Today's MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-121) vs Nationals – 2:10 PM ET
Freddy Peralta (10-4, 2.74 ERA) is on fire, while Washington’s Jake Irvin has been crushed by Milwaukee before (0-3, 7.32 ERA). The Brewers have won six straight and should cover comfortably at home.

Under 8.5 (-110) Marlins @ Orioles – 1:35 PM ET
Eury Pérez has a .173 opponent average and Miami’s bullpen dominates late, while Baltimore’s Brandon Young (6.14 ERA) struggles yet benefits from Camden’s park factors. Both offenses are cold; this profiles as a lower-scoring grind.

Under 7.0 (-113) Rangers @ Astros – 2:10 PM ET
Nathan Eovaldi (1.62 ERA) and Hunter Brown (2.21 ERA) lead a likely pitching duel. Both bullpens are elite, and Houston’s park plus recent line move toward the under make this a sharp play.

All times EDT

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-110)
🔹 Ryan Pepiot (TB): 6-6, 3.32 ERA, 107 SO — 2 straight quality starts
🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 5-3, 3.27 ERA, 65 SO — 9 IP, 2 ER in last start
🔍 Boston’s won 9 straight, outscoring opponents 39-17. The Rays offense has sputtered (3.2 runs/game this trip) while both starters match up well against these lineups.
💰 Odds: BOS -120, TB -101 | Total: 8.5

🔥 Top Pick: Under 9.0 (-110)
🔹 Eury Pérez (MIA): 2-2, 4.00 ERA, 29 SO — .173 opponent AVG
🔹 Brandon Young (BAL): 0-3, 6.14 ERA, 21 SO — .310 opponent AVG
🔍 Miami blanked Baltimore yesterday, and Pérez is trending up. Orioles’ taxed bullpen and poor vs LHBs favor Miami.
💰 Odds: BAL -131, MIA +107 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-105)
🔹 Shota Imanaga (CHC): 5-3, 2.80 ERA, 42 SO — fly-ball heavy, vulnerable to HR
🔹 Will Warren (NYY): 6-4, 4.70 ERA, 111 SO — 11.1 K/9
🔍 Both lineups are scorching in July and Yankee Stadium amplifies power. Judge, Wells, and Bellinger all in form against two volatile starters.
💰 Odds: NYY -136, CHC +111 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-114)
🔹 Austin Gomber (COL): 0-2, 5.92 ERA, 11 SO — allows hard contact
🔹 Nick Martinez (CIN): 6-9, 4.85 ERA, 73 SO — 10 ER in last start
🔍 Reds aim to give Terry Francona his 2,000th win. Both starters have been rocked lately, and GABP favors hitters.
💰 Odds: CIN -259, COL +207 | Total: 9.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-110)
🔹 Logan Gilbert (SEA): 2-3, 3.72 ERA, 79 SO — excellent WHIP (1.01)
🔹 Jack Flaherty (DET): 5-9, 4.70 ERA, 117 SO — inconsistent control
🔍 Seattle’s road offense (.269) shines, but both starters are capable of quieting bats after two wild games.
💰 Odds: DET -108, SEA -112 | Total: 8.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-103)
🔹 Clay Holmes (NYM): 8-4, 3.29 ERA, 81 SO — coming off rough outing
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 3-4, 2.56 ERA, 50 SO — 6 quality starts in 11 games
🔍 Mets go for road sweep; both lineups have been quiet in the series. Cameron has impressed against RHB-heavy lineups.
💰 Odds: NYM -116, KC -104 | Total: 8.5

🔥 Top Pick: Under 7.0 (-113)
🔹 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 6-3, 1.62 ERA, 86 SO — 11 straight starts ≤2 ER
🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 9-3, 2.21 ERA, 129 SO — elite at home
🔍 Both starters dominate, bullpens strong, and Texas strikes out a ton. Runs will be scarce.
💰 Odds: HOU -137, TEX +113 | Total: 7.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-110)
🔹 Mitch Keller (PIT): 3-10, 3.58 ERA, 89 SO — ≤2 ER in 5 straight
🔹 Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 5-4, 4.08 ERA, 59 SO — just 4 ER over last 5
🔍 Pirates look to avoid sweep but their bats have been ice-cold. With both pitchers locked in, the under is in play.
💰 Odds: MIN -148, PIT +122 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-105)
🔹 Joey Cantillo (CLE): 1-0, 3.79 ERA, 48 SO — solid in rotation so far
🔹 Aaron Civale (CWS): 1-6, 5.17 ERA, 33 SO — struggling since trade
🔍 Guardians have won 5 of 6 after a 10-game skid, while Sox bats remain worst in MLB (.220). Cleveland bullpen is sharp.
💰 Odds: CLE -137, CWS +113 | Total: 8.5

🔥 Top Pick: Brewers -1.5 (-121)
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 7-4, 4.78 ERA, 78 SO — 0-3, 7.32 ERA vs MIL
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 10-4, 2.74 ERA, 111 SO — coming off 6 shutout innings
🔍 Brewers riding 6-game streak; Irvin has been dreadful against them. Vaughn has jump-started Milwaukee’s lineup.
💰 Odds: MIL -259, WSH +207 | Total: 8.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115)
🔹 TBD (ATL)
🔹 Sonny Gray (STL): 9-3, 3.51 ERA, 113 SO — 2.91 ERA at home
🔍 Braves chase sweep as Murphy stays hot; Cardinals’ offense sputters (3.8 runs/game last 10). Busch dampens scoring.
💰 Odds: STL -172, ATL +140 | Total: 8.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-105)
🔹 Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD): 8-7, 2.77 ERA, 109 SO — excellent form
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 9-3, 2.63 ERA, 122 SO — dominant at home (1.98 ERA)
🔍 Dodgers offense slumping (.217 last 10) and Oracle suppresses runs. Ray and Yamamoto should duel deep.
💰 Odds: LAD -144, SF +118 | Total: 7.5

✅ Best Bet: Under 10.0 (-107)
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 5-3, 3.53 ERA, 96 SO — dominated OAK earlier this year
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 7-6, 3.92 ERA, 81 SO — better form recently
🔍 Toronto has dominated this matchup; both starters trending under despite hitter-friendly park.
💰 Odds: TOR -127, OAK +105 | Total: 10.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-110)
🔹 Merrill Kelly (ARI): 7-5, 3.41 ERA, 107 SO — 11 quality starts
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 6-6, 4.00 ERA, 95 SO — struggles with control
🔍 Angels seek sweep; Kelly’s consistency and both teams’ strikeout-heavy approaches point to a lower-scoring game.
💰 Odds: LAA -120, ARI -102 | Total: 9.0

✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-119)
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 7-2, 2.59 ERA, 116 SO — beat SD earlier this month
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 9-2, 3.07 ERA, 114 SO — perfect 6-0 at home
🔍 Both pitchers have been elite and the series has trended low. Petco Park plus motivated Sánchez should keep runs scarce.
💰 Odds: PHI -132, SD +108 | Total: 7.0

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