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🔥 Top Picks
Braves/Tigers Over 9.0 (-113) – 1:10 PM ET
Joey Wentz hasn’t pitched past the fourth inning in September (5.56 ERA), and Atlanta’s scored 8.2 runs per game during their six-game win streak. Detroit leads MLB with a .267 AVG vs lefties.
Athletics/Pirates Under 8.0 (-108) – 6:40 PM ET
Luis Morales has allowed 3 ER or fewer in every start, while Pittsburgh ranks last in OPS at .651. Even with Oakland’s home run power, this projects low-scoring against the league’s weakest lineup.
Dodgers/Giants Under 8.5 (-101) – 9:10 PM ET
The Under is 7-1-3 in Tyler Glasnow’s last 11 starts, and he owns a 2.38 ERA at Dodger Stadium. San Francisco is hitting .215 with a .637 OPS vs left-handed pitching, both worst in MLB.
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⚾ Game Previews
Atlanta Braves (71-83) @ Detroit Tigers (85-69) – 1:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Over 9.0 (-113)
🔹 Joey Wentz (ATL): 5-6, 5.56 ERA — hasn’t pitched past the 4th inning in September
🔹 Keider Montero (DET): 5-3, 4.32 ERA — threw 5 scoreless innings vs Miami in last start
🔍 Atlanta has won six straight while scoring 8.2 runs per game. Detroit leads MLB with a .267 AVG and .785 OPS vs lefties.
💰 Odds: Tigers -120, Braves -101 | Total: 9.0
Cleveland Guardians (82-71) @ Minnesota Twins (66-87) – 2:10 PM (DH G1)
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-116)
🔹 Slade Cecconi (CLE): 6-6, 4.39 ERA — worked 8 scoreless innings vs KC earlier this month
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 13-8, 3.35 ERA — issued 4 BB in last start
🔍 Cleveland has won eight straight and 9 of 10, now 2.5 GB of Detroit. Minnesota has averaged 1.19 runs from the 7th inning on over their last 16 games.
💰 Odds: Twins -114, Guardians -106 | Total: 8.5
Washington Nationals (62-92) @ New York Mets (80-74) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-105)
🔹 Cade Cavalli (WSH): 3-1, 4.76 ERA — first career start vs Mets
🔹 Nolan McLean (NYM): 4-1, 1.19 ERA — hasn’t allowed a run at home in 3 starts
🔍 The Mets have averaged 7.5 runs over their last five games. Washington’s pitching staff owns MLB’s second-worst ERA at 5.36.
💰 Odds: Mets -274, Nationals +217 | Total: 8.5
Chicago Cubs (88-66) @ Cincinnati Reds (78-76) – 6:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-111)
🔹 Javier Assad (CHC): 3-1, 4.23 ERA — won last three decisions
🔹 Zack Littell (CIN): 9-8, 3.86 ERA — carrying a 5.00 ERA across last 7 starts
🔍 The Reds hit five home runs Friday to pull within 2 games of the Mets for the last Wild Card spot. Cubs starting pitchers lead MLB with a .293 OBP allowed.
💰 Odds: Reds -115, Cubs -106 | Total: 9.0
Oakland Athletics (73-81) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (65-89) – 6:40 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.0 (-108)
🔹 Luis Morales (OAK): 4-1, 3.08 ERA — has allowed 3 ER or fewer in every start
🔹 Bubba Chandler (PIT): coming off six shutout innings vs Washington
🔍 Oakland has won 7 of 8. Pittsburgh ranks last in MLB with a .651 OPS.
💰 Odds: Athletics -113, Pirates -107 | Total: 8.0
Boston Red Sox (84-70) @ Tampa Bay Rays (75-79) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-103)
🔹 Kyle Harrison (BOS): 1-1, 4.05 ERA
🔹 Adrian Houser (TB): 8-4, 3.11 ERA
🔍 Boston’s offense broke through late Friday. Houser has provided steady innings for Tampa Bay.
💰 Odds: Rays -112, Red Sox -108 | Total: 8.0
Miami Marlins (74-80) @ Texas Rangers (79-75) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Rangers ML (-163)
🔹 Adam Mazur (MIA): 0-4, 4.85 ERA
🔹 Jack Leiter (TEX): 9-9, 3.82 ERA — 134 strikeouts in 146 innings
🔍 Texas remains in the Wild Card race. Miami sits six games under .500.
💰 Odds: Rangers -163, Marlins +133 | Total: 8.5
New York Yankees (86-68) @ Baltimore Orioles (73-81) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-113)
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 16-9, 3.11 ERA — allowed 1 ER in April 21 win vs BAL
🔹 Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 10-8, 4.39 ERA — last win came Aug 14
🔍 The Yankees collected only four hits Friday. Baltimore is 7-6 vs NY this season.
💰 Odds: Yankees -204, Orioles +165 | Total: 9.0
Seattle Mariners (85-69) @ Houston Astros (84-70) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.0 (-103)
🔹 George Kirby (SEA): 9-7, 4.46 ERA — struck out 14 in last start
🔹 Framber Valdez (HOU): 12-10, 3.59 ERA — carrying a 7.88 ERA in September
🔍 Seattle has won 12 of 13. Houston has lost 8 of Valdez’s last 9 starts.
💰 Odds: Astros -110, Mariners -110 | Total: 8.0
Toronto Blue Jays (89-65) @ Kansas City Royals (77-77) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-102)
🔹 Shane Bieber (TOR): 3-1, 3.72 ERA — 6-1 with a 3.01 ERA in 11 career starts vs KC
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 8-7, 2.98 ERA
🔍 Kansas City scored 20 runs Friday. The Royals have MLB’s lowest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching at 17.0%.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -137, Royals +113 | Total: 8.0
San Diego Padres (83-71) @ Chicago White Sox (58-96) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115)
🔹 Yu Darvish (SD): 4-5, 5.63 ERA — has allowed a home run in 8 straight starts
🔹 Yoendrys Gómez (CWS): 3-2, 4.91 ERA
🔍 San Diego’s bullpen has MLB’s lowest OPS allowed at .617. Chicago ranks 25th with a .674 OPS.
💰 Odds: Padres -172, White Sox +140 | Total: 8.5
Milwaukee Brewers (94-60) @ St. Louis Cardinals (75-79) – 7:15 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (+100)
🔹 Chad Patrick (MIL): 3-8, 3.64 ERA — 116 strikeouts in 111.1 innings
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 8-10, 4.80 ERA — 3.27 ERA in 4 starts vs MIL this season
🔍 Milwaukee leads MLB with a .334 OBP. St. Louis ranks 25th in slugging at .379.
💰 Odds: Brewers -143, Cardinals +118 | Total: 8.5
Los Angeles Angels (69-85) @ Colorado Rockies (42-112) – 8:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 11.5 (-110)
🔹 Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 7-10, 5.01 ERA — 5.78 ERA on the road
🔹 Germán Márquez (COL): 3-14, 6.73 ERA — 12.36 ERA across last 5 starts
🔍 Colorado owns MLB’s worst record. Los Angeles has lost eight straight.
💰 Odds: Angels -126, Rockies +104 | Total: 11.5
Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (77-77) – 8:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-110)
🔹 Aaron Nola (PHI): 4-9, 6.44 ERA
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 12-14, 4.73 ERA
🔍 Philadelphia is 8-2 in its last 10 games. Arizona sits at .500.
💰 Odds: Diamondbacks -118, Phillies -103 | Total: 9.0
San Francisco Giants (76-78) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (87-67) – 9:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-101)
🔹 Kai-Wei Teng (SF): 2-4, 6.41 ERA — 5.85 ERA on the road
🔹 Tyler Glasnow (LAD): 3-3, 3.06 ERA — 2.38 ERA at Dodger Stadium
🔍 The Under is 7-1-3 in Glasnow’s last 11 starts. San Francisco is hitting .215 with a .637 OPS vs left-handed pitching, both worst in MLB.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -239, Giants +192 | Total: 8.5
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