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Tigers -1.5 (-105) @ White Sox – 7:40 PM
Detroit’s won 7 of 9 and faces the AL’s worst team in divisional play (3-15). Sawyer Gipson-Long draws a soft landing against a White Sox offense slugging just .332 vs RHP.
Astros ML (-125) @ Pirates – 6:40 PM
Houston gets a gift in Mike Burrows (8.64 ERA), who’s allowed 9 ER in his first 2 starts. The Astros are 9th in team ERA (3.59) and bring better fielding and power into PNC.
Padres ML (-112) @ Giants – 9:45 PM
San Diego is 4-0 vs SF this year and sends Nick Pivetta (2.74 ERA) against a Giants lineup that’s scored 4 or fewer in 15 straight. San Francisco has the league's best bullpen, but the bats are ice cold.
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Colorado Rockies (11-50) @ Miami Marlins (23-36) – 12:10 PM
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 0-8, 5.72 ERA, 48 SO
🔹 Cal Quantrill (MIA): 3-5, 5.80 ERA, 38 SO
🔍 The Rockies eye a rare sweep behind Hunter Goodman’s 3 HR in 2 games, but both starters have near-6 ERAs. Sharp money hit the Over as bullpens are shaky and bats are heating up.
Odds: Marlins -135, Rockies +105 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-105)
Milwaukee Brewers (33-29) @ Cincinnati Reds (30-32) – 12:40 PM
🔹 DL Hall (MIL): 1-0, 1.69 ERA, 5 SO
🔹 Andrew Abbott (CIN): 5-0, 1.51 ERA, 53 SO
🔍 Brewers snapped an 8-game win streak Tuesday but remain top-10 in strikeouts induced. Reds are slight faves behind Abbott, who’s been dominant, especially against lefty-weak Milwaukee (85 wRC+ vs LHP).
Odds: Reds -135, Brewers +114 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Reds ML (-135)
Los Angeles Angels (28-32) @ Boston Red Sox (29-34) – 1:35 PM
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 4-5, 3.41 ERA, 49 SO
🔹 Lucas Giolito (BOS): 1-1, 4.78 ERA, 26 SO
🔍 The Red Sox lead MLB in errors (53) and have lost 13 of their last 15 one-run games. Angels go for the sweep behind Soriano, who’s allowed 2 ER or fewer in 6 of his last 8.
Odds: Red Sox -135, Angels +114 | Total: 10.5
✅ Best Bet: Angels ML (+114)
Houston Astros (33-27) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (22-39) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Ryan Gusto (HOU): 3-2, 4.62 ERA, 42 SO
🔹 Mike Burrows (PIT): 0-1, 8.64 ERA, 5 SO
🔍 Astros get a soft matchup against Burrows, who’s allowed 9 ER in 7 innings. Houston’s elite defense and Pirates’ .226 team BA tilt this one.
Odds: Astros -125, Pirates +105 | Total: 9.5
🔥 Top Pick: Astros ML (-125)
Chicago Cubs (38-22) @ Washington Nationals (28-32) – 6:45 PM
🔹 Matthew Boyd (CHC): 5-2, 3.08 ERA, 64 SO
🔹 MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 2-5, 3.16 ERA, 101 SO
🔍 Boyd and Gore are both sharp, but Cubs lead MLB in road OPS (.841) and runs per game (6.52). Washington’s bullpen may not hold if Gore exits early.
Odds: Cubs -142, Nationals +120 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Cubs ML (-142)
Cleveland Guardians (32-27) @ New York Yankees (37-22) – 7:05 PM
🔹 Luis L. Ortiz (CLE): 2-6, 4.40 ERA, 64 SO
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 2-2, 3.95 ERA, 42 SO
🔍 The Under has hit in 13 of 18 Yankees games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. returned with fireworks Tuesday, and the Yankees’ .810 team OPS leads the AL.
Odds: Yankees -198, Guardians +164 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-118)
Philadelphia Phillies (37-23) @ Toronto Blue Jays (31-29) – 7:07 PM
🔹 Mick Abel (PHI): 1-0, 0.00 ERA, 9 SO
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 2-2, 3.86 ERA, 65 SO
🔍 Abel struck out 9 over 6 scoreless in his debut. Toronto’s .789 home OPS and slight Vegas lean give them the edge, but Philly has MLB’s best road ERA.
Odds: Phillies -118, Blue Jays -102 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-102)
Arizona Diamondbacks (29-31) @ Atlanta Braves (27-32) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Merrill Kelly (ARI): 5-2, 3.78 ERA, 64 SO
🔹 Chris Sale (ATL): 3-3, 3.06 ERA, 86 SO
🔍 Sale has dominated the D-backs (4-0, 2.57 ERA career), but Arizona leads MLB with a .469 SLG vs RHP. This one has playoff tension.
Odds: Braves -175, Diamondbacks +145 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-105)
Texas Rangers (29-32) @ Tampa Bay Rays (31-29) – 7:35 PM
🔹 Kumar Rocker (TEX): 1-3, 8.10 ERA, 16 SO
🔹 Shane Baz (TB): 4-3, 4.92 ERA, 55 SO
🔍 Caminero’s on fire (.417/.462/1.167 last 6 games), and Rays lead MLB in steals (84). Rocker returns from the IL, but faces a tough task in Tampa.
Odds: Rays -130, Rangers +110 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Rays ML (-130)
Detroit Tigers (40-22) @ Chicago White Sox (19-42) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Sawyer Gipson-Long (DET): Season debut
🔹 White Sox SP: TBD
🔍 Tigers are 8-3 as big faves (-193 or shorter) and face the AL’s worst offense vs RHP (.332 SLG). Chicago’s 3-15 in the division.
Odds: Tigers -205, White Sox +170 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers -1.5 (-105)
Kansas City Royals (32-29) @ St. Louis Cardinals (33-27) – 7:45 PM
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 2-1, 1.05 ERA, 16 SO
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 4-2, 3.90 ERA, 34 SO
🔍 Royals lead the series 1-0 behind Bobby Witt Jr., while Mikolas is 3-0 with 1.67 ERA career vs KC. Both teams avoid strikeouts and boast sub-4.00 team ERAs.
Odds: Cardinals -125, Royals +105 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-120)
Baltimore Orioles (23-36) @ Seattle Mariners (32-27) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Cade Povich (BAL): 1-4, 5.29 ERA, 53 SO
🔹 Emerson Hancock (SEA): 2-2, 5.64 ERA, 32 SO
🔍 Orioles have won 7 of 9 under interim manager Mansolino and get Cowser back. Mariners’ .321 OBP vs RHP could test Povich’s control.
Odds: Mariners -112, Orioles -108 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Orioles ML (-108)
San Diego Padres (35-24) @ San Francisco Giants (33-28) – 9:45 PM
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 6-2, 2.74 ERA, 71 SO
🔹 Kyle Harrison (SF): 1-1, 2.51 ERA, 16 SO
🔍 Padres are 4-0 vs SF this year, and the Giants haven’t scored more than 4 runs in 15 straight. Pivetta faces MLB’s lowest-scoring team in that stretch.
Odds: Padres -112, Giants -108 | Total: 7.0
🔥 Top Pick: Padres ML (-112)
Minnesota Twins (33-27) @ Oakland Athletics (23-39) – 10:05 PM
🔹 Zebby Matthews (MIN): 0-1, 6.43 ERA, 21 SO
🔹 Athletics SP: TBD
🔍 Twins beat up on the A’s 10-3 last night. Oakland leads MLB in runs allowed (6.18/game) and has the worst ERA (5.85).
Odds: Twins -180, A’s +150 | Total: 10.0
✅ Best Bet: Twins ML (-180)
New York Mets (38-23) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (37-24) – 10:10 PM
🔹 Griffin Canning (NYM): 5-2, 3.23 ERA, 50 SO
🔹 Tony Gonsolin (LAD): 3-1, 5.23 ERA, 32 SO
🔍 Dodgers average 6.38 runs/game at home and have the best home OPS in MLB. Gonsolin's struggled (6 HR last 3 starts), but LA’s lineup is hot behind Muncy.
Odds: Dodgers -148, Mets +124 | Total: 10.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-102)
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