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🔥 Top Picks
Tigers -1.5 (-110) @ Athletics – 10:05 PM ET
Skubal brings a 2.32 ERA and 200 strikeouts into a homecoming start against J.T. Ginn, who has a 6.75 ERA at home. Detroit's won 8 of its last 10 and ranks second in MLB with a .781 OPS vs left-handed pitching.
Phillies/Mets Under 8 (-115) – 7:10 PM ET
Cristopher Sánchez (2.46 ERA) and Kodai Senga (2.58 ERA) go toe-to-toe at Citi Field, which ranks 24th in run scoring factor (0.913). Philly starters lead MLB with a 3.11 road ERA, and both arms are dealing — this profiles as a low-scoring battle.
Royals ML (-138) @ White Sox – 7:40 PM ET
Noah Cameron has a 2.11 road ERA, while Shane Smith has posted a 7.22 ERA over his last 9 starts. Kansas City’s 8-2 vs the Sox this season and has won 7 of its last 10 — they have the clear momentum and matchup edge.
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⚾ Game Previews
Boston Red Sox (71-60) @ Baltimore Orioles (60-70) – 6:35 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Over 9.5 (-105)
🔹 Brennan Bernardino (BOS): 4-2, 2.93 ERA — 14 straight scoreless innings
🔹 Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 10-5, 3.97 ERA — 0 HR allowed in last 4 starts
🔍 Sugano held Boston to one unearned run across five innings last week, but the Red Sox are expected to use an opener/bulk combo, and Baltimore's bullpen has struggled recently. With both teams likely leaning on relief, this leans over.
💰 Odds: Red Sox -121, Orioles +100 | Total: 9.5
Tampa Bay Rays (63-67) @ Cleveland Guardians (64-65) – 6:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-111)
🔹 Ian Seymour (TB): 1-0, 3.86 ERA — making first MLB start
🔹 Tanner Bibee (CLE): 9-9, 4.62 ERA — 5.56 ERA over last 8 starts
🔍 Cleveland has dropped eight of its last nine and owns the league’s lowest OPS (.541) and batting average (.182) in RHP vs RHB matchups. Tampa's righty-heavy bullpen creates a tough setup for the Guardians' offense.
💰 Odds: Guardians -125, Rays +103 | Total: 7.5
Atlanta Braves (59-71) @ Miami Marlins (61-69) – 6:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-110)
🔹 Spencer Strider (ATL): 5-11, 5.24 ERA — 6.11 ERA on the road
🔹 Edward Cabrera (MIA): 6-7, 3.52 ERA — 2.81 ERA in August
🔍 Strider has struggled on the road while Cabrera has been sharp lately. loanDepot park ranks second in MLB in run-scoring factor (1.131), and this matchup leans toward another high-scoring night.
💰 Odds: Braves -114, Marlins -106 | Total: 7.5
Washington Nationals (53-77) @ New York Yankees (70-60) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-110)
🔹 Brad Lord (WSH): 4-6, 3.46 ERA — 2-1 with 3.48 ERA since July 28
🔹 Cam Schlittler (NYY): 1-2, 3.22 ERA — retired first 18 batters last start
🔍 The Yankees lead MLB in OPS (.781) and slugging (.452), while the Nationals' bullpen ranks dead last with a 5.52 ERA. With both trends aligning, the total leans over.
💰 Odds: Yankees -241, Nationals +193 | Total: 9.0
Minnesota Twins (59-71) @ Toronto Blue Jays (76-55) – 7:07 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-115)
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 12-6, 2.96 ERA — 3.00 ERA in 3 career starts vs TOR
🔹 Max Scherzer (TOR): 4-2, 3.60 ERA — 9-2 with 4.09 ERA in 18 career starts vs MIN
🔍 Minnesota is 8-14 in August and was just shut out 8-0 by the White Sox. With the Blue Jays owning MLB’s lowest team strikeout rate (17%) and Ryan’s consistent success vs TOR, this leans under.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -149, Twins +122 | Total: 8.0
Philadelphia Phillies (76-54) @ New York Mets (69-61) – 7:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.0 (-115)
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 11-4, 2.46 ERA — 12 Ks in last start
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 7-5, 2.58 ERA — first start on four days’ rest
🔍 Sánchez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 straight starts, and Philly’s starters own MLB's best road ERA (3.11). With two frontline arms at Citi Field, this projects as a low-scoring affair.
💰 Odds: Phillies -136, Mets +112 | Total: 8.0
Kansas City Royals (67-64) @ Chicago White Sox (47-83) – 7:40 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Royals ML (-138)
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 7-5, 2.53 ERA — 2.11 ERA on the road
🔹 Shane Smith (CHW): 3-7, 4.12 ERA — 7.22 ERA over last 9 starts
🔍 KC hitters have the second-lowest strikeout rate vs RHP (17%), while the White Sox have dropped 8 of 10 in the season series. Cameron’s road form + Smith’s recent decline gives KC the edge.
💰 Odds: Royals -138, White Sox +114 | Total: 8.5
Arizona Diamondbacks (64-67) @ Milwaukee Brewers (81-50) – 7:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-108)
🔹 Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI): 5-7, 5.40 ERA — 5.88 ERA on the road
🔹 Brandon Woodruff (MIL): 4-1, 2.47 ERA — 1.86 ERA at home
🔍 Woodruff owns a 0.85 WHIP and .196 BAA, while Arizona's bullpen has a 5.68 ERA in late-game spots. Unders have hit in 15 of Milwaukee's last 20 games as favorites vs NL West teams.
💰 Odds: Brewers -183, Diamondbacks +149 | Total: 8.0
Pittsburgh Pirates (57-74) @ St. Louis Cardinals (64-67) – 7:45 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-102)
🔹 Johan Oviedo (PIT): 1-0, 4.50 ERA — 9 Ks in 6 IP in 2025 debut
🔹 Michael McGreevy (STL): 5-2, 4.26 ERA — just 7 walks in 57 IP
🔍 Busch Stadium’s pitcher-friendly backdrop and inconsistent recent form from both clubs set this up as a quieter night. The last 7 meetings in St. Louis have averaged just 7.3 total runs.
💰 Odds: Cardinals -149, Pirates +122 | Total: 7.5
Los Angeles Angels (61-69) @ Texas Rangers (66-66) – 8:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-106)
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 8-9, 4.00 ERA — LAA has 5.76 team ERA in last 10
🔹 Jacob deGrom (TEX): 10-5, 2.76 ERA — 148 strikeouts
🔍 Texas is averaging 5.1 runs per game over their last 10 and leads the season series 6-4. The Angels strike out in 26% of their plate appearances — highest in MLB — setting up more scoring chances for a power-hitting Rangers team.
💰 Odds: Rangers -176, Angels +144 | Total: 7.5
San Diego Padres (74-57) @ Seattle Mariners (70-61) – 9:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-102)
🔹 JP Sears (SD): 8-10, 4.94 ERA — 0-5 in last 5 vs SEA
🔹 Bryce Miller (SEA): 2-5, 5.87 ERA — second career start vs SD
🔍 Padres relievers lead MLB with a .211 opponent average. With two shaky starters but a dominant pen and pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, this one leans under.
💰 Odds: Mariners -132, Padres +108 | Total: 8.0
Detroit Tigers (78-54) @ Oakland Athletics (60-72) – 10:05 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers -1.5 (-110)
🔹 Tarik Skubal (DET): 11-3, 2.32 ERA — 10 Ks in 7 scoreless IP last start
🔹 J.T. Ginn (OAK): 2-5, 4.95 ERA — 6.75 ERA at home
🔍 Skubal hasn’t lost a start since July 11 and faces an A’s lineup he shut down earlier this season. Detroit is 8-2 in its last 10, with a .781 OPS vs LHP — second-best in MLB.
💰 Odds: Tigers -224, Athletics +181 | Total: 9.0
Cincinnati Reds (68-63) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (74-57) – 10:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-110)
🔹 Hunter Greene (CIN): 5-3, 2.63 ERA — 3 ER total over last 3 starts
🔹 Emmet Sheehan (LAD): 4-2, 4.17 ERA — 44 Ks in 41 IP
🔍 Greene’s 0.93 WHIP and triple-digit heat pairs well with Dodger Stadium’s 0.940 run factor at night. With both pens in solid form and elite stuff on the mound, the under makes sense here.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -149, Reds +123 | Total: 8.0
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