Today's MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Tigers ML (-136) vs Rays – 6:40 PM ET
Detroit has won four straight and seven of ten, and Flaherty faces a Rays lineup that hammered him last month but has cooled lately. Tigers are 34–14 at home and should stay hot.

Dodgers/Brewers Under 8.5 (-108) – 7:40 PM ET
Kershaw’s veteran command meets a Brewers team with the NL’s worst home OPS (.662). With Milwaukee’s offense struggling and Misiorowski’s solid 3.20 ERA, expect a low-scoring grind.

Cubs ML (-132) vs Twins – 7:40 PM ET
Chicago’s offense leads MLB in road slugging (.477) and Seiya Suzuki’s bat has been scorching. Woods Richardson has allowed 4+ ER in 3 of his last 5, while Imanaga has been rock solid.

All times EDT

New York Mets (52-39, .571) @ Baltimore Orioles (40-49, .449) – 6:35 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 10.0 (-109)
🔹 Clay Holmes (NYM): 8-4, 2.99 ERA, 76 SO — allowed ≤3 ER in 14 of last 16 starts
🔹 Brandon Young (BAL): 0-3, 7.02 ERA, 15 SO — 1.98 WHIP, opponents slugging .589
🔍 The Mets have won 7 of 10 and face a Baltimore team just 15–31 vs winning teams. With Camden playing pitcher-friendly and Holmes in control, the under looks sharp.
💰 Odds: Mets -125, Orioles +103 | Total: 10.0

Tampa Bay Rays (49-42, .538) @ Detroit Tigers (58-34, .630) – 6:40 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-136)
🔹 Ryan Pepiot (TB): 6-6, 3.34 ERA, 101 SO — allowed 1 ER vs DET in last meeting
🔹 Jack Flaherty (DET): 5-9, 4.84 ERA, 109 SO — shelled for 8 ER by TB on June 21
🔍 Tigers are 34–14 at home and have won 4 straight; Rays have lost 7 of 10 and struggle on the road. Riley Greene (.345 vs TB) stays dangerous here.
💰 Odds: Tigers -136, Rays +112 | Total: 8.0

Seattle Mariners (48-42, .533) @ New York Yankees (49-41, .544) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-114)
🔹 Logan Gilbert (SEA): 2-2, 3.40 ERA, 74 SO — elite 0.95 WHIP
🔹 Will Warren (NYY): 5-4, 5.02 ERA, 107 SO — 8 ER in last start
🔍 Seattle hasn’t allowed a run in 29.2 innings and owns MLB’s best road OBP (.343). Yankees have lost 7 of 10 and seen unders in 31 of 49 at home.
💰 Odds: Yankees -137, Mariners +113 | Total: 9.0

Colorado Rockies (21-70, .231) @ Boston Red Sox (47-45, .511) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-106)
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 1-9, 5.49 ERA, 61 SO — opponents hit .346 against him
🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 4-3, 3.42 ERA, 55 SO — 5 straight quality starts
🔍 Boston has scored 76 runs in 9 games and Roman Anthony is batting .386. Rockies starters have MLB’s worst ERA (6.34).
💰 Odds: Red Sox -252, Rockies +201 | Total: 9.0

Miami Marlins (41-48, .461) @ Cincinnati Reds (46-45, .505) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-112)
🔹 Eury Pérez (MIA): 1-2, 4.50 ERA, 21 SO — coming off 6 shutout innings
🔹 Nick Martinez (CIN): 6-8, 4.20 ERA, 71 SO — 3-0, 1.90 ERA career vs MIA
🔍 Marlins have won 11 of 14; Reds’ bats are ice-cold with just 3 runs in 3 games. Both starters capable of keeping this tight.
💰 Odds: Reds -123, Marlins +101 | Total: 9.0

Pittsburgh Pirates (38-54, .413) @ Kansas City Royals (44-48, .478) – 7:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-110)
🔹 Mitch Keller (PIT): 3-10, 3.64 ERA, 84 SO — 7 shutout innings last start
🔹 Seth Lugo (KC): 6-5, 2.65 ERA, 83 SO — 1.26 ERA in June
🔍 Pirates have scored just 3 runs in 4 games; KC’s Witt Jr. stays hot with an 11-game hit streak. Both starters can control the pace.
💰 Odds: Royals -143, Pirates +118 | Total: 8.0

Chicago Cubs (54-36, .600) @ Minnesota Twins (43-47, .478) – 7:40 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs ML (-132)
🔹 Shota Imanaga (CHC): 5-2, 2.78 ERA, 41 SO — 2 ER or fewer in 8 of 10 starts
🔹 Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 4-4, 4.41 ERA, 55 SO — 4+ ER in 3 of last 5
🔍 Cubs lead MLB in road slugging and have won 7 of 10; Suzuki and Busch lead a red-hot lineup. Twins struggle to keep up offensively.
💰 Odds: Cubs -132, Twins +108 | Total: 9.0

Toronto Blue Jays (53-38, .582) @ Chicago White Sox (30-61, .330) – 7:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-103)
🔹 Chris Bassitt (TOR): 8-4, 4.32 ERA, 102 SO — clear edge here
🔹 Aaron Civale (CHW): 1-5, 4.60 ERA, 33 SO — 0-3 with White Sox
🔍 Jays have won 9 straight and average 4.6 runs/game in that stretch; Springer is red-hot. Rate Field boosts run scoring.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -198, White Sox +160 | Total: 9.0

Los Angeles Dodgers (56-36, .609) @ Milwaukee Brewers (51-40, .560) – 7:40 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-108)
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 4-0, 3.43 ERA, 32 SO — just joined 3,000 K club
🔹 Jacob Misiorowski (MIL): 3-1, 3.20 ERA, 21 SO — solid in rookie year
🔍 Dodgers’ RISP OPS (.902) meets Brewers’ league-worst home OPS (.662). With Kershaw settling in, the under has value.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -127, Brewers +105 | Total: 8.5

Washington Nationals (37-53, .411) @ St. Louis Cardinals (48-43, .527) – 7:45 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115)
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 7-3, 4.71 ERA, 75 SO — 5.13 ERA on the road
🔹 Sonny Gray (STL): 8-3, 3.51 ERA, 107 SO — 2.89 ERA at home
🔍 Gray’s dominance and Busch’s pitcher-friendly park suppress runs. Nationals lack depth beyond Wood.
💰 Odds: Cardinals -218, Nationals +176 | Total: 8.5

Cleveland Guardians (41-48, .461) @ Houston Astros (55-36, .604) – 8:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.0 (-102)
🔹 Joey Cantillo (CLE): 1-0, 3.41 ERA, 41 SO — 11.7 K/9
🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 9-3, 1.82 ERA, 126 SO — elite form
🔍 Astros’ strong pitching and Guardians’ weak .225 team average point to another low total.
💰 Odds: Astros -202, Guardians +164 | Total: 7.0

Texas Rangers (44-47, .484) @ Los Angeles Angels (44-46, .489) – 9:38 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-102)
🔹 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 5-3, 1.75 ERA, 80 SO — 0.85 WHIP
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 6-5, 3.72 ERA, 91 SO — allowed just 4 HR in 104 IP
🔍 Rangers’ bullpen collapse looms, but Eovaldi vs Angels’ strikeout-heavy bats favors the under.
💰 Odds: Rangers -119, Angels -102 | Total: 8.0

Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46, .495) @ San Diego Padres (48-42, .533) – 9:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-104)
🔹 Merrill Kelly (ARI): 7-4, 3.55 ERA, 103 SO — solid control
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 9-2, 3.25 ERA, 107 SO — 1.04 WHIP
🔍 Two sharp starters and both offenses have been inconsistent. Under is the play.
💰 Odds: Padres -137, Diamondbacks +113 | Total: 7.5

Philadelphia Phillies (53-38, .582) @ San Francisco Giants (50-42, .543) – 9:45 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-108)
🔹 Taijuan Walker (PHI): 3-5, 3.64 ERA, 46 SO — inconsistent
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 9-3, 2.68 ERA, 117 SO — coming off complete game
🔍 Giants’ bullpen has MLB’s best ERA (2.92), and Ray dominates at home. Tight, low-scoring tilt expected.
💰 Odds: Giants -155, Phillies +127 | Total: 8.0

Atlanta Braves (39-50, .438) @ Oakland Athletics (37-55, .402) – 10:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.5 (-106)
🔹 Didier Fuentes (ATL): 0-2, 9.00 ERA, 10 SO — opponents hitting .346
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 6-6, 4.07 ERA, 79 SO — steady but not dominant
🔍 Both teams’ bullpens and starters have been shaky. Fuentes’ struggles and Oakland’s poor relief corps could produce fireworks.
💰 Odds: Braves -122, Athletics +100 | Total: 10.5

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