 56¢ or lower — because Castillo has generated 116 of 173 Ks on fastballs since 2025 (most among qualifiers) and McCullers has the 2nd-lowest first-pitch strike rate this season at 38%.
Inside Edge true odds: ~59%, market at 57¢. Houston excels when hitting 2 HR (.833 since 2025), but Castillo's heater makes that a tall order.
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All Games
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ @ PHI | 1:05p | PHI 55¢ | AZ +1.5 @ 62¢ | 8.5 · O 54¢ |
| MIA @ DET | 1:10p | DET 56¢ | MIA +1.5 @ 62¢ | 7.5 · O 47¢ |
| PIT @ CHC | 2:20p | CHC 58¢ | PIT +1.5 @ 63¢ | 6.5 · O 51¢ |
| MIN @ TOR | 3:07p | TOR 53¢ | MIN +1.5 @ 65¢ | 7.5 · O 54¢ |
| ATH @ NYM | 4:10p | NYM 60¢ | ATH +1.5 @ 59¢ | 8.5 · O 44¢ |
| LAA @ CIN | 4:10p | CIN 56¢ | LAA +1.5 @ 62¢ | 9.5 · O 45¢ |
| CWS @ KC | 4:10p | KC 64¢ | CWS +1.5 @ 54¢ | 9.5 · O 45¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY @ TB | 6:10p | NYY 63¢ | TB +1.5 @ 50¢ | 7.5 · O 49¢ |
| WSH @ MIL | 7:10p | MIL 62¢ | WSH +1.5 @ 56¢ | 8.5 · O 45¢ |
| BOS @ STL | 7:15p | BOS 55¢ | STL +1.5 @ 58¢ | 8.5 · O 43¢ |
| SF @ BAL | 7:15p | SF 51¢ | BAL +1.5 @ 61¢ | 7.5 · O 48¢ |
| CLE @ ATL | 7:15p | ATL 53¢ | CLE +1.5 @ 65¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ |
| COL @ SD | 8:40p | SD 60¢ | COL +1.5 @ 58¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ |
| TEX @ LAD | 9:10p | LAD 64¢ | TEX +1.5 @ 54¢ | 9.5 · O 41¢ |
| HOU @ SEA | 9:40p | SEA 58¢ | HOU +1.5 @ 60¢ | 7.5 · O 51¢ |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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Best Games to Live Trade
San Francisco sends Logan Webb to Camden Yards against Chris Bassitt and the Orioles. Webb's changeup dominates lefties — he throws it 38% of the time against them since 2023 (2nd-highest in MLB among starters) — and Bassitt can't get them out, with left-handed hitters batting .298 against him since 2024 (tied for 5th-worst among qualified starters) and Luis Arraez hitting .333 on low non-fastballs last season (best in MLB). The Giants' pen posted a 49% groundball rate last season (highest in MLB) with a 3.47 ERA (4th-best in MLB).
» Buy SF at 48¢ or lower — Giants hitters hammered 114 homers off starters last season (5th-most in NL), and Webb's 68% first-pitch strike rate (4th-highest among qualified SPs) should keep Baltimore's lineup short. Don't chase if Bassitt is dealing early — the Orioles are slugging .368 (5th-best in AL).
New York sends Max Fried to Tropicana Field against Nick Martinez and the Rays. Fried has been unhittable on the road — .114 slugging allowed this season (best in MLB among starters) — and he locates his fastball inside 40% of the time since 2024 (3rd-highest among qualified SPs), exploiting Junior Caminero's 23% miss rate on inside heat (14th-worst among qualified hitters). The Yankees worked three-ball counts against righties 22% of the time last season (highest in AL) with a 40% extra-base hit rate against them since last season (best in AL).
» Buy NYY at 62¢ or lower — Fried's backdoor breaking ball generated the most strikeouts of any qualified SP last season, and the Yankees' pen holds a 31% strikeout rate in righty-righty matchups (2nd-best in MLB). Don't chase if Martinez is carving early — the Rays are batting .292 in righty-righty matchups (2nd-best in MLB).
Player Trends
🔥 Bo Bichette has a 11-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 30th.
🔥 James Wood has an OPS of 1.397 over the past seven days (6 games) -- best in NL.
🔥 Nico Hoerner has a five-game hit streak, starting on April 5th.
🧊 Josh Naylor has no extra-base-hits in his last 56 at-bats.
🧊 Trevor Story has an OPS of just .362 over the past seven days (6 games) -- 4th lowest in AL.
🧊 Heliot Ramos has an OPS of just .300 over the past seven days (5 games) -- 5th lowest in NL.
Fantasy Picks
Bobby Witt Jr. · KC · SS · vs Erick Fedde
Witt Jr. is slugging .578 in his last 314 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Fedde over the last 2 seasons.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. · TOR · 1B · vs Joe Ryan
Guerrero Jr. is slugging .591 in his last 103 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Ryan over the last 2 seasons.
Bryce Harper · PHI · 1B · vs Brandon Pfaadt
Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 against left-handed batters with high ISOs like Harper over the last 2 years.
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