Welcome! With prediction markets going mainstream, we're retooling everything around a simple idea: you don't have to pick winners to make money. Buy a team at 45¢, sell at 62¢ after a big inning — you profit without needing to pick the winner. We've partnered with Inside Edge to surface the matchup edges that drive price moves.
We're building one-click trade execution straight to your Polymarket/Kalshi account — reply if you want early access.
Best Buys
Green edge = buy now at the market. Red edge = set a limit order at the IE model price.
| Pick | Line | IE Model | Poly Price | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL vs LAA | -156 | 61.2% | 59¢ | +2.2% |
| HOU vs COL | -211 | 58.9% | 63¢ | -4.1% |
| LAD vs TOR | -138 | 58.2% | 56¢ | +2.2% |
| BAL vs CWS | -146 | 58.0% | 57¢ | +1.0% |
| SF vs PHI | -118 | 53.2% | 52¢ | +1.2% |
| Game | Play | IE Model | Poly Price | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC @ TB | Over 8 | 62.0% | O 7.5 @ 52¢ | +10.0% |
| STL @ WAS | Under 8 | 53.0% | U 8.5 @ 46¢ | +7.0% |
| KC @ CLE | Under 8 | 53.0% | U 7.5 @ 47¢ | +6.0% |
| SD @ PIT | Under 8 | 53.0% | U 8.5 @ 50¢ | +3.0% |
| BAL @ CWS | Over 8 | 53.0% | O 8.5 @ 53¢ | 0% |
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Buy & Hold · 5-Star Pick of the Day
Astros
vs Rockies · 8:40 PM ET · Polymarket ML @ 63¢
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Astros RPs K-rate 26% (highest) vs. Rockies 27% K-rate (highest). Opponents hit just .213 vs. Astros RPs with RISP; Rockies batted .234 with RISP (2nd worst). IE model at 58.9%, market at 63¢. Buy early, hold through.
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Today’s Games
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC @ TB | 4:10p | TB 52¢ | CHC -1.5 @ 37¢ | 7.5 · O 52¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC @ CLE | 6:10p | CLE 53¢ | KC -1.5 @ 35¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ |
| SD @ PIT | 6:40p | PIT 55¢ | SD -1.5 @ 34¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ |
| CIN @ MIA | 6:40p | MIA 55¢ | CIN -1.5 @ 34¢ | 8.5 · O 45¢ |
| STL @ WSH | 6:45p | STL 50¢ | STL -1.5 @ 37¢ | 8.5 · O 45¢ |
| MIL @ BOS | 6:45p | BOS 50¢ | MIL -1.5 @ 39¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ |
| LAD @ TOR | 7:07p | LAD 56¢ | LAD -1.5 @ 43¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ |
| DET @ MIN | 7:40p | MIN 53¢ | DET +1.5 @ 66¢ | 7.5 · O 44¢ |
| BAL @ CWS | 7:40p | BAL 57¢ | BAL -1.5 @ 44¢ | 8.5 · O 53¢ |
| Game | Time | ML | Spread | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA @ TEX | 8:05p | TEX 53¢ | SEA -1.5 @ 35¢ | 7.5 · O 48¢ |
| HOU @ COL | 8:40p | HOU 63¢ | HOU -1.5 @ 52¢ | 10.5 · O 50¢ |
| ATL @ LAA | 9:38p | ATL 59¢ | ATL -1.5 @ 47¢ | 7.5 · O 51¢ |
| PHI @ SF | 9:45p | PHI 51¢ | PHI -1.5 @ 39¢ | 8.5 · O 43¢ |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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Best Games to Trade
Washington's RPs have a 5.56 ERA since 2025 (highest in MLB), a 15% K-rate this season (lowest), and allow a .356 OBP (highest). But the Nationals have scored 33 F5 runs this season (2nd most in MLB) — so expect them to hang around early.
» Don't buy STL at 50¢ pregame. Wait for WSH to lead or stay close through 5, buy STL in the low 40s once the Nats go to the pen. Target exit: sell above 65¢ or hold through.
Atlanta's RPs have allowed a .210 OBP this season (best in MLB) and .091 with two strikes (also best). Any Braves lead entering the 7th is essentially a lock.
» Buy ATL at 59¢ pregame. If Atlanta leads after 6, price jumps to 80¢+. Hold through for $1 or sell above 80¢.
Dodgers hitters slug .430 vs. RPs since 2024 (best in MLB) and their starters hold hitters to .140 with two strikes since 2025 (also best). IE model at 58.2% vs. 56¢ market.
» Buy LAD at 56¢ pregame. If Wrobleski carries a lead into the 6th, price hits 70¢+ — sell there or hold. Don't chase if LAD falls behind.
Player Props
Player Trends
🔥 Oneil Cruz has a five-game hit streak, starting on March 31st.
🔥 Ivan Herrera has a six-game hit streak, starting on March 30th.
🔥 Alex Call has not swung and missed on a pitch in his last 12 PAs.
🧊 Austin Wells has no extra-base hits in his last 53 at-bats.
🧊 Julio Rodriguez has no extra-base hits in his last 42 at-bats.
Reasons For OVER or UNDER
Alec Bohm UNDER 1.5 Hits
Bohm is averaging just 0.7 H/G over the last seven days and just 0.2 H/G against Houser in his career. He's cleared 1.5 hits in only 11–17% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2025. His career mark at Oracle Park is just 1.0 H/G. All 7 reasons favor the under.
CJ Abrams OVER 0.5 Hits
Abrams is hitting at an 88–100% clip for 0.5+ hits across every timeframe — last 7 days, last 30, and full 2025. He's averaging 1.3 H/G over the last week and has a .900 H/G career mark at Nationals Park. All 7 reasons favor the over.
Bobby Witt Jr. OVER 0.5 Hits
Witt Jr. is clearing 0.5+ hits in 67–78% of games across every window — last 7 days, last 30, and 2025. He's averaging 0.8 H/G against Bibee in his career and 1.0 H/G at Progressive Field. All 7 reasons favor the over.
Fantasy Picks
Riley Greene · DET · LF · vs Joe Ryan
Greene is slugging .576 in his last 356 PA's against right-handers with high flyball rates like Ryan over the last 2 seasons.
CJ Abrams · WSH · SS · vs Andre Pallante
Abrams has an OPS of 1.500 in 14 AB's over the last 5 days.
Will Smith · LAD · C · vs Max Scherzer
Scherzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .582 against top-tier hitters like Smith over the last 2 years.