
We deliver concise MLB previews with key takeaways for every matchup, so you’re informed without the hassle. Our AI-driven analysis simulates sports traders’ betting strategies to identify the best bets.
We’re most active on Twitter. Reply to this email with your thoughts, bets, or anything else — we respond to every reply.
🔥 Top Picks
Tigers/Diamondbacks Under 9.0 (-101) – 1:10 PM
Ryne Nelson hasn’t lost since June 7 and just blanked Pittsburgh, while Detroit’s offense cooled after two blowout wins. With Paddack debuting in Motown and both bullpens in play, runs should be scarce.
Mets ML (-108) @ Padres – 4:10 PM
Clay Holmes has quietly stabilized New York’s rotation, while Yu Darvish’s 9.18 ERA has cratered San Diego’s hopes. With the Mets’ MLB-best 47% hard-hit rate against righties, they’re in a strong bounce-back spot.
Rangers ML (-126) @ Angels – 9:38 PM
Nathan Eovaldi’s road ERA sits at an elite 1.26, and he’s already blanked L.A. this year. Facing Soriano’s 5.37 home ERA, Texas has the clear edge despite recent road woes.
Sponsored
🎯 Boost Your Edge with Novig
Looking for better odds and a smarter way to play? Check out Novig — the #1 Sports Prediction Market in the U.S.
🧠 On Novig, you trade, not bet. That means:
You play against other users, not the house
You can set your own odds or take the best available
You can play with Coins for fun, or trade Cash for the chance to win real rewards
💸 Use code MONTE on your first purchase to get a 50% match up to $25.
✅ Available in 42 states | Must be 21+ | No purchase necessary
Join the future of sports trading → Join Novig
⚾ Game Previews
Toronto Blue Jays (63-46) @ Baltimore Orioles (50-58) – 12:35 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-105)
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 7-4, 3.83 ERA — allowed 4+ ER in both meetings with BAL
🔹 Dean Kremer (BAL): 8-7, 4.23 ERA — 5+ Ks in last 5 AL East home starts
🔍 Baltimore’s won five straight and is chasing a four-game sweep. Toronto’s allowed 10+ runs in three of four, while Camden Yards’ OPS boost favors Baltimore’s bats.
💰 Odds: Orioles -117, Blue Jays -103 | Total: 10.0
Arizona Diamondbacks (51-57) @ Detroit Tigers (63-46) – 1:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Under 9.0 (-101)
🔹 Ryne Nelson (ARI): 6-2, 3.29 ERA — 7-1 in last 8 starts
🔹 Chris Paddack (DET): 3-9, 4.95 ERA — debuting for Tigers after 1 ER in last Twins start
🔍 Arizona’s offense has gone Under in six of seven, while Detroit’s dropped 7 of 10. Expect a tight duel in Comerica’s finale.
💰 Odds: Tigers -132, Dbacks +108 | Total: 9.0
Boston Red Sox (58-51) @ Minnesota Twins (51-56) – 1:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-103)
🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 6-5, 3.32 ERA — limits lefties effectively
🔹 Zebby Matthews (MIN): 2-2, 4.97 ERA — young arm facing tough lineup
🔍 Boston’s lineup (.750 OPS) meets Minnesota’s inconsistency, but late-inning edges tilt Boston. The low total aligns with Bello’s form.
💰 Odds: BOS -108, MIN -112 | Total: 8.0
Washington Nationals (44-63) @ Houston Astros (61-47) – 2:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-119)
🔹 MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 4-10, 3.52 ERA — elite 29% K rate
🔹 Ryan Gusto (HOU): 6-4, 5.18 ERA — due for positive regression
🔍 With Houston’s bats missing key stars and Gore missing barrels, expect a low-scoring rubber game.
💰 Odds: Astros -121, Nationals -101 | Total: 8.0
Atlanta Braves (45-61) @ Kansas City Royals (53-55) – 2:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-117)
🔹 Joey Wentz (ATL): 2-2, 5.76 ERA — inconsistent in short Braves stint
🔹 Angel Zerpa (KC): 3-1, 4.15 ERA — mostly a reliever, spot start today
🔍 KC’s contact skills (18% K rate) and Bobby Witt Jr.’s hot bat should carry, but pitching uncertainty suggests a cautious Under.
💰 Odds: Royals -131, Braves +108 | Total: 9.5
Philadelphia Phillies (61-46) @ Chicago White Sox (39-69) – 2:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-108)
🔹 Taijuan Walker (PHI): 3-5, 3.84 ERA — 3 HR allowed last start
🔹 Adrian Houser (CHW): 6-2, 2.10 ERA — 4-0 with 1.91 ERA last 5
🔍 Chicago can’t hit (.226 team BA), and Houser’s hot streak makes this a low-scoring duel despite Philly’s road pop.
💰 Odds: Phillies -139, White Sox +114 | Total: 9.0
Chicago Cubs (62-45) @ Milwaukee Brewers (64-43) – 2:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.0 (+103)
🔹 Shota Imanaga (CHC): 7-4, 3.12 ERA — shaky last start, fly-ball prone
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 12-4, 2.81 ERA — 4-1 with 2.51 ERA in last 5
🔍 Milwaukee’s pitching edge and Wrigley’s woes put pressure on Chicago. Expect Peralta to control a tight one.
💰 Odds: Brewers -123, Cubs +101 | Total: 7.0
Pittsburgh Pirates (46-62) @ San Francisco Giants (54-54) – 3:45 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-122)
🔹 Mike Burrows (PIT): 1-3, 4.15 ERA — strong recent form
🔹 Logan Webb (SF): 9-8, 3.38 ERA — 16 ER in last 3 starts
🔍 Pirates’ hot streak (7 of 8) meets Giants’ skid. With Webb off and Burrows untested, runs should flow.
💰 Odds: Giants -218, Pirates +176 | Total: 7.5
New York Mets (62-46) @ San Diego Padres (59-49) – 4:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Mets ML (-108)
🔹 Clay Holmes (NYM): 9-5, 3.40 ERA — thriving as starter
🔹 Yu Darvish (SD): 0-3, 9.18 ERA — only 1 of 4 starts >5 IP
🔍 Mets’ elite hard-hit rate faces a struggling Darvish. San Diego’s pen is strong, but Holmes provides the edge.
💰 Odds: Mets -108, Padres -113 | Total: 8.5
Colorado Rockies (28-79) @ Cleveland Guardians (53-54) – 6:40 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-115)
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 2-10, 5.24 ERA — better 4.16 ERA on road
🔹 Kolby Allard (CLE): 2-1, 2.83 ERA — hasn’t gone 6 IP yet
🔍 Rockies swing better lately, but Cleveland’s offense struggles vs lefties (.225 BA). Unders trend with both staffs.
💰 Odds: Guardians -192, Rockies +156 | Total: 8.0
Tampa Bay Rays (54-54) @ New York Yankees (58-49) – 7:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-114)
🔹 Zack Littell (TB): 8-8, 3.72 ERA — contact-heavy profile
🔹 Will Warren (NYY): 6-5, 4.82 ERA — hurt by high BABIP
🔍 Judge’s absence limits NYY pop, while Rays’ pen stifles late rallies. Series trends lean Under.
💰 Odds: Yankees -143, Rays +118 | Total: 9.0
Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) @ Cincinnati Reds (56-52) – 7:10 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-108)
🔹 Shohei Ohtani (LAD): 0-0, 1.50 ERA — limited to ~4 innings
🔹 Nick Martinez (CIN): 9-9, 4.69 ERA — shaky but wins lately
🔍 Reds haven’t been swept all year, but LA’s offense (.874 RISP OPS) is dangerous. Expect runs in hitter-friendly GABP.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -171, Reds +140 | Total: 9.5
Miami Marlins (51-55) @ St. Louis Cardinals (55-54) – 7:45 PM
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-119)
🔹 Cal Quantrill (MIA): 3-8, 5.05 ERA — owns 0.56 ERA in 5 career vs STL
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 6-7, 4.94 ERA — 2.35 ERA last 3
🔍 Hot weather + shaky pens point to runs despite Quantrill’s past success.
💰 Odds: Cardinals -150, Marlins +123 | Total: 8.5
Texas Rangers (56-52) @ Los Angeles Angels (53-55) – 9:38 PM
🔥 Top Pick: Rangers ML (-126)
🔹 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 8-3, 1.50 ERA — dominant with 0.88 WHIP
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 7-7, 3.79 ERA — 8.78 ERA in 2 starts vs TEX
🔍 Eovaldi’s road dominance and Texas’ staff (.222 opp BA) outweigh Angels’ recent surge.
💰 Odds: Rangers -126, Angels +104 | Total: 8.0
Seattle Mariners (57-51) @ Oakland Athletics (47-63) – 10:05 PM
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-112)
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 8-5, 2.91 ERA — 0.95 WHIP
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 9-7, 4.13 ERA — 1.64 ERA vs SEA in 2 starts
🔍 Oakland’s surge meets Woo’s elite road arm. With 6 of 9 meetings Under, trends back a low score.
💰 Odds: Mariners -148, Athletics +122 | Total: 9.5
🎯 Boost Your Betting Research with Jaxon 2.0
Looking to make smarter picks faster? Meet Jaxon 2.0 — Pine Sports’ AI-powered research assistant.
🧠 With Jaxon, you can:
Ask game-specific questions and get instant insights
Explore player matchups, trends, and prop recommendations
Access real data from the last 10 years — no spreadsheets needed
💡 Trusted by bettors, creators, and live broadcasters alike.
💸 Use code MONTE for 25% off your first subscription (Sponsored)
✅ Subscribe now →
👀 New to Monte Carmelo?
Preview every MLB game today with our short-form write-ups. Each newsletter has:
🔮 Best Bets at the top.
📊 Game Previews below.
👀 Plus, we’re building tools to let you experiment on your own - more coming soon…
Are you a sportsbook operator? Reply to this email to discuss integrating our live game write-ups into your platform or explore our B2B site: montecarmelo.info
Big Tech Has Spent Billions Acquiring AI Smart Home Startups
The pattern is clear: when innovative companies successfully integrate AI into everyday products, tech giants pay billions to acquire them.
Google paid $3.2B for Nest.
Amazon spent $1.2B on Ring.
LG just acquired startup Homey, signaling their move into the smart home.
Now, a new AI-powered smart home company is following their exact path to acquisition—but is still available to everyday investors at just $2.00 per share.
With proprietary technology that connects smart shades to all major AI ecosystems, this startup has achieved what big tech wants most: seamless AI integration into daily home life.
Over 10 patents, 200% year-over-year growth, and a forecast to 5x revenue this year — this company is moving fast to seize the smart home opportunity.
The acquisition pattern is predictable. The opportunity to get in before it happens is not.
Last chance to invest at $2.00 before the round closes.
Interested in making your own newsletter? Use the link below to receive a 30-day trial + 20% OFF for 3 months on Beehiiv! Reply to this email, and we’ll even help you get started with AI tips and tricks to jumpstart your journey