Today’s Picks & Props
Consider these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Boston Red Sox
Five-Star Pick
NYY @ DET OVER 8 Runs
Yankees baserunners have stolen 83 bases this season -- tied for 2nd most in MLB .
BAL @ ANA UNDER 10 Runs
Angels hitters have struck out in 34% of their PA's on breaking pitches this season -- highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Zack Gelof UNDER 1.5 TB
Gelof is averaging just 0.4 total bases per game (2/5) at Oracle Park over his career.
Trends:
The Nationals are 25-13 (.658) against the run line (12.0% ROI) after a loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Angels are just 33-48 (-15.1% ROI) this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Yankees are 15-11 (3.0% ROI) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season. Today, they face the Tigers (ninth in runs allowed).
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX @ MIA 12:10p | TEX 53¢ | 7.5 · O 48¢ | deGrom | Pérez |
| CLE @ CWS 2:10p | CLE 52¢ | 8.5 · O 50¢ | Bibee | Fedde |
| BOS @ COL 3:10p | BOS 61¢ | 10.5 · O 54¢ | Suarez | Freeland |
| BAL @ LAA 4:07p | LAA 53¢ | 9.5 · O 48¢ | Gibson | Soriano |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC @ TB 6:40p | TB 58¢ | 7.5 · O 50¢ | Cameron | Jax |
| NYY @ DET 6:40p | DET 57¢ | 7.5 · O 48¢ | Weathers | Skubal |
| SEA @ PIT 6:40p | PIT 52¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ | Woo | Ashcraft |
| PHI @ WSH 6:45p | PHI 55¢ | 9.5 · O 52¢ | Nola | Mikolas |
| HOU @ TOR 7:07p | TOR 59¢ | 8.5 · O 50¢ | Burrows | Yesavage |
| MIL @ CIN 7:10p | MIL 56¢ | 9.5 · O 48¢ | Drohan | Lowder |
| CHC @ NYM 7:10p | CHC 51¢ | 4.5 · O 50¢ | TBD | Manaea |
| LAD @ MIN 7:40p | LAD 62¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Ohtani | Ryan |
| AZ @ STL 7:45p | STL 52¢ | 8.5 · O 56¢ | Bratt | Liberatore |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL @ SD 8:40p | ATL 56¢ | 8.5 · O 46¢ | Pérez | Sears |
| ATH @ SF 9:45p | ATH 54¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Jump | Mahle |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
CHC @ NYM is a doubleheader — 1:10p makeup of Jun 22 (no market) + 7:10p regular (priced above). |
Game to Watch: Dodgers @ Twins
Shohei Ohtani takes the mound for the Dodgers against Joe Ryan and the Twins. Ohtani holds a 7-2 record and 1.47 ERA. Ryan sits at 5-3 with a 2.99 ERA. Victor Caratini has batted .163 on fastballs this season. Justin Wrobleski has thrown fastballs 57 percent of the time. Byron Buxton has seven home runs on breaking pitches.
Player to Watch: CJ Abrams vs Aaron Nolae
Abrams has a wOBA of .374 with 11 HR's in his last 214 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Nola over the last 2 seasons.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups
🔥 Shohei Ohtani is slugging .746 this month (18 games) -- 2nd best in NL.
🔥 Dansby Swanson has an OPS of 1.500 over the past seven days (4 games) -- 2nd best in NL.
🔥 Ranger Suarez has not allowed a HR in any of his last four starts dating back to May 31st.
🧊 Trey Yesavage has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to June 5th.
🧊 JJ Bleday is batting just .162 this month -- tied for 2nd lowest in NL.
🧊 Jarren Duran has an OPS of just .422 this month (19 games) -- 2nd lowest in MLB.
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