Player Props
Players with strong signals via Inside Edge metrics.
Adrian Houser (@ Rockies) UNDER 3.5 Pitching Strikeouts
Over 3.5 strikeouts in just 40% (2/5) of games over the last 30 days.
Over 3.5 strikeouts in just 30% (3/10) of games this season.
Trey Yesavage (@ Orioles) UNDER 6.5 Pitching Strikesouts
Over 6.5 strikeouts in just 20% (1/5) of games over the last 30 days.
Over 6.5 strikeouts in just 17% (1/6) of games this season.
Jesus Luzardo (@ Dodgers) OVER 5.5 Pitching Strikeouts
Over 5.5 strikeouts in 60% (3/5) of games over the last 30 days.
Over 5.5 strikeouts in 64% (7/11) of games this season.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends with big-name players when setting DFS line-ups.
🔥 Yordan Alvarez has 5 home runs over the past seven days -- most in MLB.
🔥 Cody Bellinger has an OPS of 1.007 this month (26 games) -- 2nd best in AL.
🔥 Jesus Luzardo has pitched 8.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run.
🧊 Dansby Swanson has an OPS of just .448 this month (25 games) -- 4th lowest in MLB.
🧊 Oneil Cruz has 41 strikeouts in 115 PA's this month -- 4th highest in MLB.
🧊 Matt Chapman has an OPS of just .505 this month (25 games) -- 5th lowest in NL.
Today’s Picks
Consider a unit on these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Padres (@ Nationals)
Five-Star Pick
Reason: Padres hitters have struck out just 19% since the 2024 season -- lowest. Nationals Pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2024 season -- 2nd lowest
SF @ COL OVER 11 Runs
Reason: The Giants have scored 3.6 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (12 games). The Rockies have allowed 4.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (13 games).
SD @ WAS UNDER 8 Runs
Reason: The Nationals have allowed just 2.3 runs per game over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Padres have scored just 2.3 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (6 games).
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Trend-Based Picks
Picks based on Inside Edge’s Remarkable tool
Pirates (vs Twins)
Reason: The Twins are just 3-12 (.200) vs top-10 scoring offenses this season. The Pirates rank 6th in runs scored.
Polymarket: Pirates 56.5% / Twins 43.5%
Royals (vs Rangers)
Reason: The Rangers are just 8-10 (.444) vs bottom-10 scoring offenses this season. The Royals rank 29th in runs scored.
Polymarket: Royals 47.5% / Rangers 52.5%
Over 8.5 (Brewers @ Astros)
Reason: Games involving the Astros have gone OVER in 63% (22.4% ROI) at home this season -- 4th highest in MLB. League average is 49%.
Polymarket: Over 51.5% / Under 48.5%
Brewers (@ Astros)
Reason: The Brewers are 15-9 (.625) on the road this season -- 4th best in MLB. League average is .475.
Polymarket: Brewers 51.5% / Astros 48.5%
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance.
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET @ CWS 2:10p | DET 53¢ | 7.5 · O 52¢ | Valdez | Kay |
| SD @ WSH 4:05p | SD 55¢ | 7.5 · O 50¢ | King | Griffin |
| KC @ TEX 4:05p | TEX 53¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ | Lugo | Rocker |
| MIN @ PIT 4:05p | PIT 57¢ | 4.5 · O 51¢ | Ober | Keller |
| TOR @ BAL 4:05p | TOR 54¢ | 7.5 · O 50¢ | Yesavage | Young |
| MIA @ NYM 4:10p | NYM 55¢ | 3.5 · O 54¢ | Phillips | Scott |
| LAA @ TB 4:10p | TB 60¢ | 3.5 · O 54¢ | Detmers | Rasmussen |
| BOS @ CLE 4:10p | CLE 56¢ | 3.5 · O 51¢ | Gray | Messick |
| MIL @ HOU 4:10p | MIL 52¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ | Sproat | Lambert |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ CIN 7:15p | ATL 58¢ | 9.5 · O 50¢ | Pérez | Singer |
| CHC @ STL 7:15p | CHC 57¢ | 4.5 · O 48¢ | Brown | Leahy |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF @ COL 9:10p | SF 53¢ | 10.5 · O 54¢ | Houser | Feltner |
| NYY @ ATH 10:05p | NYY 59¢ | 9.5 · O 52¢ | Weathers | Ginn |
| AZ @ SEA 10:10p | SEA 60¢ | 3.5 · O 54¢ | Nelson | Woo |
| PHI @ LAD 10:10p | LAD 55¢ | 8.5 · O 50¢ | Luzardo | Sasaki |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 56%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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