Today’s Picks & Props
Consider these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Phillies (@ Nationals)
Five-Star Pick
Red Sox (vs Rockies)
Red Sox relief pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (281.0 IP) this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
KC @ TB OVER 8 Runs
Royals hitters are slugging .480 over the last 14 days -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Josh Bell OVER 0.5 H
Josh Bell has Over 0.5 hits in 83% (5/6) of games over the last seven days.
Trends:
The Dodgers are 24-8 (13.0% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season. Today, they face the Twins (27th runs allowed).
The Mets are just 48-72 (.400) against the run line (-17.2% ROI) after a loss since the 2025 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ TOR 4:07p | TOR 55¢ | 8.5 · O 51¢ | Lambert | Bieber |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC @ TB 6:40p | TB 63¢ | 7.5 · O 54¢ | Avila | McClanahan |
| NYY @ DET 6:40p | NYY 52¢ | 7.5 · O 51¢ | Rodón | Mize |
| TEX @ MIA 6:40p | MIA 59¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Quantrill | Alcantara |
| SEA @ PIT 6:40p | SEA 54¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ | Kirby | Keller |
| PHI @ WSH 6:45p | PHI 60¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ | Luzardo | Littell |
| CHC @ NYM 7:10p | NYM 51¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Cabrera | Senga |
| MIL @ CIN 7:10p | MIL 51¢ | 9.5 · O 52¢ | Sproat | Lodolo |
| CLE @ CWS 7:40p | CLE 51¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ | Messick | Burke |
| LAD @ MIN 7:40p | LAD 62¢ | 8.5 · O 53¢ | Wrobleski | Rojas |
| AZ @ STL 7:45p | STL 51¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Rodriguez | Leahy |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS @ COL 8:40p | BOS 60¢ | 10.5 · O 51¢ | Gray | Sullivan |
| BAL @ LAA 9:38p | BAL 59¢ | 8.5 · O 54¢ | Baz | Johnson |
| ATL @ SD 9:40p | ATL 51¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Ritchie | TBD |
| ATH @ SF 9:45p | SF 53¢ | 8.5 · O 53¢ | Civale | Ray |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
|
Game to Watch: Phillies @ Nationals
The Phillies bring Jesus Luzardo (6-4, 4.21 ERA) to Washington against Zack Littell (6-6, 5.48 ERA) for the Nationals. James Wood hits .358 on fastballs and carries a 64 percent hard-hit rate on inside fastballs. Luzardo has located fastballs inside and down in measurable patterns. Kyle Schwarber leads with 29 home runs.
Player to Watch: James Wood vs Jesus Luzardo
Wood has an OPS of 1.167 in six AB's against Luzardo over the last 2 seasons.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups
🔥 Kyle Stowers has an OPS of 1.586 over the past seven days (5 games) -- best in MLB.
🔥 Dillon Dingler is slugging .743 this month (18 games) -- best in AL.
🔥 Nick Kurtz has 9 home runs this month -- tied for most in MLB.
🧊 Chandler Simpson has an OPS of just .404 this month (15 games) -- lowest in AL.
🧊 Willy Adames is batting just .154 this month -- 2nd lowest in NL.
🧊 Matt Chapman is hitless in his last 19 ABs dating back to June 14th.
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