Today’s Picks & Props
Consider a unit on these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Dodgers (vs Rays)
Five-Star Pick
NYM @ CIN OVER 8 Runs
ANA @ ARI UNDER 10 Runs
Alejandro Kirk UNDER 1.5 H
Kirk is averaging just 0.9 hits per game (22/26) at Fenway Park over his career.
Trends:
Games involving the Phillies went UNDER in 56% of their games (9.0% ROI) this season -- highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Phillies are just 26-46 (.361) against the run line (-26.1% ROI) this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are 21-7 (.750) against the run line (31.8% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Royals (29th in runs scored).
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance
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SF @ ATL (Jun 16) resumes 2:00p ET — rain-suspended, bot 2nd, SF up 3-2. Separate game from tonight's 7:15p meeting below; no fresh market.
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| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM @ CIN 12:40p | NYM 55¢ | 8.5 · O 56¢ | McLean | Lodolo |
| KC @ WSH 1:05p | WSH 57¢ | 10.5 · O 50¢ | Avila | Littell |
| MIA @ PHI 1:05p | PHI 52¢ | 9.5 · O 48¢ | Alcantara | Painter |
| DET @ HOU 2:10p | DET 51¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ | Mize | Lambert |
| SD @ STL 2:15p | STL 55¢ | 10.5 · O 49¢ | TBD | Leahy |
| TB @ LAD 3:10p | LAD 62¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ | McClanahan | Ohtani |
| LAA @ AZ 3:40p | AZ 62¢ | 9.5 · O 48¢ | Aldegheri | Rodriguez |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ BOS 6:45p | BOS 54¢ | 9.5 · O 50¢ | Scherzer | Bennett |
| CWS @ NYY 7:05p | NYY 63¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Kay | Rodón |
| SF @ ATL 7:15p | ATL 58¢ | 9.5 · O 46¢ | TBD | Ritchie |
| CLE @ MIL 7:40p | MIL 54¢ | 7.5 · O 51¢ | Williams | Sproat |
| COL @ CHC 8:05p | CHC 64¢ | 10.5 · O 48¢ | Sullivan | Assad |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ ATH 9:40p | PIT 53¢ | 10.5 · O 48¢ | Ashcraft | Civale |
| BAL @ SEA 9:40p | SEA 56¢ | 7.5 · O 49¢ | Bradish | Kirby |
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Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
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Game to Watch: Rays at Dodgers, 3:10 p.m. ET
Shane McClanahan opposes Shohei Ohtani. This is one of the day's premier pitching highlights. Ohtani has dominated right-handed hitters (.421 OPS allowed, 3rd-best) and posted elite marks across multiple splits: 1.06 ERA (best among qualified starters with 28 IP), .196 slugging allowed to righties, and exceptional control with runners in scoring position and versus the top of the order. He has also hit well himself. McClanahan has leaned on his changeup against righties.
Player to Watch: SP Nolan McLean (NYM) vs Reds
Current Reds hitters have struck out 31.6% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like McLean over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups
🔥 Matt Chapman is slugging .902 this month (13 games) -- best in NL.
🔥 Pete Crow-Armstrong has an OPS of 1.338 this month (14 games) -- 2nd best in MLB.
🔥 Jung Hoo Lee is batting .431 this month -- best in MLB.
🧊 Eugenio Suarez has 20 strikeouts in 52 PA's this month -- 2nd highest in NL.
🧊 Julio Rodriguez has no extra-base-hits in his last 41 at-bats.
🧊 Dansby Swanson is batting just .132 this month -- 2nd lowest in NL.More Trends
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