Sunday's MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Tigers ML (-206) at Rangers – 7:10 PM ET
Skubal (10-3, 2.23 ERA) faces a weak Texas lineup batting just .232 this season. Detroit crushes lefties (.770 OPS, 3rd in MLB) and draws Jacob Latz in only his second start.

Reds/Mets Under 8.5 (-118) – 1:40 PM ET
Two in-form lefties — Abbott (2.07 ERA) and Peterson (1.32 ERA last two starts) — square off. Both teams have been trending under, cashing in 4 of last 6 head-to-head.

Giants/Blue Jays Under 8.5 (-115) – 12:05 PM ET
Robbie Ray (2.65 ERA) returns to Toronto against Berríos, who’s been solid at home. San Francisco has struck out 21 times with no walks in this series, struggling badly.

All times EDT

🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-115)
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 9-3, 2.65 ERA, 128 SO — former Blue Jay, limits HRs to 0.98/9 IP
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 5-4, 3.75 ERA, 97 SO — strong home splits despite shaky peripherals
🔍 Toronto seeks a sweep behind a 9-game home streak. Giants have just three runs in two games here and are chasing everything. Runs figure to be scarce.
💰 Odds: Giants -108, Blue Jays -112 | Total: 8.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-123)
🔹 Trevor Rogers (BAL): 2-1, 1.53 ERA, 32 SO — 0.82 WHIP, lights-out last two starts
🔹 Ryan Pepiot (TB): 6-7, 3.38 ERA, 110 SO — 3.13 ERA at home
🔍 Baltimore has scored just 5 runs in its last 4 games, and both teams rank bottom-10 in offense vs LHP. Great chance for another low total here.
💰 Odds: Orioles +104, Rays -126 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-117)
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 9-2, 2.88 ERA, 122 SO — seeking 10th win, 0 ER last outing
🔹 MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 4-8, 3.02 ERA, 138 SO — quality start machine despite record
🔍 Both starters have sub-3.10 ERAs, and the Nats average just 3.1 runs over last 10. Padres’ disciplined bats could still struggle vs Gore’s strikeouts.
💰 Odds: Padres -126, Nationals +104 | Total: 8.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-102)
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 6-7, 3.90 ERA, 98 SO — inconsistent, 5+ ER in 4 of last 8 starts
🔹 Ranger Suárez (PHI): 7-3, 2.15 ERA, 78 SO — 12 straight starts of ≤3 ER
🔍 Schwarber and Harper have homered in both games of the series. Angels are striking out 26% of the time (2nd-worst), but bats on both sides are hot.
💰 Odds: Angels +151, Phillies -186 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-105)
🔹 Aaron Civale (CWS): 1-6, 5.30 ERA, 36 SO — winless in 6 starts for Chicago
🔹 Andrew Heaney (PIT): 4-8, 4.59 ERA, 73 SO — 7.99 ERA over last 5
🔍 Both teams rank bottom in batting but Pittsburgh’s pitching has cratered lately (7.33 ERA over last 5). Sox chase their first sweep of the season.
💰 Odds: White Sox +112, Pirates -136 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-104)
🔹 Marcus Stroman (NYY): 1-1, 6.66 ERA, 15 SO — rough year, allowing runs in every start
🔹 Grant Holmes (ATL): 4-8, 3.77 ERA, 119 SO — struggles vs LHB
🔍 Yankees & Braves have both gone over in their last 5+ games. Yankees disciplined approach vs Holmes and Stroman’s woes scream offense.
💰 Odds: Braves -132, Yankees +109 | Total: 10.0

🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-118)
🔹 Andrew Abbott (CIN): 8-1, 2.07 ERA, 83 SO — ≤1 ER in 5 of last 6
🔹 David Peterson (NYM): 6-4, 3.06 ERA, 93 SO — 1.32 ERA last 2 starts
🔍 Both teams are slumping offensively and both starters are dialed in. Cincinnati riding 4-game win streak; Mets on 3-game skid.
💰 Odds: Reds +119, Mets -145 | Total: 8.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-110)
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 8-6, 3.93 ERA, 86 SO — steady
🔹 Gavin Williams (CLE): 5-4, 3.70 ERA, 95 SO — solid at home
🔍 Cleveland bats just .222 (lowest in AL), while Athletics allow 5.61 runs/game (2nd-worst). Guardians’ poor offense keeps this tight.
💰 Odds: Athletics +105, Guardians -127 | Total: 8.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-115)
🔹 Kris Bubic (KC): 7-6, 2.48 ERA, 113 SO — excellent WHIP at 1.16
🔹 Janson Junk (MIA): 4-1, 2.68 ERA, 38 SO — effective in limited innings
🔍 Both teams’ bats have been middling, and both starters have sub-3.00 ERAs. Marlins look to complete the sweep in a likely low-scoring affair.
💰 Odds: Royals -126, Marlins +104 | Total: 7.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 6.5 (+102)
🔹 Garrett Crochet (BOS): 10-4, 2.23 ERA, 160 SO — won 6 straight decisions
🔹 Cade Horton (CHC): 3-3, 4.45 ERA, 43 SO — allowed 14 ER in last 20⅓ IP
🔍 Boston’s bats are elite vs LHP, but Wrigley weather and Crochet’s dominance could make this a low-scoring pitcher’s duel.
💰 Odds: Red Sox -144, Cubs +118 | Total: 6.5

✅ Best Bet: Over 10.5 (-110)
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 9-4, 2.72 ERA, 121 SO — elite WHIP at 0.91
🔹 Germán Márquez (COL): 3-10, 5.57 ERA, 71 SO — struggles at home
🔍 Coors Field plus Márquez’s 5.57 ERA equals fireworks. Rockies starters strike out just 15% of batters (worst in MLB), setting up a high-scoring game.
💰 Odds: Twins -243, Rockies +195 | Total: 10.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 6.5 (-108)
🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 9-4, 2.43 ERA, 137 SO — excellent on the road
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 8-4, 2.75 ERA, 109 SO — holds Houston to .286 in 35 AB
🔍 Both starters excel at limiting damage and T-Mobile Park suppresses runs. Astros try to avoid the sweep in a pitcher’s duel.
💰 Odds: Astros +118, Mariners -144 | Total: 6.5

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-105)
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 5-6, 4.94 ERA, 66 SO — shaky on the road
🔹 Merrill Kelly (ARI): 8-5, 3.34 ERA, 113 SO — sharp lately
🔍 Arizona’s bats woke up for 10 runs yesterday and Cardinals starters have been hammered early. Chase Field roof closed favors hitters.
💰 Odds: Cardinals +127, Diamondbacks -154 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-113)
🔹 Jose Quintana (MIL): 6-3, 3.28 ERA, 48 SO — faces Dodgers’ potent RISP hitters
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 4-1, 3.38 ERA, 35 SO — looking to avoid sweep
🔍 Brewers pitching has neutralized the Dodgers’ MLB-best .887 RISP OPS so far, but LA won’t stay quiet for long. Both teams’ bats should show up.
💰 Odds: Brewers +133, Dodgers -163 | Total: 9.0

🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-206)
🔹 Tarik Skubal (DET): 10-3, 2.23 ERA, 153 SO — dominant lefty
🔹 Jacob Latz (TEX): 1-0, 3.00 ERA, 48 SO — only 2nd start of season
🔍 Detroit is 3rd-best vs LHP (.770 OPS) and Skubal should stop their 6-game skid. Rangers have won 3 straight but face a huge mismatch here.
💰 Odds: Tigers -206, Rangers +167 | Total: 7.0

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