Today’s Picks & Props
Consider a unit on these picks on your preferred prediction market/sportsbook.
Tigers (vs White Sox)
Five-Star Pick
STL @ KC OVER 9 Runs
The Cardinals are batting .232 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
PIT @ COL UNDER 12 Runs
The Rockies are just 14-20 (.412) at home this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Lane Thomas UNDER 1.5 TB
Lane Thomas has gone Over 1.5 total bases in 16% (9/57) of games this season.
Trends:
The Mariners are just 5-18 (.217) against the run line (-49.1% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season. Today, they face the Red Sox (29th in runs scored).
The Dodgers are 19-9 (.679) against the run line (28.7% ROI) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season. Today, they face the Orioles (25th runs allowed).
Today’s Schedule
Every game at a glance
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR @ CHC 2:20p | CHC 54¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ | Gausman | Brown |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CWS @ DET 6:40p | DET 68¢ | 7.5 · O 52¢ | Fedde | Skubal |
| CIN @ NYY 7:05p | NYY 72¢ | 8.5 · O 52¢ | Lowder | Schlittler |
| SF @ MIA 7:10p | MIA 53¢ | 8.5 · O 47¢ | Roupp | TBD |
| WSH @ TB 7:10p | TB 54¢ | 7.5 · O 53¢ | Cavalli | Jax |
| MIL @ ATL 7:15p | MIL 63¢ | 7.5 · O 50¢ | Misiorowski | Pérez |
| SD @ TEX 8:05p | TEX 59¢ | 7.5 · O 46¢ | Vásquez | deGrom |
| CLE @ HOU 8:10p | HOU 53¢ | 8.5 · O 49¢ | Bibee | Imai |
| STL @ KC 8:15p | STL 54¢ | 9.5 · O 46¢ | McGreevy | Lugo |
| PIT @ COL 8:40p | PIT 56¢ | 11.5 · O 50¢ | Chandler | Freeland |
| Game | ML | O/U | Visitor SP | Home SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA @ ATH 9:40p | ATH 61¢ | 9.5 · O 53¢ | Soriano | Springs |
| MIN @ AZ 9:45p | AZ 62¢ | 8.5 · O 51¢ | Prielipp | Soroka |
| BOS @ SEA 10:10p | SEA 55¢ | 6.5 · O 53¢ | Suarez | Miller |
| BAL @ LAD 10:10p | LAD 66¢ | 9.5 · O 49¢ | Gibson | Sasaki |
|
Prices in ¢ = implied win probability. Green = 59%+ favorite. Source: Polymarket US
|
Game to Watch: San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM ET
Featuring Randy Vásquez against Jacob deGrom. deGrom has thrown fastballs at or above 95 mph on every fastball in recent seasons. San Diego hitters have recorded the weakest averages against right-handed breaking pitches: Manny Machado at .086 and Jackson Merrill at .164, both bottom-tier marks. Xander Bogaerts has posted an OPS of .693 since last season and a .238 average on fastballs over that span. Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit .313 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season. Josh Jung has recorded looking strikeouts on half of his strikeouts this year.
Player to Watch: Nick Kurtz (A’s) vs LAA
Kurtz is slugging .767 in his last 34 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Soriano over the last 2 seasons.
Notable Player Trends
Note these trends when setting DFS lineups
🔥 Zack Gelof has an OPS of 1.092 this month (16 games) -- 12th best among 223 in MLB.
🔥 Joe Mack has an OPS of 1.700 over the past seven days (4 games) -- best in NL.
🔥 Opponents are hitting just .087 against Josh Hader this month -- tied for 2nd best among AL Relievers.
🧊 Andy Pages has an OPS of just .422 over the past seven days (6 games) -- 14th lowest among 124 in NL.
🧊 Xander Bogaerts is slugging just .171 this month (13 games) -- 3rd lowest in MLB.
🧊 Nico Hoerner has an OPS of just .135 over the past seven days (5 games) -- 3rd lowest in MLB.
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