You don't have to pick winners to make money on prediction markets. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.
Player Prop Picks
Freddie Freeman OVER 0.5 Hits
Freeman is clearing 0.5+ hits in 73–83% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Jose Altuve OVER 0.5 Hits
Altuve is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67–69% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Trevor Story OVER 0.5 Hits
Story is clearing 0.5+ hits in 60–67% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2026. All 4 reasons favor the over.
Best Buys
Moneyline vs Nationals · 6:40p ET
Buy at 65¢ or lower, target sell at 70¢ — because Skenes has held opponents hitless the first time through the order and Pirates relief has allowed just 17 HR to LHB since 2025 (2nd fewest in MLB).
Inside Edge true odds: ~70%. Pittsburgh allows just 3.68 runs/game at home since 2025 (3rd best, league avg: 4.39) and owns a .357 home OBP this season — Cavalli faces a fortress.
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Moneyline vs Cardinals · 7:45p ET
Buy at 51¢ or lower, target sell at 57¢ — because Williams has posted a microscopic opponent batting average this season and his two-strike performance has been elite, while Liberatore's miss rates against RHH remain low.
Inside Edge true odds: ~57%. The market prices this as a coin flip, but Williams' second-time-through dominance and the pitching gap say otherwise — elevated walks this month are the lone flag.
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Moneyline vs Angels · 7:05p ET
Buy at 62¢ or lower, target sell at 67¢ — because Warren generates swings and misses on first-pitch fastballs and the Angels are just 18-19 (.486) as favorites since 2025.
Inside Edge true odds: ~66%. Kikuchi leans heavily on breaking pitches when behind in counts — Yankee bats exploit predictable pitch mixes in favorable counts.
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Moneyline vs Twins · 7:40p ET
Buy at 58¢ or lower, target sell at 63¢ — because Crochet allows near-zero slugging the second time through the order and carried a high strikeout rate with RISP last season.
Inside Edge true odds: ~63%. Ober has located his breaking pitches in the heart of the zone this season — a hittable approach against Boston's lineup. Crochet's second-time-through dominance seals the edge.
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Moneyline vs Cubs · 6:40p ET
Buy & hold at 61¢ or lower — because Sanchez has attacked the zone aggressively with his fastball and the Cubs are among baseball's poorest teams after wins this season.
Inside Edge true odds: ~64%, market at 62¢. Phillies are 103-74 (-3.7% ROI) since the 2024 season — thin margin, but Sanchez's changeup against righties adds a second weapon.
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Moneyline vs Marlins · 7:15p ET
Buy & hold at 55¢ or lower — because Perez has allowed solid slugging the first time through the order this season and Marlins pitchers have conceded 22 stolen bases since 2025.
Inside Edge true odds: ~59%, market at 57¢. Perez's 98.3 mph velocity hasn't kept hitters off base early — Atlanta's late-game resilience provides a floor.
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Moneyline vs Athletics · 9:40p ET
Buy & hold at 53¢ or lower — because Eovaldi has generated groundballs with runners in scoring position and limited hard contact in key situations, while Severino starts on the other side.
Inside Edge true odds: ~57%, market at 55¢. Oakland's roster limitations compound the matchup — a penny of drift creates the entry.
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All Games
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ SEA | 4:10p | SEA 62¢ | HOU +1.5 @ 57¢ | 7.5 · O 49¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ @ BAL | 6:35p | BAL 55¢ | AZ +1.5 @ 63¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ |
| CHC @ PHI | 6:40p | PHI 63¢ | CHC +1.5 @ 55¢ | 8.5 · O 45¢ |
| WSH @ PIT | 6:40p | PIT 67¢ | WSH +1.5 @ 52¢ | 7.5 · O 47¢ |
| LAA @ NYY | 7:05p | NYY 64¢ | LAA +1.5 @ 53¢ | 9.5 · O 46¢ |
| MIA @ ATL | 7:15p | ATL 58¢ | MIA +1.5 @ 59¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ |
| BOS @ MIN | 7:40p | BOS 60¢ | MIN +1.5 @ 55¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ |
| CLE @ STL | 7:45p | CLE 51¢ | STL +1.5 @ 62¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ |
| TEX @ ATH | 9:40p | TEX 54¢ | ATH +1.5 @ 59¢ | 9.5 · O 39¢ |
| NYM @ LAD | 10:10p | LAD 63¢ | NYM +1.5 @ 53¢ | 9.5 · O 39¢ |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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Best Games to Live Trade
Chicago sends Javier Assad to Citizens Bank Park against Cristopher Sanchez and the Phillies. Assad has allowed an OPS of just .217 this month (best in MLB among starters with at least 4 IP) — and 41% of his strikeouts come on called strikes since 2024 (highest among starters with at least 135 IP), setting up a freeze-fest against Alec Bohm, whose 34% of strikeouts come looking (7th-highest in MLB). Sanchez leans on his changeup — 60% of his strikeouts come on it since 2023 (highest among starters with at least 200 IP) — but Alex Bregman carries just a 17% miss rate on changeups since 2024 (8th-best in MLB) and the Cubs' K:BB ratio is 1.7 against right-handed pitching this season (tied for best in NL).
» Buy CHC at 37¢ or lower — Assad has allowed a .172 batting average with runners in scoring position since 2024 (2nd-best among starters with at least 135 IP), and Cubs relief pitchers allowed a .300 OBP against left-handed batters in 2025 (2nd-best in MLB). Don't chase if Sanchez is dealing early — the Phillies have 82 home runs in late innings since 2025 (tied for most in MLB).
New York sends David Peterson to Dodger Stadium against Justin Wrobleski and the Dodgers. Peterson's slider generates a 55% groundball rate since 2025 (2nd-highest in MLB among starters with at least 70 IP) — and he's walked just 4% of left-handed batters in that span (2nd-best among starters with at least 70 IP), feeding double-play potential against a Dodgers lineup that's grounded into 123 double plays since 2025 (5th-most in NL). The Mets stole 44 bases against left-handed pitching in 2025 (2nd-most in MLB) and are batting .328 when facing the starter for the third time this season (3rd-best in MLB).
» Buy NYM at 37¢ or lower — the Mets are 9-4 when tied entering the 8th inning since 2025 (2nd-best in MLB), and their pen holds a 2.57 ERA in close-and-late situations this season (5th-best in MLB). Don't chase if Wrobleski is pounding the zone early — the Dodgers have 7 home runs in lefty-lefty matchups this season (most in MLB).
Player Trends
🔥 Matt Olson has a 13-game streak of reaching base safely, starting on March 30th.
🔥 Bryce Harper has an OPS of 1.535 over the past seven days (6 games) -- 2nd best in NL.
🔥 Nico Hoerner has a seven-game hit streak, starting on April 5th.
🧊 Rafael Marchan is hitless in his last 17 ABs dating back to March 30th.
🧊 Salvador Perez has an OPS of just .228 over the past seven days (7 games) -- 3rd lowest in AL.
🧊 Mike Yastrzemski has an OPS of just .350 over the past seven days (6 games) -- 9th lowest in NL.
Fantasy Picks
Pete Alonso · BAL · 1B · vs Ryne Nelson
Alonso has taken Nelson deep 4 times in his last 11 PA's against him.
Jose Ramirez · CLE · 3B · vs Matthew Liberatore
Ramirez is slugging .892 in his last 87 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Liberatore over the last 2 seasons.
Shohei Ohtani · LAD · SP · vs David Peterson
Ohtani is slugging .639 in his last 106 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Peterson over the last 2 seasons.
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