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🔥 Top Picks
Yankees ML (-186) vs Orioles – 3:05 PM
Luis Gil owns a 2.30 ERA at Yankee Stadium and draws an Orioles lineup batting just .202 against New York this season. The Yankees have won 10 of their last 11 and need this win — plus a Toronto loss — to clinch the AL East.
Brewers/Reds Under 7.5 (-110) – 3:10 PM
Freddy Peralta has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 8 of his last 9 starts, while Milwaukee and Cincinnati have each scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. With playoff pressure high and pitching strong, this one leans low.
Phillies ML (-224) vs Twins – 3:05 PM
Cristopher Sánchez is locked in, coming off seven shutout innings and sporting a 2.57 ERA. Philadelphia is one win from their best season since 2011 and should handle a Twins lineup batting .230 on the road.
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⚾ Game Previews
Detroit Tigers (87-74, .540) @ Boston Red Sox (88-73, .547) – 3:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-115)
🔹 Chris Paddack (DET): 5-11, 5.27 ERA — 6.12 ERA in 42.2 IP since joining Tigers
🔹 TBD (BOS): Likely bullpen game
🔍 Detroit needs a win (and Cleveland loss) to clinch the AL Central, but their pitching has faltered — allowing 4+ runs in 6 of their last 8. Paddack has struggled, and Boston may piece this one together. Despite recent Under trends, this one leans Over based on pitching setup.
💰 Odds: Tigers -137, Red Sox +112 | Total: 9.0
Kansas City Royals (81-80, .503) @ Oakland Athletics (76-85, .472) – 3:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-120)
🔹 Cole Ragans (KC): 3-3, 5.02 ERA
🔹 Brady Basso (OAK): 1-0, 1.74 ERA — just 8 career SO
🔍 Kansas City has posted a .280 average and 3.16 ERA over their last 10 games. Oakland counters with the inexperienced but effective Basso. KC leads the AL in contact rate with RISP, which could keep scoring in check.
💰 Odds: Royals -144, Athletics +118 | Total: 9.5
Colorado Rockies (43-118, .267) @ San Francisco Giants (80-81, .497) – 3:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-108)
🔹 McCade Brown (COL): 0-4, 7.54 ERA — .312 BAA
🔹 Logan Webb (SF): 14-11, 3.30 ERA — 2-0, 2.25 ERA vs COL in 2025
🔍 San Francisco has taken 10 of 12 from Colorado and sends Webb out to finish strong. Colorado's road OPS (.591) and AVG (.204) are both worst in MLB. Everything points to a quiet finish.
💰 Odds: Giants -313, Rockies +245 | Total: 7.5
Minnesota Twins (70-91, .435) @ Philadelphia Phillies (95-66, .590) – 3:05 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Phillies ML (-224)
🔹 Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 7-4, 4.27 ERA — 3.00 ERA in September
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 13-5, 2.57 ERA — 7 shutout innings last start
🔍 The Twins have won 4 of 6, but Sánchez is playoff-ready. Philly is 1 win away from their best record since 2011. Turner returns to the lineup, though unlikely to go the distance.
💰 Odds: Phillies -224, Twins +181 | Total: 8.5
Chicago White Sox (59-102, .366) @ Washington Nationals (66-95, .410) – 3:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.0 (-118)
🔹 Shane Smith (CWS): 6-8, 3.98 ERA — allowed 1 ER in last start vs NYY
🔹 Brad Lord (WSH): 5-9, 4.12 ERA — 3.13 ERA in September
🔍 Washington’s bullpen has MLB’s worst ERA (5.54), and Chicago’s walks allowed rate ranks 2nd worst. Montgomery has homered in two straight and Lile is batting .409 over his last 25 games. Fireworks are likely.
💰 Odds: Nationals -116, White Sox -105 | Total: 8.0
Baltimore Orioles (75-86, .466) @ New York Yankees (93-68, .578) – 3:05 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Yankees ML (-186)
🔹 Kyle Bradish (BAL): 1-1, 2.25 ERA — 2 ER or fewer in all 5 starts
🔹 Luis Gil (NYY): 4-1, 3.29 ERA — 2.30 ERA at home
🔍 New York has won 10 of 11 and has dominated Baltimore offensively (.285 average vs BAL). Judge is up to 53 HR and red hot. Gil’s home form plus Baltimore’s .202 AVG vs NY make this a high-leverage mismatch.
💰 Odds: Yankees -186, Orioles +151 | Total: 9.0
Houston Astros (86-75, .534) @ Los Angeles Angels (72-89, .447) – 3:07 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-112)
🔹 Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 2-5, 6.71 ERA — 9.95 ERA last 5 starts
🔹 Sam Aldegheri (LAA): 0-1, 8.00 ERA — just one MLB start
🔍 Both teams are out of contention, but the bats should show up. The Angels lead MLB in strikeout rate, and Houston’s staff leads MLB in K%. McCullers has been shelled lately, so expect some chaos here.
💰 Odds: Astros -126, Angels +104 | Total: 9.5
Tampa Bay Rays (77-84, .478) @ Toronto Blue Jays (93-68, .578) – 3:07 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-102)
🔹 Ian Seymour (TB): 4-2, 2.85 ERA — 1 unearned run vs TOR on Sept. 17
🔹 Kevin Gausman (TOR): 10-11, 3.47 ERA — 0-1, 5.40 ERA vs TB in 2025
🔍 This could decide the AL East if the Yankees win. Toronto ranks 1st in AVG (.264) and lowest in K rate (18%), while Tampa counters with elite two-strike relief. Low total and playoff implications suggest a grind.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -209, Rays +169 | Total: 7.5
Arizona Diamondbacks (80-81, .497) @ San Diego Padres (89-72, .553) – 3:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-115)
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 13-8, 5.00 ERA — 3 runs in last 15 IP
🔹 JP Sears (SD): 8-11, 5.12 ERA — 13 ER in 19 IP with SD
🔍 San Diego is locked into the Wild Card and Arizona is resting starters. Arizona’s bullpen has MLB’s worst ERA in close/late spots. Padres' pen, meanwhile, leads MLB in lowest OPS allowed.
💰 Odds: Padres -122, Diamondbacks +101 | Total: 8.0
Los Angeles Dodgers (92-69, .571) @ Seattle Mariners (90-71, .559) – 3:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.0 (-105)
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 10-2, 3.52 ERA — 76% of starts w/ 4+ hits allowed
🔹 Bryce Miller (SEA): 4-5, 5.53 ERA — 1.39 WHIP
🔍 Mariners slug .714 on first pitch (MLB-best) and face a contact-prone Kershaw. Dodgers have won 10 straight vs SEA. Offense likely breaks out as both teams look to stay sharp ahead of the playoffs.
💰 Odds: Mariners -119, Dodgers -102 | Total: 8.0
Texas Rangers (81-80, .503) @ Cleveland Guardians (87-74, .540) – 3:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-113)
🔹 Patrick Corbin (TEX): 7-11, 4.34 ERA
🔹 Logan Allen (CLE): 8-11, 4.14 ERA — 9 ER in 5 IP vs TEX in Aug
🔍 Cleveland needs a win to clinch the division. Both offenses have struggled — CLE batting .225 (MLB-worst) and TEX .235 (4th-lowest AL). These teams have gone Under in 7 of their last 10 combined.
💰 Odds: Guardians -143, Rangers +118 | Total: 7.5
New York Mets (83-78, .516) @ Miami Marlins (78-83, .484) – 3:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-105)
🔹 Sean Manaea (NYM): 2-4, 5.80 ERA — 7.71 ERA in last 5 starts
🔹 Edward Cabrera (MIA): 7-7, 3.66 ERA — 2.91 ERA at home
🔍 All three previous Mets-Marlins matchups have gone Under, and both teams trend low in day-after-day games. Cabrera has been solid at home, and the Mets need this to stay alive in the WC race. Soto remains red-hot, but this game shapes up slow.
💰 Odds: Mets -132, Marlins +108 | Total: 8.0
Cincinnati Reds (83-78, .516) @ Milwaukee Brewers (96-65, .596) – 3:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 14-11, 3.95 ERA — 1.23 WHIP
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 17-6, 2.68 ERA — 2 or fewer ER in 8 of last 9
🔍 Cincinnati controls its playoff fate and has scored 3 or fewer in 5 of 6. Milwaukee's bats have cooled off too, scoring 3 or fewer in 6 of 8. Expect a tight postseason tune-up.
💰 Odds: Brewers -139, Reds +114 | Total: 7.5
Pittsburgh Pirates (71-90, .441) @ Atlanta Braves (75-86, .466) – 3:15 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-103)
🔹 Johan Oviedo (PIT): 2-0, 3.57 ERA — 39 SO, 1.22 WHIP
🔹 Charlie Morton (ATL): 9-11, 5.89 ERA — 148 SO
🔍 Pirates own MLB’s worst OPS (.656) and fewest late-inning runs in the NL. Morton has been hittable but still racks up strikeouts. Under is the play in a low-stakes finale.
💰 Odds: Braves -201, Pirates +163 | Total: 7.5
St. Louis Cardinals (78-83, .484) @ Chicago Cubs (91-70, .565) – 3:20 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-108)
🔹 Kyle Leahy (STL): 4-2, 3.18 ERA — likely bullpen day
🔹 Javier Assad (CHC): 3-1, 4.26 ERA — 5.09 xFIP
🔍 Cubs have won 7 straight vs losing NL Central teams and are hot at Wrigley. Busch hit 2 HR yesterday, and St. Louis ranks 29th in HRs. The Over has hit in 6 straight Cubs games as favorites.
💰 Odds: Cubs -137, Cardinals +113 | Total: 7.5
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