Today's MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Tigers ML (-143) vs Twins – 1:10 PM ET
Bailey Ober has been shelled for 23 ER and 10 HR in his last 4 starts, while Casey Mize has a 2.88 ERA and hasn’t walked a batter in two straight outings. Detroit’s bats should tee off in a strong home spot.

Mariners/Rangers Over 7.5 (-114) – 4:05 PM ET
Seattle’s offense is clicking and has crushed Rocker twice already, while 7 of the Mariners’ last 8 games have gone over. Even with Woo on the mound, the trends and matchup scream runs.

Marlins/Dbacks Under 9.0 (-114) – 4:10 PM ET
Sandy Alcantara has a 2.74 ERA in June, and Chase Field has played pitcher-friendly. With Josh Naylor out and both pens shaky, expect just enough outs for this to stay under.

All times EDT

Oakland Athletics (33-51, .393) @ New York Yankees (47-34, .580) – 1:05 PM
🔥 Top Pick
🔹 JP Sears (OAK): 5-7, 5.44 ERA — 8.72 ERA over last 7 starts
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 4-3, 2.84 ERA — 0.84 ERA in last 5 starts
🔍 The Yankees send a red-hot Schmidt to the hill against his former teammate, while the A’s limp in with no runs in their last 18 innings. Sears has struggled on the road, and New York’s bullpen holds a big edge.
💰 Odds: Yankees -294, Athletics +232 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-117)

Minnesota Twins (40-42, .488) @ Detroit Tigers (51-32, .614) – 1:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick
🔹 Bailey Ober (MIN): 4-5, 4.90 ERA — 8.51 ERA in June
🔹 Casey Mize (DET): 7-2, 2.88 ERA — 0 BB in last 2 starts
🔍 Mize has been sharp at home, and Ober can’t keep the ball in the park. The Twins snapped their skid Friday, but Detroit’s lineup and pitching matchup say bounce-back win.
💰 Odds: Tigers -143, Twins +118 | Total: 9.0
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-143)

New York Mets (48-35, .578) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (33-50, .398) – 4:05 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Paul Blackburn (NYM): 0-2, 6.62 ERA — 1.75 WHIP in 2 starts
🔹 Bailey Falter (PIT): 6-3, 3.59 ERA — 2.88 ERA at home over last 6 starts
🔍 Blackburn's control issues and taxed bullpen make the Mets vulnerable. Falter's been rock solid in Pittsburgh, and Bryan Reynolds continues to rake.
💰 Odds: Mets -149, Pirates +122 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-102)

Tampa Bay Rays (46-36, .561) @ Baltimore Orioles (35-46, .432) – 4:05 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Zack Littell (TB): 6-7, 3.78 ERA — 14 straight starts of 5+ IP
🔹 Zach Eflin (BAL): 6-4, 5.46 ERA — 5.75 ERA at home
🔍 Tampa leads MLB in road win percentage and faces an Orioles staff that's been battered at Camden. With power surging on both sides, the over is in play.
💰 Odds: Orioles -121, Rays -101 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (-112)

Seattle Mariners (42-39, .519) @ Texas Rangers (40-42, .488) – 4:05 PM
🔥 Top Pick
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 7-4, 3.12 ERA — Mariners 2-0 in his starts vs TEX
🔹 Kumar Rocker (TEX): 3-4, 6.68 ERA — 2.12 ERA at home
🔍 Seattle has owned Texas this season and Rocker has been hit hard despite recent home success. With recent totals soaring, this one shapes up as another over.
💰 Odds: Mariners -126, Rangers +104 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Over 7.5 (-114)

Los Angeles Dodgers (52-31, .627) @ Kansas City Royals (38-44, .463) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Shohei Ohtani (LAD): 0-0, 4.50 ERA — 0.47 career ERA vs KC
🔹 Seth Lugo (KC): 4-5, 2.93 ERA — 1.57 ERA in June
🔍 KC’s lost 11 straight at home and has scored just 4 runs total in their last 5. Lugo has been stellar, but the Dodgers’ firepower makes this an uphill battle for the Royals.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -164, Royals +134 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-119)

San Diego Padres (44-37, .543) @ Cincinnati Reds (43-39, .524) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Randy Vásquez (SD): 3-4, 3.60 ERA — 4.21 road ERA
🔹 Andrew Abbott (CIN): 7-1, 1.79 ERA — 0.97 WHIP
🔍 Abbott has been dominant, while San Diego’s bats have cooled. In a hitter’s park, sharp money leans under thanks to Abbott’s consistency.
💰 Odds: Reds -157, Padres +128 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-114)

St. Louis Cardinals (45-38, .542) @ Cleveland Guardians (40-40, .500) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 4-5, 4.31 ERA — 5 quality starts
🔹 Slade Cecconi (CLE): 3-3, 3.38 ERA — 7 scoreless IP in last start
🔍 With both lineups struggling and Cecconi coming off a gem, runs could be hard to come by. Cleveland’s .227 team average won’t help.
💰 Odds: Guardians -121, Cardinals -101 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-114)

Toronto Blue Jays (44-37, .543) @ Boston Red Sox (40-43, .482) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Chris Bassitt (TOR): 7-3, 3.61 ERA — 2.31 career ERA vs BOS
🔹 Lucas Giolito (BOS): 3-1, 4.53 ERA — 7.66 ERA at Fenway
🔍 Toronto’s had Boston’s number, winning 6 of 8. Giolito’s Fenway struggles and Boston’s slumping bats point toward another Blue Jays win.
💰 Odds: Blue Jays -122, Red Sox +100 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-105)

San Francisco Giants (45-37, .549) @ Chicago White Sox (26-56, .317) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 8-2, 2.83 ERA — .187 opponent BA on the road
🔹 Adrian Houser (CWS): 2-2, 2.27 ERA — 68% GB rate last start
🔍 The White Sox have lost 7 of 8 at home and rank dead last in offense. Expect Ray to cruise early.
💰 Odds: Giants -167, White Sox +137 | Total: 8.0
✅ Best Bet: First 5 Innings Under 4 (-115)

Miami Marlins (35-45, .438) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (41-40, .506) – 4:10 PM
🔥 Top Pick
🔹 Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 4-8, 6.69 ERA — 2.74 ERA in June
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 8-5, 5.49 ERA — 6.22 ERA at Chase
🔍 Alcantara looks like his old self, and Miami’s won five straight. With Naylor out and Pfaadt struggling at home, this feels like a low-scoring grind.
💰 Odds: Diamondbacks -150, Marlins +123 | Total: 9.0
🔥 Top Pick: Under 9.0 (-114)

Colorado Rockies (18-64, .220) @ Milwaukee Brewers (46-36, .561) – 4:10 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Antonio Senzatela (COL): 3-10, 6.48 ERA — 7.94 road ERA
🔹 Quinn Priester (MIL): 5-2, 3.68 ERA — Brewers have won last 5 Priester starts
🔍 The Brewers are rolling, and Senzatela has been a mess on the road. Expect Milwaukee to handle business early and often.
💰 Odds: Brewers -265, Rockies +211 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-116)

Chicago Cubs (48-34, .585) @ Houston Astros (49-33, .598) – 7:15 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Colin Rea (CHC): 4-3, 4.42 ERA — 13 ER allowed in last 3 starts
🔹 Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 1-2, 4.91 ERA — just 16% chase rate
🔍 With both starters struggling and the Astros surging, offense should be on full display. Cubs’ road games have been going over lately.
💰 Odds: Astros -119, Cubs -102 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-103)

Philadelphia Phillies (48-34, .585) @ Atlanta Braves (37-44, .457) – 7:15 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Jesús Luzardo (PHI): 7-3, 4.08 ERA — 6.2 scoreless IP in last start
🔹 Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 6-4, 3.21 ERA — 2.22 ERA vs PHI
🔍 Philly’s bats erupted Friday but face a hot Schwellenbach. Luzardo’s also dialed in, setting up a tight, low-scoring NL East duel.
💰 Odds: Braves -157, Phillies +128 | Total: 8.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-111)

Washington Nationals (34-48, .415) @ Los Angeles Angels (40-41, .494) – 9:38 PM
✅ Best Bet
🔹 Michael Soroka (WSH): 3-5, 5.06 ERA — 3+ ER in last 3 starts
🔹 Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 5-6, 4.83 ERA — 3+ ER in 6 of last 8
🔍 Both teams mash righties, and Friday’s 24-run slugfest could repeat with two volatile starters and bottom-tier bullpens.
💰 Odds: Angels -126, Nationals +104 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-105)

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