Today's MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Tigers ML (+134) @ Royals – 4:10 PM
Tarik Skubal just threw a 13-K shutout and Detroit’s riding a 5-game win streak. Kansas City’s Michael Wacha has a 4.40 road ERA and faces a Tigers offense scoring 5.1 runs per game.

Mets -1.5 (-175) vs Rockies – 4:10 PM
Kodai Senga (1.46 ERA) faces Antonio Senzatela (6.50 ERA, .375 BAA allowed). Colorado has dropped 26 of its last 29 road games — and 20 of those by multiple runs — making the Mets a sharp play on the run line.

Rays ML (+160) @ Astros – 4:10 PM
Zack Littell has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and faces rookie Colton Gordon (5.52 ERA). Houston is missing Yordan Alvarez and has a thinned lineup.

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Cincinnati Reds (29-29, .500) @ Chicago Cubs (35-22, .614) – 2:20 PM
🔹 Nick Lodolo (CIN): 4-4, 3.39 ERA, 55 SO — consistent strikeout threat
🔹 Drew Pomeranz (CHC): 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 14 SO — likely opener before Ben Brown
🔍 Reds have won 3 of 4 and draw a Cubs lineup that can mash lefties (.793 OPS vs LHP). Cubs are -168 home favorites in a low-total game with wind blowing in.
Odds: Cubs -168, Reds +142 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (+100)

Athletics (23-35, .397) @ Toronto Blue Jays (29-28, .509) – 3:07 PM
🔹 Gunnar Hoglund (OAK): 1-2, 5.13 ERA, 22 SO — inconsistent rookie
🔹 Braydon Fisher (TOR): 1-0, 0.00 ERA, 12 SO — likely opener in bullpen game
🔍 A’s have lost 15 of 16 and their 5.49 team ERA is being torched by a Jays lineup with 23 runs in two games.
Odds: Blue Jays -210, Athletics +175 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (+100)

St. Louis Cardinals (32-25, .561) @ Texas Rangers (28-30, .483) – 4:05 PM
🔹 Sonny Gray (STL): 5-1, 4.06 ERA, 66 SO — proven stopper after blowouts
🔹 Patrick Corbin (TEX): 3-3, 3.75 ERA, 38 SO — respectable home track
🔍 After an 11-1 drubbing on Friday, the Cards hand the ball to Gray to steady the ship. Texas exploded offensively behind Marcus Semien’s 4-for-4 night and looks to capitalize at home as -170 favorites.
Odds: Rangers -170, Cardinals +142 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (+100)

Chicago White Sox (18-39, .316) @ Baltimore Orioles (20-36, .357) – 4:05 PM
🔹 Davis Martin (CHW): 2-5, 3.45 ERA, 38 SO — 3 ER or fewer in 8 of 10 starts
🔹 Dean Kremer (BAL): 4-5, 5.02 ERA, 44 SO — 6.48 ERA at home
🔍 Baltimore’s -184 despite inconsistent pitching, while the Sox have gone 4-3 vs losing teams. Live dog scenario.
Odds: Orioles -184, White Sox +154 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (+100)

Milwaukee Brewers (30-28, .517) @ Philadelphia Phillies (36-21, .632) – 4:05 PM
🔹 Chad Patrick (MIL): 2-4, 2.97 ERA, 51 SO — under-the-radar reliable
🔹 Jesús Luzardo (PHI): 5-0, 2.15 ERA, 77 SO — Phillies ace form
🔍 Phillies look to end Brewers’ 5-game win streak after Friday’s 6-2 upset loss. Luzardo brings stopper upside at home.
Odds: Phillies -180, Brewers +150 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (+106)

Los Angeles Angels (26-30, .464) @ Cleveland Guardians (30-26, .536) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Kyle Hendricks (LAA): 2-6, 5.23 ERA, 33 SO — fading vet
🔹 Slade Cecconi (CLE): 1-1, 3.27 ERA, 14 SO — solid at home
🔍 Guardians are 15-11 at home and bounce back after Friday loss. Hendricks remains a liability on the mound.
Odds: Guardians -175, Angels +146 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Guardians -1.5 (+125)

🔥 Tigers (38-20, .655) @ Royals (30-28, .517) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Tarik Skubal (DET): 5-2, 2.49 ERA, 92 SO — 13 K shutout last start
🔹 Michael Wacha (KC): 3-4, 3.21 ERA, 44 SO — sharp at home (2.18 ERA)
🔍 Detroit’s on a 5-game tear and second in AL in runs/game (5.12). Skubal is in ace mode.
Odds: Royals -158, Tigers +134 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (+134)

🔥 Rockies (9-48, .158) @ Mets (35-22, .614) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Antonio Senzatela (COL): 1-9, 6.50 ERA, 29 SO — MLB’s worst starter
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 5-3, 1.46 ERA, 52 SO — .213 opponent AVG
🔍 Mets are 3-26 at home vs spread, and Rockies have lost 20 of 29 road games by 2+ runs.
Odds: Mets -450, Rockies +350 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Mets -1.5 (-175)

🔥 Rays (29-28, .509) @ Astros (31-26, .544) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Zack Littell (TB): 4-5, 3.97 ERA, 42 SO — 2.89 ERA last 3 starts
🔹 Colton Gordon (HOU): 0-0, 5.52 ERA, 14 SO — allows 3 ER/start
🔍 Rays are 8-2 in their last 10, Astros missing Yordan. Tampa has pitching edge today.
Odds: Astros -190, Rays +160 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Rays ML (+160)

Red Sox (28-31, .475) @ Braves (26-30, .464) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Walker Buehler (BOS): 4-2, 3.95 ERA, 36 SO — steady return from injury
🔹 Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 3-4, 3.42 ERA, 60 SO — .692 SLG allowed vs RHH last 2
🔍 Boston snapped a 5-game skid Friday behind Trevor Story’s homer and Rafael Devers’ scorching May (.370, 7 HR). Schwellenbach has been vulnerable to righties lately, and Boston owns MLB’s third-best OPS over the past two weeks (.788).
Odds: Red Sox -140, Braves +115 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (+100)

Giants (32-25, .561) @ Marlins (22-33, .400) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 7-0, 2.56 ERA, 69 SO — undefeated ace
🔹 Edward Cabrera (MIA): 1-1, 4.73 ERA, 43 SO — 2.08 ERA vs SF in career
🔍 SF averages just 1.7 runs/game last 7, but Ray gives them the edge in a pitching duel.
Odds: Giants -130, Marlins +110 | Total: 8.0
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (+100)

Twins (31-25, .554) @ Mariners (30-26, .536) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Bailey Ober (MIN): 4-1, 3.41 ERA, 46 SO — steady presence
🔹 Bryce Miller (SEA): 2-4, 5.22 ERA, 35 SO — returning from elbow issue
🔍 Twins scored 12 last night, but today’s total sits low at 7.5. Miller’s return adds risk.
Odds: Mariners -132, Twins +112 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Twins ML (+112)

Yankees (35-21, .625) @ Dodgers (35-22, .614) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Will Warren (NYY): 3-2, 4.09 ERA, 67 SO — solid rookie season
🔹 Landon Knack (LAD): 2-2, 5.22 ERA, 28 SO — struggling for consistency
🔍 NYY leads AL in HR (88), LAD leads MLB in OPS vs RHP (.790). Fireworks expected again.
Odds: Dodgers -172, Yankees +144 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-115)

Pirates (21-37, .362) @ Padres (32-23, .582) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Bailey Falter (PIT): 3-3, 3.47 ERA, 40 SO — quietly consistent
🔹 Dylan Cease (SD): 1-3, 4.58 ERA, 72 SO — 91st percentile whiff rate
🔍 Padres have won all 4 matchups vs PIT this year. Cease’s strikeouts vs Pirates’ weak road slug (.315) is a clear edge.
Odds: Padres -134, Pirates +114 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Padres -1.5 (+110)

Nationals (27-30, .474) @ Diamondbacks (27-30, .474) – 10:10 PM
🔹 Michael Soroka (WSH): 1-3, 5.61 ERA, 25 SO — still rebuilding
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 7-3, 3.90 ERA, 49 SO — outperforming peripherals
🔍 Nats have won 9 of 12. Josh Bell homered in 3 straight. Arizona heavy home favorite, but momentum edge is in D.C.’s dugout.
Odds: Diamondbacks -260, Nationals +215 | Total: 9.0
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.0 (-105)

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