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🔥 Top Picks
Rangers ML (+104) @ Astros – 8:10 PM ET
Jack Leiter has allowed three or fewer runs in seven straight starts and has pitched into the sixth inning in eight consecutive outings. Jason Alexander has given up 12 earned runs over just 6 innings this season.
Yankees/Twins Over 9.0 (-105) – 7:40 PM ET
The Yankees and Twins have combined to go over in five of their last seven meetings. Simeon Woods Richardson has issued 41 walks in 94.1 innings, and New York leads MLB in walks and chase rate (26%).
Cubs/Pirates Under 8.0 (-108) – 6:40 PM ET
Jameson Taillon has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four straight starts, and Braxton Ashcraft has allowed one or fewer in six straight. The Pirates have scored two runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games.
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⚾ Game Previews
Chicago Cubs (85-64, .570) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (65-85, .433) – 6:40 PM ET
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.0 (-108)
🔹 Jameson Taillon (CHC): 9-6, 4.15 ERA, 83 SO — 2 ER or fewer in 4 straight starts
🔹 Braxton Ashcraft (PIT): 4-2, 2.47 ERA, 56 SO — 1 ER or fewer in 6 straight starts
🔍 Chicago enters having won four of their last five games. Pittsburgh has dropped four of their last five contests. The Cubs lead the season series 7–3.
💰 Odds: Cubs -122, Pirates +101 | Total: 8.0
Atlanta Braves (66-83, .443) @ Washington Nationals (62-87, .416) – 6:45 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-111)
🔹 Spencer Strider (ATL): 5-13, 4.86 ERA, 114 SO — 9.6 K/9
🔹 Mitchell Parker (WSH): 8-15, 5.69 ERA, 100 SO — ER allowed in last 5 starts: 2, 2, 3, 6, 5
🔍 Atlanta has lost four of its last five games. Washington is 2-3 in its last five. The season series is tied 3–3.
💰 Odds: Braves -168, Nationals +138 | Total: 9.0
Toronto Blue Jays (87-62, .584) @ Tampa Bay Rays (73-76, .490) – 7:35 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-105)
🔹 Trey Yesavage (TOR): MLB debut — 2.89 ERA, 11.2 K/9 in Triple-A
🔹 TBD (TB)
🔍 Toronto has won six of its last seven and leads MLB with a .270 team batting average. Tampa Bay has lost five of its last six and eight of ten. The under is 14-6-2 in the last 22 meetings between these teams in Tampa.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -118, Rays -103 | Total: 8.5
Baltimore Orioles (69-80, .463) @ Chicago White Sox (57-93, .380) – 7:40 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-119)
🔹 Kyle Bradish (BAL): 0-1, 2.65 ERA, 21 SO — 7 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 6 SO in most recent start
🔹 TBD (CWS)
🔍 Baltimore has scored 23 runs over its last 9 games (2.55/game). The White Sox rank 27th in wRC+ for the season with an 88 rating. The Orioles rank 25th in September wRC+ (81).
💰 Odds: Orioles -144, White Sox +118 | Total: 8.0
New York Yankees (83-66, .557) @ Minnesota Twins (65-84, .436) – 7:40 PM ET
🔥 Top Pick: Over 9.0 (-105)
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 16-8, 3.11 ERA, 186 SO — 2.43 ERA in last 5 starts
🔹 Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 6-4, 4.58 ERA, 84 SO — 6.75 ERA in last 5 starts
🔍 New York is 9–1 in its last 10 meetings with Minnesota and 14–6 in its last 20 games. Minnesota has allowed a 6.55 ERA over its last 5 games. The total has moved up from 8.5 to 9.0.
💰 Odds: Yankees -194, Twins +158 | Total: 9.0
Cincinnati Reds (74-75, .497) @ St. Louis Cardinals (73-77, .487) – 7:45 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-112)
🔹 Zack Littell (CIN): 9-8, 3.78 ERA, 120 SO — 3 ER or fewer in 8 of last 10 starts
🔹 Matthew Liberatore (STL): 7-12, 4.35 ERA, 110 SO — 5.11 ERA in last 6 starts
🔍 The Reds have lost seven straight night games against teams with losing records. Cardinals hitters are batting .217 with two outs, lowest in the NL. Busch Stadium has pitcher-friendly dimensions.
💰 Odds: Reds -105, Cardinals -115 | Total: 8.5
Texas Rangers (79-71, .527) @ Houston Astros (81-69, .540) – 8:10 PM ET
🔥 Top Pick: Rangers ML (+104)
🔹 Jack Leiter (TEX): 9-8, 3.81 ERA, 130 SO — 3 ER or fewer in 7 straight; 6+ IP in 8 straight
🔹 Jason Alexander (HOU): 4-1, 4.19 ERA, 55 SO — 12 ER in 6 IP this season
🔍 Texas is 7–3 in its last 10 games, allowing 3.7 runs per game in that span. Houston is 4–6 over its last 10. Alexander has a 2.83 WHIP and 18.00 ERA in 2025.
💰 Odds: Astros -127, Rangers +104 | Total: 8.5
San Francisco Giants (75-74, .503) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (75-75, .500) – 9:40 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (+100)
🔹 Kai-Wei Teng (SF): 2-4, 7.54 ERA, 28 SO — 19 ER in 22.2 IP; 1.76 WHIP
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 11-14, 4.84 ERA, 157 SO — 3.95 ERA vs SF in 13.2 IP this year
🔍 Arizona ranks top five in MLB in runs (743), slugging (.434), and home runs (203). The total has moved from 8.5 to 9.5. Diamondbacks hitters are batting .293 with a .362 OBP third time through the order.
💰 Odds: Diamondbacks -132, Giants +108 | Total: 9.5
Philadelphia Phillies (89-61, .593) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (84-65, .564) – 10:10 PM ET
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-108)
🔹 Ranger Suárez (PHI): 12-6, 2.77 ERA, 140 SO — Phillies are 2-1 when underdog with him starting
🔹 Emmet Sheehan (LAD): 6-3, 3.32 ERA, 69 SO — Dodgers are 5-4 when favored with him starting
🔍 Philadelphia averages 6.3 runs per game over its last 10 contests. Kyle Schwarber has 52 home runs and 127 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 49 home runs.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -123, Phillies +101 | Total: 8.5
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