Today's MLB Preview + Best Bets

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Tigers -1.5 (+143) vs Reds – 1:10 PM ET
Jack Flaherty has allowed just 1 run over his last 18 IP and faces a Reds squad that’s lost back-to-back games by a combined 22-7 margin. Detroit is 73% at home and has dominated this series.

Cubs -1.5 (+105) vs Pirates – 2:20 PM ET
Matthew Boyd owns a 2.89 ERA and faces the league’s worst road slugging offense (.319). Pittsburgh sends out Mike Burrows (5.00 ERA) in a mismatch at Wrigley.

Under 7.0 (-119) Twins @ Astros – 4:10 PM ET
Joe Ryan (2.96 ERA) vs. Hunter Brown (1.82 ERA) is an ace showdown, and the total dropping from 7.5 to 7 reflects sharp action on the under. Astros pitchers strike out 27% of batters—the best in MLB.

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Miami Marlins (26-41) @ Washington Nationals (30-39) – 1:05 PM ET
🔹 Cade Gibson (MIA): 1-3, 0.93 ERA, 12 SO – first career start as an opener
🔹 Trevor Williams (WSH): 3-7, 5.91 ERA, 49 SO – 8 ER allowed in last two starts
🔍 Both teams combined for 20 runs Friday. Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 and have a 6.06 ERA vs division rivals.
Odds: Nationals -131, Marlins +108 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-113)

Cincinnati Reds (35-35) @ Detroit Tigers (46-25) – 1:10 PM ET
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 6-4, 4.59 ERA, 56 SO – 23 ER in last 35.1 IP
🔹 Jack Flaherty (DET): 5-6, 3.41 ERA, 85 SO – 1 ER allowed over last 18 IP
🔍 Tigers have won 7 of the last 10 in this series and 73% of home games. Reds' momentum has flatlined.
Odds: Tigers -181, Reds +148 | Total: 8.0
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers -1.5 (+143)

Pittsburgh Pirates (29-42) @ Chicago Cubs (42-28) – 2:20 PM ET
🔹 Mike Burrows (PIT): 1-1, 5.00 ERA, 17 SO – first start vs Cubs
🔹 Matthew Boyd (CHC): 5-3, 2.89 ERA, 70 SO – 0-3 vs PIT career, but solid current form
🔍 Cubs lead the NL Central and face a Pirates team with the worst road slugging (.319) and second-lowest road average (.213) in the NL.
Odds: Cubs -242, Pirates +194 | Total: 7.0
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (+105)

Los Angeles Angels (33-35) @ Baltimore Orioles (28-40) – 4:05 PM ET
🔹 Tyler Anderson (LAA): 2-3, 3.99 ERA, 57 SO – winless since April
🔹 Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 5-4, 3.23 ERA, 42 SO – 7.1 scoreless IP vs LAA on May 9
🔍 Orioles lead the season series 3-1 and have gone 11-7 since May 23. Angels’ bats (.145 AVG with 2 strikes) continue to struggle situationally.
Odds: Orioles -163, Angels +133 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Orioles ML (-163)

Toronto Blue Jays (38-31) @ Philadelphia Phillies (40-29) – 4:05 PM ET
🔹 Bowden Francis (TOR): 2-8, 6.12 ERA, 50 SO – 4 ER and 5 BB in last start
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 5-2, 3.10 ERA, 83 SO – 4 wins in last 5 starts
🔍 Phillies' starters dominate lefty hitters (.620 OPS allowed), while Francis is struggling to keep the ball in the yard.
Odds: Phillies -165, Blue Jays +135 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (+130)

Chicago White Sox (23-47) @ Texas Rangers (34-36) – 4:05 PM ET
🔹 Mike Vasil (CWS): 3-2, 2.18 ERA, 28 SO – gets the opener
🔹 Jacob deGrom (TEX): 6-2, 2.12 ERA, 74 SO – 1.61 ERA over last 10 starts
🔍 Rangers have won 5 of 6 and are 23-12 at home. White Sox are 7-29 on the road and worst in AL vs RHP.
Odds: Rangers -348, White Sox +269 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Rangers -1.5 (-154)

Sacramento Athletics (27-44) @ Kansas City Royals (34-36) – 4:10 PM ET
🔹 Jacob Lopez (OAK): 0-4, 6.00 ERA, 31 SO – averages just 3 IP/start
🔹 Michael Lorenzen (KC): 4-6, 4.94 ERA, 61 SO – 1 H over 6 IP in last start
🔍 A’s bullpen has MLB’s worst road ERA (6.29). Royals don’t strike out much and get a soft target in Lopez.
Odds: Royals -164, Athletics +134 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Royals ML (-164)

Tampa Bay Rays (37-32) @ New York Mets (45-25) – 4:10 PM ET
🔹 Drew Rasmussen (TB): 5-4, 2.22 ERA, 59 SO – elite control (14 BB in 69 IP)
🔹 Tylor Megill (NYM): 5-4, 3.76 ERA, 84 SO – high K upside but inconsistent
🔍 Rasmussen faces a Mets team with the best home win % in MLB, but Rays have covered in tight games, going 9 straight decided by ≤2 runs.
Odds: Mets -137, Rays +113 | Total: 7.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.0 (-105)

Minnesota Twins (36-33) @ Houston Astros (39-30) – 4:10 PM ET
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 7-2, 2.96 ERA, 82 SO – sharp despite recent team slump
🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 8-3, 1.82 ERA, 93 SO – best ERA among AL starters
🔍 Houston bats .283 at home (MLB-best) and dominates with RISP. Twins pitching allows the fewest walks in MLB.
Odds: Astros -125, Twins +103 | Total: 7.0
🔥 Top Pick: Under 7.0 (-119)

Colorado Rockies (13-56) @ Atlanta Braves (30-38) – 4:10 PM ET
🔹 Chase Dollander (COL): 2-6, 6.85 ERA, 42 SO – 5.2 IP, 1 ER vs ATL on April 30
🔹 Spencer Strider (ATL): 0-5, 5.40 ERA, 24 SO – 1.00 WHIP in last start
🔍 Rockies are MLB’s worst road team (.201 AVG, 17% win rate). Braves are 19-5 vs COL since 2022.
Odds: Braves -355, Rockies +274 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (-154)

St. Louis Cardinals (36-34) @ Milwaukee Brewers (38-33) – 4:10 PM ET
🔹 Andre Pallante (STL): 4-3, 4.75 ERA, 47 SO – team lost last two with him starting
🔹 Jose Quintana (MIL): 4-1, 2.66 ERA, 31 SO – 5+ IP in 8 straight
🔍 Cardinals have lost 6 straight and struggle vs lefties. Brewers' staff leads MLB in strikeouts on pitches in the zone.
Odds: Brewers -123, Cardinals +101 | Total: 8.0
✅ Best Bet: Brewers ML (-123)

San Diego Padres (38-30) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (35-34) – 7:15 PM ET
🔹 Ryan Bergert (SD): 1-0, 1.26 ERA, 8 SO – 1.35 ERA on road
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 4-8, 5.15 ERA, 75 SO – 5+ ER in 5 of last 6 starts
🔍 D-Backs slug .477 vs RHP (MLB-best), while Padres struggle at .381. Arizona riding 4-game win streak.
Odds: Diamondbacks -172, Padres +141 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 9.5 (-121)

New York Yankees (42-26) @ Boston Red Sox (35-36) – 7:15 PM ET
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 8-4, 2.87 ERA, 103 SO – AL East dominance after road losses
🔹 Hunter Dobbins (BOS): 3-1, 4.20 ERA, 37 SO – inconsistent but steady
🔍 Yankees slug .461 vs RHP, best in AL. Boston has won 3 straight vs NYY but tends to slump after extra-inning wins.
Odds: Yankees -170, Red Sox +139 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Yankees ML (-170)

Cleveland Guardians (35-33) @ Seattle Mariners (34-34) – 9:40 PM ET
🔹 Tanner Bibee (CLE): 4-6, 3.81 ERA, 62 SO – steady form
🔹 George Kirby (SEA): 1-3, 6.53 ERA, 25 SO – 7.11 ERA vs CLE in 3 games
🔍 Mariners snapped their slump Friday but are just 21-22 as favorites. Guardians struggle to slug in third time through the order.
Odds: Mariners -137, Guardians +112 | Total: 7.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 7.0 (-103)

San Francisco Giants (41-29) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (41-29) – 10:10 PM ET
🔹 Landen Roupp (SF): 4-4, 3.29 ERA, 63 SO – Giants’ bullpen holds batters to .204 AVG
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 1-0, 4.35 ERA, 15 SO – gave up 1 ER in last start
🔍 Dodgers lead MLB in OPS with RISP (.921). Giants’ bullpen elite in tight spots.
Odds: Dodgers -186, Giants +151 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-115)

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