Today’s Picks & Props
Consider a unit on these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Dodgers (@ White Sox)
Five-Star Pick
HOU @ KC UNDER 10 Runs
Astros hitters have struck out in 36% of their PA's on breaking pitches over the last 14 days -- 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
COL @ ATH OVER 14 Runs
Athletics hitters have an OPS of .843 over the last two weeks -- 3rd-best in MLB. Rockies RPs have allowed an OPS of 1.026 (253 PAs) over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
Christian Yelich OVER 0.5 H
Yelich is averaging 1.4 hits per game over the last seven days.
Trends:
Games involving the Cardinals went OVER in 78% of their games (47.9% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (27th runs allowed).
The Dodgers are 13-9 (-2.7% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the White Sox (seventh in runs scored).
The Brewers are 28-13 (18.8% ROI) after a win this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL @ MIN 2:10p | STL 51¢ | 8.5 · O 55¢ | Liberatore | Prielipp |
| NYY @ TOR 3:07p | NYY 54¢ | 7.5 · O 52¢ | Schlittler | Gausman |
| MIA @ PIT 4:05p | PIT 55¢ | 9.5 · O 46¢ | Bachar | Chandler |
| SD @ BAL 4:05p | BAL 54¢ | 10.5 · O 47¢ | Vásquez | Gibson |
| SEA @ WSH 4:05p | WSH 51¢ | 8.5 · O 55¢ | Castillo | Cavalli |
| TEX @ BOS 4:10p | BOS 53¢ | 7.5 · O 51¢ | deGrom | Suarez |
| AZ @ CIN 4:10p | AZ 56¢ | 9.5 · O 50¢ | Soroka | Lowder |
| ATL @ NYM 4:10p | NYM 52¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Pérez | TBD |
| LAD @ CWS 4:10p | LAD 66¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Yamamoto | Burke |
| DET @ CLE 4:10p | DET 59¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ | Skubal | Cantillo |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ MIL 7:10p | MIL 57¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Nola | Drohan |
| HOU @ KC 7:10p | KC 54¢ | 9.5 · O 49¢ | Burrows | Cameron |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL @ ATH 10:05p | ATH 62¢ | 14.5 · O 48¢ | Freeland | Estes |
| CHC @ SF 10:05p | CHC 55¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ | Brown | McDonald |
| TB @ LAA 10:07p | TB 52¢ | 8.5 · O 48¢ | Jax | Soriano |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
|
Game to Watch: Yankees at Blue Jays, 3:07 p.m.
Cam Schlittler gets the ball for New York against Kevin Gausman. Schlittler stands out with opponents hitting just .107 against his elevated fastball this season—the best mark among qualified starters. Right-handed batters are hitting .162 against him, and he has posted a .194 OBP allowed the first time through the order (second-best). Gausman counters with strong command, walking just 4% of batters and throwing low pitches frequently against lefties (53%, highest among AL starters). Opponents hit only .170 against his low fastballs.
Player to Watch: Juan Soto vs Martin Perez
Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of .552 against top-tier hitters like Soto over the last 2 years.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups
🔥 Jac Caglianone has an OPS of 1.308 this month (10 games) -- 2nd best in AL.
🔥 Yandy Diaz is batting .425 this month -- 3rd best in AL.
🔥 Matt Chapman has an OPS of 1.581 over the past seven days (6 games) -- best in NL.
🧊 Casey Schmitt has an OPS of just .214 over the past seven days (6 games) -- 3rd lowest in MLB.
🧊 Travis Bazzana is batting just .128 this month -- 5th lowest in AL.
🧊 Kazuma Okamoto has 14 strikeouts in 41 PA's this month -- 10th highest in AL.
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