Today’s Picks & Props
Consider a unit on these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Brewers (vs Phillies)
Five-Star Pick
ARI @ CIN UNDER 10 Runs
Opponents are hitting just .227 (177-for-780) against Diamondbacks RPs this season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. The Reds are batting just .221 versus relief pitchers this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.
STL @ MIN OVER 8 Runs
The Cardinals have scored 3.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (11 games). The Twins have allowed 4.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB (13 games).
Dillon Dingler UNDER 1.5 TB
Dingler has gone Over 1.5 total bases in 42% (26/62) of games this season.
Giants (vs Cubs)
Trend: The Cubs are just 10-15 (.400) against the run line (-23.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Giants (21st in runs scored).
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance.
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ PIT 6:40p | PIT 58¢ | 8.5 · O 50¢ | Alcantara | Ashcraft |
| SEA @ WSH 6:45p | SEA 57¢ | 9.5 · O 48¢ | Miller | Littell |
| SD @ BAL 7:05p | BAL 56¢ | 9.5 · O 47¢ | Canning | Baz |
| TEX @ BOS 7:10p | BOS 55¢ | 8.5 · O 51¢ | Leiter | Gray |
| DET @ CLE 7:10p | CLE 53¢ | 8.5 · O 51¢ | Flaherty | Bibee |
| ATL @ NYM 7:15p | NYM 53¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ | Strider | McLean |
| AZ @ CIN 7:15p | CIN 51¢ | 9.5 · O 51¢ | Rodriguez | Lodolo |
| NYY @ TOR 7:37p | NYY 51¢ | 7.5 · O 54¢ | Weathers | TBD |
| LAD @ CWS 7:40p | LAD 58¢ | 8.5 · O 55¢ | Sasaki | Kay |
| PHI @ MIL 7:40p | MIL 70¢ | 7.5 · O 52¢ | Painter | Misiorowski |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU @ KC 8:10p | HOU 52¢ | 9.5 · O 49¢ | Imai | Avila |
| STL @ MIN 8:10p | MIN 57¢ | 8.5 · O 55¢ | Leahy | Ryan |
| TB @ LAA 9:38p | TB 62¢ | 8.5 · O 54¢ | McClanahan | Aldegheri |
| COL @ ATH 10:05p | ATH 64¢ | 13.5 · O 53¢ | TBD | Jump |
| CHC @ SF 10:15p | SF 52¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Assad | Roupp |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
|
Game to Watch: Phillies at Brewers (7:40 p.m. ET)
Andrew Painter faces Jacob Misiorowski. Milwaukee has handled bottom-10 scoring offenses effectively. Misiorowski has dominated left-handed batters with high strikeout rates and low OPS, shown swing-and-miss ability in the zone, and limited damage with runners in scoring position and against the top of the order. Philadelphia has hit well when scoring multiple runs or homers.
Player to Watch: Matt Chapman vs Javier Assad
Chapman is slugging .620 in his last 243 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Assad over the last 2 seasons.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups.
🔥 Matt Chapman is slugging 1.000 this month (10 games) -- best in NL.
🔥 Jacob Misiorowski has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last nine games.
🔥 Adley Rutschman has an OPS of 1.396 over the past seven days (4 games) -- 2nd best in AL.
🧊 Mookie Betts is slugging just .189 this month (9 games) -- lowest in NL.
🧊 Dansby Swanson has an OPS of just .417 this month (7 games) -- 2nd lowest in NL.
🧊 Salvador Perez has an OPS of just .258 this month (6 games) -- 2nd lowest in MLB.
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