Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Cubs -2.5 (+110) vs Rockies – 8:05 PM ET
Chicago leads MLB in runs per game (6.0) and gets a free-swinging Rockies squad that's 3-23 on the road. Márquez (7.66 ERA) has been shelled all season, while rookie Cade Horton has shown poise.

Padres ML (-162) vs Marlins – 9:40 PM ET
San Diego is 17-8 at home and finally snapped a 6-game skid. With Kolek (2.84 ERA) impressing in the rotation and Miami just 9-18 on the road, the edge is clear.

Diamondbacks -1.5 (N/A) vs Pirates – 9:40 PM ET
Corbin Burnes (2.73 ERA) faces a Pirates lineup averaging an MLB-worst 2.98 runs per game and 6-20 on the road. Burrows (7.20 ERA) isn’t likely to hold off Arizona's rebound momentum.

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Los Angeles Dodgers (33-21) @ Cleveland Guardians (29-24) – 6:10 PM
🔹 Dustin May (LAD): 2-4, 4.09 ERA — showed promise with 6 IP, 1 ER vs ARI
🔹 Tanner Bibee (CLE): 4-4, 3.57 ERA — coming off a dominant 7-inning shutout
🔍 LA’s lineup broke out with 7 players driving in runs Monday. Bibee’s form vs May’s volatility makes this a tight one.
Odds: Dodgers -130, Guardians +110 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Under 9 (-110)

St. Louis Cardinals (30-24) @ Baltimore Orioles (19-34) – 6:35 PM
🔹 Andre Pallante (STL): 4-3, 4.18 ERA — solid but hittable mid-rotation arm
🔹 Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL): 4-3, 3.07 ERA — emerging as Baltimore's most reliable starter
🔍 Cards have dropped three straight, but Brendan Donovan (.328 AVG) stays hot. Orioles have won 3 straight as they try to claw out of an early-season hole.
Odds: Cardinals -118, Orioles -102 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Under 9 (-115)

San Francisco Giants (31-23) @ Detroit Tigers (35-20) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Logan Webb (SF): 5-4, 2.67 ERA — 3 ER or fewer in every start
🔹 Jack Flaherty (DET): 2-6, 4.39 ERA — Tigers 2-8 in his starts
🔍 Detroit is 7-3 over its last 10 and leads the AL Central. Giants have scored 4 or fewer in 9 straight.
Odds: Giants -118, Tigers -102 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-122)

Atlanta Braves (25-27) @ Philadelphia Phillies (34-19) – 6:45 PM
🔹 Spencer Strider (ATL): 0-2, 5.79 ERA — still working back into form
🔹 Ranger Suárez (PHI): 3-0, 3.70 ERA — 3 ER allowed in last 20.2 IP
🔍 Phillies are 9-1 in their last 10 and averaging 5.8 runs/game. Acuña’s return gives Atlanta life, but Philly's rolling.
Odds: Phillies -118, Braves -102 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Phillies ML (-118)

Minnesota Twins (29-24) @ Tampa Bay Rays (27-26) – 7:05 PM
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 4-2, 2.68 ERA — 8 BB in 57 IP, 7 starts with ≤1 ER
🔹 Taj Bradley (TB): 4-3, 4.61 ERA — allowed 2+ ER in 9 of 10
🔍 Rays have won 6 straight, but Ryan’s control gives Minnesota an edge in a pivotal bounce-back game.
Odds: Twins -125, Rays +105 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Twins ML (-125)

Chicago White Sox (17-37) @ New York Mets (33-21) – 7:10 PM
🔹 Jonathan Cannon (CWS): 2-5, 3.76 ERA — solid rookie showing
🔹 Tylor Megill (NYM): 3-4, 3.56 ERA — 10 K in 4.2 IP last start
🔍 Mets have won 3 straight and dominate at Citi Field. White Sox are reeling, and Megill’s stuff looks electric.
Odds: Mets -278, White Sox +225 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Under 8 (-108)

Cincinnati Reds (27-28) @ Kansas City Royals (29-26) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 5-3, 4.88 ERA — struggles on the road (6.66 ERA)
🔹 Daniel Lynch IV (KC): 3-1, 1.57 ERA — xFIP of 5.36 suggests regression
🔍 Reds face ex-Royal Singer, while Lynch has overperformed. Royals dealing with rotation injuries.
Odds: Royals -122, Reds +102 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-102)

Boston Red Sox (27-29) @ Milwaukee Brewers (27-28) – 7:40 PM
🔹 TBD (BOS)
🔹 Aaron Civale (MIL): 0-1, 9.00 ERA — still looking for his first win
🔍 Red Sox were 1-for-9 with RISP on Monday and left 10 on base. Civale's struggles give them a chance to reset.
Odds: Brewers -125, Red Sox +105 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-110)

Colorado Rockies (9-45) @ Chicago Cubs (33-21) – 8:05 PM
🔹 Germán Márquez (COL): 1-7, 7.66 ERA — gave 7 strong last outing, but season has been rough
🔹 Cade Horton (CHC): 2-0, 4.40 ERA — solid rookie contributor
🔍 Cubs average 6.0 runs/game and are 20-9 at home. Rockies have lost 3 straight and are just 3-23 on the road.
Odds: Cubs -345, Rockies +275 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -2.5 (+110)

Toronto Blue Jays (26-27) @ Texas Rangers (26-29) – 8:05 PM
🔹 Bowden Francis (TOR): 2-6, 5.54 ERA — LHB hitting .640 SLG
🔹 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 4-3, 1.60 ERA — .183 BAA, elite form
🔍 Eovaldi has been lights out, and Francis is getting torched by lefties. Tight 2-1 opener sets up a must-win tone for both.
Odds: Rangers -142, Blue Jays +120 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Rangers ML (-142)

Athletics (23-31) @ Houston Astros (28-25) – 8:10 PM
🔹 JP Sears (OAK): 4-4, 4.00 ERA — steady, not dominant
🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 6-3, 2.04 ERA — quietly dealing
🔍 Astros are chasing the Mariners and get a flailing A’s squad that just ended an 11-game skid. Altuve heating up again.
Odds: Astros -245, A’s +200 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Under 8 (-105)

New York Yankees (33-20) @ Los Angeles Angels (25-28) – 9:38 PM
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 6-3, 2.88 ERA — dominant all season
🔹 Tyler Anderson (LAA): 2-1, 3.60 ERA — zero strikeouts vs OAK
🔍 Yanks lead AL in OPS vs LHP (.833), and Angels have lost 3 straight. Rodón should control this one.
Odds: Yankees -218, Angels +180 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (N/A)

Pittsburgh Pirates (19-36) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (27-27) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Mike Burrows (PIT): 0-1, 7.20 ERA — raw and unproven
🔹 Corbin Burnes (ARI): 3-2, 2.73 ERA — ace-caliber stuff
🔍 Pirates are 6-20 on the road and have been shut out 9 times. Burnes should dominate.
Odds: Diamondbacks -258, Pirates +210 | Total: 9
🔥 Top Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (N/A)

Washington Nationals (24-29) @ Seattle Mariners (29-23) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Mitchell Parker (WSH): 4-3, 4.39 ERA — 5 quality starts
🔹 Logan Evans (SEA): 2-1, 3.33 ERA — solid debut rotation work
🔍 Mariners are tough on LHP and return home after rough Houston series. Nationals rank 5th in steals, may look to press the pace.
Odds: Mariners -162, Nationals +136 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Mariners ML (-162)

Miami Marlins (21-31) @ San Diego Padres (30-22) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Max Meyer (MIA): 3-4, 4.15 ERA — 63 K in 56 IP
🔹 Stephen Kolek (SD): 2-1, 2.84 ERA — shutout debut as SP
🔍 Padres are 17-8 at home and finally snapped their skid. Marlins have struggled all year away from Miami.
Odds: Padres -162, Marlins +136 | Total: 8
🔥 Top Pick: Padres ML (-162)

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