Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Cardinals ML (+102) @ Orioles – 6:35 PM ET
St. Louis has won 4 of 5 and draws Cade Povich (4.86 ERA) and an Orioles squad averaging just 3.9 runs per game. Mikolas (3.51 ERA) has been nails lately and offers serious value as a road dog.

Brewers -1.5 (+135) vs Red Sox – 1:10 PM ET
Peralta (2.55 ERA) has dominated at home, and Boston’s scored just 5 total runs in its last 4 games. Bello’s inconsistency and the Red Sox’s cold bats make this a clear edge for Milwaukee.

Dodgers ML (-170) @ Guardians – 1:10 PM ET
Kershaw may still be ramping up, but LA’s offense is surging and Cleveland enters with a bullpen game after Cecconi’s scratch. Ohtani’s locked in, and the Dodgers are primed for a road sweep.

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Los Angeles Dodgers (34-21) @ Cleveland Guardians (29-25) – 1:10 PM
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 0-0, 7.50 ERA, 3 SO — still finding rhythm in limited return
🔹 Kolby Allard (CLE): 2-0, 1.50 ERA, 7 SO — opener for a taxed bullpen
🔍 Dodgers have crushed Cleveland with 16 runs in two games. Ohtani (MLB-best 20 HR) stays scorching while Guardians scramble for arms.
Odds: Dodgers -170, Guardians +142 | Total: 9
🔥 Top Pick: Dodgers ML (-170)

San Francisco Giants (31-24) @ Detroit Tigers (36-20) – 1:10 PM
🔹 Landen Roupp (SF): 3-3, 3.63 ERA, 49 SO — back-to-back scoreless starts
🔹 Jackson Jobe (DET): 4-1, 4.06 ERA, 35 SO — finding footing, but walk-prone
🔍 Detroit’s won 2 straight 3-1 games behind sharp pitching. Riley Greene remains red-hot, and Tigers look for a home sweep.
Odds: Tigers -120, Giants +100 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Under 8 (-118)

Minnesota Twins (30-24) @ Tampa Bay Rays (27-27) – 1:10 PM
🔹 Pablo López (MIN): 4-2, 2.31 ERA, 54 SO — 1.55 ERA on the road
🔹 Drew Rasmussen (TB): 3-4, 2.60 ERA, 43 SO — 12 shutout innings across last 2 starts
🔍 Twins have gone 23-9 after a rough April. Two hot arms and playoff energy make this a must-watch rubber match.
Odds: Rays -122, Twins +102 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Under 8 (-115)

Chicago White Sox (17-38) @ New York Mets (34-21) – 1:10 PM
🔹 Shane Smith (CWS): 1-3, 2.36 ERA, 49 SO — quality starts despite no support
🔹 Griffin Canning (NYM): 5-1, 2.88 ERA, 47 SO — steady hand for MLB’s best home team
🔍 Mets are 21-6 at Citi and chasing a sweep. Pete Alonso stays hot; Chicago’s lost 6 straight on the road.
Odds: Mets -250, White Sox +205 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Mets -1.5 (-110)

Boston Red Sox (27-30) @ Milwaukee Brewers (28-28) – 1:10 PM
🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 2-1, 4.08 ERA, 27 SO — inconsistent stretch
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 5-3, 2.55 ERA, 60 SO — dominant at home
🔍 Red Sox bats are silent (5 runs in 4 games), and Brewers ride Yelich's walk-off slam momentum.
Odds: Brewers -148, Red Sox +124 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Brewers -1.5 (+135)

Athletics (23-32) @ Houston Astros (29-25) – 2:10 PM
🔹 Luis Severino (OAK): 1-4, 4.11 ERA, 50 SO — occasional brilliance, but volatile
🔹 Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 0-1, 6.57 ERA, 14 SO — ramping up after injury
🔍 Astros blasted Oakland 11-1 Tuesday and go for mini-sweep. Athletics have lost 9 of 10.
Odds: Astros -142, Athletics +120 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Over 8 (-118)

Pittsburgh Pirates (20-36) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (27-28) – 3:40 PM
🔹 Paul Skenes (PIT): 3-5, 2.36 ERA, 70 SO — overpowering stuff, trending up
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 3-6, 5.25 ERA, 63 SO — 6.03 ERA at Chase Field
🔍 Arizona’s lost 6 of 7. Pirates riding momentum after 9-6 comeback win and get their ace on the mound.
Odds: Diamondbacks -135, Pirates +114 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Pirates ML (+114)

Miami Marlins (21-32) @ San Diego Padres (31-22) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 2-7, 8.04 ERA, 40 SO — allowed 4+ runs in 7 of 8 starts
🔹 Kyle Hart (SD): 2-2, 6.00 ERA, 16 SO — struggling but in a soft matchup
🔍 Padres look to sweep. Alcantara's struggles continue. The Marlins have allowed 12 runs across the first two games of the series and send out Sandy Alcantara, who’s given up 4+ runs in 7 of his last 8 starts.
Odds: Padres -162, Marlins +136 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Padres -1.5 (+125)

St. Louis Cardinals (31-24) @ Baltimore Orioles (19-35) – 6:35 PM
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 4-2, 3.51 ERA, 31 SO — 6 straight 5+ inning outings
🔹 Cade Povich (BAL): 1-3, 4.86 ERA, 44 SO — 3 straight losses
🔍 Cardinals are rolling and looking to close out a series win vs a bottom-tier Orioles lineup and staff.
Odds: Orioles -122, Cardinals +102 | Total: 8
🔥 Top Pick: Cardinals ML (+102)

Atlanta Braves (25-28) @ Philadelphia Phillies (35-19) – 6:45 PM
🔹 AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL): 3-2, 3.67 ERA, 41 SO — flashes of promise
🔹 Zack Wheeler (PHI): 6-1, 2.42 ERA, 88 SO — true ace, NL Cy Young frontrunner
🔍 Braves need a spark, but Phillies are the league’s hottest team. Harper’s status looms large.
Odds: Phillies -155, Braves +130 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-105)

Cincinnati Reds (28-28) @ Kansas City Royals (29-27) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Hunter Greene (CIN): 4-2, 2.54 ERA, 63 SO — emerging ace
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): 1-1, 0.93 ERA, 14 SO — 2 ER allowed across 3 starts
🔍 Reds chasing sweep; Elly De La Cruz coming off a historic 2-HR game. Two young guns in a sneaky-good pitching duel.
Odds: Reds -118, Royals -102 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-118)

Colorado Rockies (9-46) @ Chicago Cubs (34-21) – 8:05 PM
🔹 Tanner Gordon (COL): 1-1, 4.38 ERA, 9 SO — rookie in tough spot
🔹 Matthew Boyd (CHC): 4-2, 3.42 ERA, 56 SO — quietly strong
🔍 Cubs looking to stay hot vs worst team in MLB. Colorado is 1-9 in last 10 and 9-46 overall.
Odds: Cubs -375, Rockies +295 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Cubs -1.5 (-140)

Toronto Blue Jays (26-28) @ Texas Rangers (27-29) – 8:05 PM
🔹 Paxton Schultz (TOR): 0-0, 2.53 ERA, 13 SO — strong start to MLB career
🔹 Tyler Mahle (TEX): 5-2, 1.80 ERA, 43 SO — ace-like performance
🔍 Both teams desperate for offense. Rangers rank 28th in RBIs; Jays have scored 4 runs in 5 games.
Odds: Rangers -135, Blue Jays +114 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-105)

New York Yankees (34-20) @ Los Angeles Angels (25-29) – 9:38 PM
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 1-2, 4.58 ERA, 38 SO — up-and-down year
🔹 Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 1-4, 3.17 ERA, 54 SO — better than record suggests
🔍 Yankees go for sweep; Judge leads the charge (18 HR). Angels desperate to show fight.
Odds: Yankees -155, Angels +130 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Yankees ML (-155)

Washington Nationals (24-30) @ Seattle Mariners (30-23) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Trevor Williams (WSH): 2-5, 6.39 ERA, 41 SO — 5 straight starts with 4+ ER
🔹 George Kirby (SEA): 0-1, 12.27 ERA, 4 SO — looking to rebound from ugly debut
🔍 Mariners crushed Nats 9-1 Tuesday; Raleigh (2 HR) and Julio heating up.
Odds: Mariners -218, Nationals +180 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (-105)

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