Your MLB Rundown + Best Bets

⭐ Twins go for the sweep, Fried leads a Bronx rubber match, and all eyes on a split in St. Louis as Royals-Cardinals double up

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🔥 Top Picks

Tigers -1.5 (-105) @ White Sox – 2:10 PM ET
Casey Mize (6-1, 2.82 ERA) leads MLB’s winningest team against the league's worst offense vs RHP (.332 SLG). Detroit’s won 20 of 25 vs the Sox and 8 of its last 10 overall.

Giants ML (-120) vs Padres – 3:45 PM ET
Robbie Ray (7-1, 2.43 ERA) faces Dylan Cease (1-4, 4.66 ERA) in a decisive series finale. SF's elite bullpen and Ray’s consistency give them the edge in a pitcher-friendly park.

Twins -1.5 (-110) @ Athletics – 3:35 PM ET
Minnesota’s won 3 straight vs Oakland by a combined 26–8. David Festa (1.38 ERA) gets the ball vs Mitch Spence in his first start after 22 relief outings.

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⚾ Game Previews

All times EDT

Arizona Diamondbacks (30-31) @ Atlanta Braves (27-33) – 12:15 PM
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 7-4, 5.05 ERA — gave up 8 ER in 0.0 IP last outing
🔹 Grant Holmes (ATL): 3-4, 3.78 ERA — strong WHIP and zone command
🔍 Braves try to avoid a sweep after losses to Strider and Sale. Pfaadt’s May struggles and HR issues give ATL the edge.
Odds: Braves -155, D-backs +130 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Braves ML (-155)

Kansas City Royals (32-29) @ St. Louis Cardinals (33-27) – 1:45 PM (Game 1)
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 2-1, 1.05 ERA — 6+ IP in every start
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 4-2, 3.90 ERA — steady veteran
🔍 Cameron dominated STL earlier this season (6.1 IP, 1 ER), but Cards have won 9 of last 12 at home.
Odds: Cardinals -118, Royals -102 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-125)

Detroit Tigers (41-22) @ Chicago White Sox (19-43) – 2:10 PM
🔹 Casey Mize (DET): 6-1, 2.82 ERA — Tigers are 8-2 in his last 10
🔹 Sean Burke (CWS): 3-6, 4.20 ERA — average splits, little run support
🔍 Tigers have won 5 of 6 vs the Sox this year and 20 of 25 overall in the matchup. Colt Keith (.370 last 7 games) is heating up.
Odds: Tigers -205, White Sox +170 | Total: 8.0
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers -1.5 (-105)

Philadelphia Phillies (37-24) @ Toronto Blue Jays (32-29) – 3:07 PM
🔹 Jesús Luzardo (PHI): 5-1, 3.58 ERA — 3 ER in each of last two starts
🔹 Chris Bassitt (TOR): 5-3, 3.80 ERA — 5+ ER in back-to-back games
🔍 Phillies have MLB’s best road ERA (2.85), but Jays slug .442 at home. Two playoff-caliber lineups in a toss-up finale.
Odds: Phillies -115, Blue Jays -105 | Total: 8.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.0 (-115)

Minnesota Twins (34-27) @ Athletics (23-40) – 3:35 PM
🔹 David Festa (MIN): 1.38 ERA — 15 Ks in 13 IP
🔹 Mitch Spence (OAK): 4.38 ERA — first start after 22 bullpen games
🔍 Oakland’s lost 21 of 22. Twins are cruising and outscoring the A’s 26-8 this series.
Odds: Twins -192, A’s +160 | Total: 10.0
🔥 Top Pick: Twins -1.5 (-110)

Baltimore Orioles (24-36) @ Seattle Mariners (32-28) – 3:40 PM
🔹 Zach Eflin (BAL): 4-2, 4.46 ERA — 7 scoreless last start
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 5-2, 2.82 ERA — elite control, low walk rate
🔍 Orioles ride a 5-game win streak but strike out a ton (24% K rate). Woo’s dominance gives Seattle the edge.
Odds: Mariners -155, Orioles +130 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-120)

San Diego Padres (35-25) @ San Francisco Giants (34-28) – 3:45 PM
🔹 Dylan Cease (SD): 1-4, 4.66 ERA — strikeout-heavy, inconsistent
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 7-1, 2.43 ERA — bounce-back ace
🔍 Giants have MLB’s 2nd-best team ERA. Ray has been dominant, and Oracle Park favors pitching in the day.
Odds: Giants -120, Padres +100 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Giants ML (-120)

New York Mets (39-23) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (37-25) – 4:10 PM
🔹 David Peterson (NYM): 4-2, 2.69 ERA — may be overperforming
🔹 Landon Knack (LAD): 3-2, 4.58 ERA — solid at home
🔍 Mets have the league’s best starter ERA (2.84) but face a Dodgers team slugging .505 at home.
Odds: Dodgers -130, Mets +110 | Total: 10.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-105)

Houston Astros (33-28) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (23-39) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Framber Valdez (HOU): 5-4, 3.12 ERA — 5-game win streak
🔹 Mitch Keller (PIT): 1-7, 3.73 ERA — 1 HR allowed in last 5 starts
🔍 Astros are 19-7 after losses and excel vs LHP (.820 OPS). Keller's ERA solid, but little run support.
Odds: Astros -148, Pirates +124 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Astros ML (-148)

Chicago Cubs (38-23) @ Washington Nationals (29-32) – 6:45 PM
🔹 Drew Pomeranz (CHC): 2-0, 0.00 ERA — dominant in short stints
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 5-1, 3.93 ERA — rough last outing (6 ER)
🔍 Cubs lead MLB in road slugging (.490) and OPS (.828). Michael Busch is heating up.
Odds: Cubs -142, Nationals +120 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-110)

Kansas City Royals (32-29) @ St. Louis Cardinals (33-27) – 7:45 PM (Game 2)
🔹 Cole Ragans (KC): 2-3, 4.53 ERA — inconsistent
🔹 Matthew Liberatore (STL): 3-4, 3.08 ERA — solid command
🔍 Cardinals are 9-3 in last 12 at home and have a 68% home win rate. Royals have struggled on the road (13-16).
Odds: Cardinals -118, Royals -102 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Cardinals ML (-118)

Cleveland Guardians (33-27) @ New York Yankees (37-23) – 7:05 PM
🔹 Slade Cecconi (CLE): 1-1, 5.28 ERA — 5 HR allowed in 3 starts
🔹 Max Fried (NYY): 7-1, 1.92 ERA — elite vs LHB
🔍 Yankees slug .483 vs LHP and boast MLB’s top OPS vs lefties. Ramirez’s splits vs LHP (OBP drops 60 pts) could be a factor.
Odds: Yankees -285, Guardians +230 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (-130)

Texas Rangers (29-33) @ Tampa Bay Rays (32-29) – 7:35 PM
🔹 Jack Leiter (TEX): 4-2, 3.66 ERA — held STL scoreless over 5.2 IP
🔹 Ryan Pepiot (TB): 3-5, 3.21 ERA — strong WHIP, efficient
🔍 Rays have the edge at home. Rangers struggle vs RHP (.286 OBP) but rookie Langford (3-for-5 in series) gives hope.
Odds: Rays -148, Rangers +124 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-122)

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