We deliver concise MLB previews with key takeaways for every matchup, so you’re informed without the hassle. Our AI-driven analysis simulates sports traders’ betting strategies to identify the best bets.

We’re most active on Twitter. Reply to this email with your thoughts, bets, or anything else — we respond to every reply.

Huge congrats to the OKC Thunder on a stellar season — what a series.

Now that the NBA season’s wrapped, we’re turning the page with something new: our MLB Inside Edge Trivia Game is live!

While you’re at it, check out our daily MLB game previews on our website — we’ve launched a fresh new “arrow” format that makes each matchup a breeze to scan. Full game previews, but reads like a tweet!

All of it is 100% free. Give it a spin and let us know what you think. Reply to this email with a screenshot of your MLB Trivia Score, and we’ll send you a surprise via Venmo!

Mariners ML (-132) @ Twins – 7:40 PM ET
Bryan Woo’s 0.94 WHIP and spotless last outing give Seattle the edge against a freefalling Twins squad that’s lost 13 of 16 and owns a 6.83 bullpen ERA over its last 7.

Braves/Mets Under 8.5 (-103) – 7:10 PM ET
Schwellenbach’s elite 1.01 WHIP faces a Mets lineup that’s scored just 15 total runs over its last eight losses. Recent trends for both teams scream low-scoring slugfest.

Brewers -1.5 (+105) vs Pirates – 7:40 PM ET
Milwaukee’s scored 43 runs during a four-game heater and now faces Ashcraft making his first MLB start. Chad Patrick thrives at home (2.93 ERA), while the Pirates rank dead last in road OPS.

All times EDT

Texas Rangers (38-40) @ Baltimore Orioles (33-44) – 6:35 PM ET
🔹 Patrick Corbin (TEX): 4-6, 3.91 ERA, 53 SO — better than expected with steady command
🔹 Trevor Rogers (BAL): 0-0, 3.12 ERA, 9 SO — showed flashes in just 2 starts
🔍 With both offenses struggling, especially Texas (ranked bottom-5 in hits, runs, and average), this leans under. Baltimore is missing Adley Rutschman, while Texas’ Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia are heating up.
💰 Odds: Orioles -132, Rangers +108 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-108)

Atlanta Braves (35-41) @ New York Mets (46-32) – 7:10 PM ET
🔹 Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 5-4, 3.26 ERA, 92 SO — owns a 1.93 ERA vs Mets
🔹 Paul Blackburn (NYM): 0-1, 6.92 ERA, 8 SO — struggling badly with 1.69 WHIP
🔍 The Mets are ice-cold offensively, averaging under 2 runs in their last 8 losses. Acuña’s on fire, and Schwellenbach has dominated this matchup before.
💰 Odds: Braves -137, Mets +113 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-103)

New York Yankees (45-32) @ Cincinnati Reds (40-38) – 7:10 PM ET
🔹 Allan Winans (NYY): MLB debut — 0.90 ERA, 59 SO in 11 Triple-A starts
🔹 Nick Lodolo (CIN): 5-5, 3.71 ERA, 74 SO — 7 HR allowed in last 5 starts
🔍 The Yankees’ .781 OPS vs righties and the Reds’ homer-friendly park create major run potential. Winans is promising, but expect offense to shine in a hitter’s park.
💰 Odds: Yankees -126, Reds +104 | Total: 10.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-116)

Seattle Mariners (39-37) @ Minnesota Twins (37-40) – 7:40 PM ET
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 6-4, 3.12 ERA, 78 SO — 0.94 WHIP, no runs allowed last start
🔹 Bailey Ober (MIN): 4-4, 4.54 ERA, 62 SO — 16 ER over last 3 starts
🔍 Seattle leads MLB in road OBP and batting average, while Minnesota’s bullpen is imploding. With Woo’s control and Ober’s struggles, this sets up nicely for Seattle.
💰 Odds: Mariners -132, Twins +108 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Mariners ML (-132)

Arizona Diamondbacks (39-38) @ Chicago White Sox (25-53) – 7:40 PM ET
🔹 Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI): 2-4, 5.93 ERA, 64 SO — HR allowed in 7 of last 8 starts
🔹 Shane Smith (CHW): 3-4, 2.85 ERA, 66 SO — coming off worst career outing
🔍 Arizona has owned the White Sox (9-3 in Chicago since 2014), and Suárez is on fire (10 hits, 4 HR last 4 games). But Arizona’s bullpen has the 2nd-worst OBP with RISP, creating potential chaos.
💰 Odds: Diamondbacks -144, White Sox +118 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-119)

Pittsburgh Pirates (31-48) @ Milwaukee Brewers (43-35) – 7:40 PM ET
🔹 Braxton Ashcraft (PIT): 1-0, 1.54 ERA, 10 SO — first MLB start after 7 relief outings
🔹 Chad Patrick (MIL): 3-7, 3.50 ERA, 76 SO — 2.93 ERA at home
🔍 Milwaukee’s lineup has erupted for 43 runs in their last four games, and they face the league’s worst road offense (.598 OPS). Expect Chourio and company to keep rolling.
💰 Odds: Brewers -183, Pirates +149 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Brewers -1.5 (+105)

Chicago Cubs (46-31) @ St. Louis Cardinals (42-36) – 7:45 PM ET
🔹 Ben Brown (CHC): 4-5, 5.57 ERA, 88 SO — high WHIP and shaky command
🔹 Matthew Liberatore (STL): 4-6, 4.08 ERA, 66 SO — strong ground-ball game
🔍 The Cards have the league’s lowest miss rate against them and thrive at Busch Stadium (24-15 at home). With Brown’s contact issues and STL’s hot bats, expect a tight, low-scoring affair.
💰 Odds: Cubs -111, Cardinals -109 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.0 (-122)

Boston Red Sox (40-39) @ Los Angeles Angels (37-40) – 9:38 PM ET
🔹 Walker Buehler (BOS): 5-5, 5.95 ERA, 53 SO — 8 ER last start, 3 rough outings in last 4
🔹 Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 3-8, 5.38 ERA, 58 SO — 2 ER or fewer in back-to-back starts
🔍 Both starters have ERAs over 5, but Boston’s patient approach could grind down Kochanowicz. With Angel Stadium favoring offense and recent bullpen volatility, expect runs.
💰 Odds: Red Sox -120, Angels -102 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-109)

Washington Nationals (32-46) @ San Diego Padres (42-35) – 9:40 PM ET
🔹 Mitchell Parker (WSH): 4-8, 4.59 ERA, 58 SO — 5.87 ERA in last 5 road starts
🔹 Stephen Kolek (SD): 3-2, 3.59 ERA, 37 SO — 2.63 ERA at home
🔍 San Diego owns a 23-13 home record and boasts the league’s best bullpen ERA at home (2.37). With Parker’s walk issues and Arraez mashing lefties, the Padres hold every edge.
💰 Odds: Padres -176, Nationals +144 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-110)

Preview every MLB game today with our short-form write-ups. Each newsletter has:

🔮 Best Bets at the top.
📊 Game Previews below.
👀 Plus, we’re building tools to let you experiment on your own - more coming soon…

Are you a sportsbook operator? Reply to this email to discuss integrating our live game write-ups into your platform or explore our B2B site: montecarmelo.info

Interested in making your own newsletter? Use the link below to receive a 30-day trial + 20% OFF for 3 months on Beehiiv! Reply to this email, and we’ll even help you get started with AI tips and tricks to jumpstart your journey