Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets (12 Games Monday)

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Cubs -1.5 (-110) @ Marlins – 6:40 PM ET
Chicago’s won three straight and faces Edward Cabrera (5.52 ERA), who's been unreliable all season. Ben Brown gets the nod for the Cubs, who are 28-19 and hitting their stride atop the NL Central.

Under 7.5 (-102) – Guardians @ Twins – 7:40 PM ET
Bailey Ober (2.53 home ERA) has already stifled Cleveland once this season, and Logan Allen owns a 2.04 ERA in three career starts vs Minnesota. Two skidding offenses meet in what profiles as a pitcher’s duel.

Giants ML (-135) vs Royals – 9:45 PM ET
San Francisco’s riding a weekend sweep and sends undefeated Robbie Ray (6-0, 3.04 ERA) to the mound against Kris Bubic. KC has a .589 OPS vs lefties this month and could struggle again tonight.

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Cincinnati Reds (24-24) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (15-32) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Nick Lodolo (CIN): 3-4, 3.42 ERA, 42 SO — steady in May
🔹 Mitch Keller (PIT): 1-5, 4.15 ERA, 43 SO — Pirates 0-3 in his last 3 starts
🔍 Reds have won 4 straight behind Will Benson’s monster stretch (.533, 5 HR last 4 games). Pittsburgh’s offense is flatlining and owns MLB’s lowest HR total (33).
Odds: Reds -115, Pirates -105 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Reds ML (-115)

Chicago Cubs (28-19) @ Miami Marlins (18-27) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Ben Brown (CHC): 3-3, 4.75 ERA, 50 SO — 5.1 IP, 2 ER vs MIA earlier this month
🔹 Edward Cabrera (MIA): 0-1, 5.52 ERA, 26 SO — struggling with command and consistency
🔍 Cubs are hot after sweeping the White Sox and getting a spark from Pete Crow-Armstrong (.458 last 7 days). Miami’s 5-11 in May and thin on pitching depth.
Odds: Cubs -170, Marlins +142 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (-110)

New York Mets (29-18) @ Boston Red Sox (23-25) – 6:45 PM
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 4-2, 1.02 ERA, 42 SO — one of MLB’s most dominant arms
🔹 Hunter Dobbins (BOS): 2-1, 3.90 ERA, 23 SO — allowed 5 ER in last start vs DET
🔍 The Mets have dropped 2 straight and scored just 6 runs over the weekend. Senga gives them a shot to stabilize vs a Red Sox team that’s lost 5 of 6.
Odds: Mets -130, Red Sox +110 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Mets ML (-130)

Houston Astros (24-22) @ Tampa Bay Rays (21-25) – 7:05 PM
🔹 Colton Gordon (HOU): 0-0, 6.23 ERA, 3 SO — rookie making second start
🔹 Ryan Pepiot (TB): 2-5, 3.93 ERA, 45 SO — 3.31 ERA in May
🔍 Both teams have underwhelmed early. Chandler Simpson (.301, 9 SB) is the lone bright spot in Tampa’s struggling lineup. Tight matchup between scuffling clubs.
Odds: Rays -142, Astros +120 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Under 9 (-115)

Cleveland Guardians (25-21) @ Minnesota Twins (26-21) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Logan Allen (CLE): 2-2, 3.70 ERA, 31 SO — 2.04 ERA vs MIN in career
🔹 Bailey Ober (MIN): 4-1, 3.72 ERA, 40 SO — 2.53 ERA at home
🔍 Twins had their 13-game win streak snapped Sunday but are still red-hot. Cleveland’s dropped 4 straight and remains anemic offensively despite José Ramírez’s 12-game hit streak.
Odds: Twins -142, Guardians +120 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Under 7.5 (-102)

Seattle Mariners (26-19) @ Chicago White Sox (14-33) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Luis Castillo (SEA): 3-3, 3.65 ERA, 39 SO — 1 ER over 7 IP in last start
🔹 Davis Martin (CWS): 2-4, 3.65 ERA, 33 SO — opponents hitting .326 vs non-fastballs
🔍 Seattle’s won 3 straight and handled San Diego easily. Chicago gives up the league’s highest xBA on secondary pitches.
Odds: Mariners -198, White Sox +164 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (+110)

Baltimore Orioles (15-30) @ Milwaukee Brewers (22-25) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Dean Kremer (BAL): 3-5, 5.36 ERA, 34 SO — hasn’t gone past 6 IP since April
🔹 Quinn Priester (MIL): 1-2, 4.59 ERA, 23 SO — solid over last 2 starts
🔍 Both offenses are ice-cold (.268 SLG vs RHP for BAL, .313 for MIL). Orioles play their first game under interim manager Tony Mansolino after a 3-game sweep led to Brandon Hyde’s firing.
Odds: Brewers -115, Orioles -105 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Under 9 (-115)

Detroit Tigers (31-16) @ St. Louis Cardinals (26-21) – 7:45 PM
🔹 Tigers SP: TBD
🔹 Sonny Gray (STL): 4-1, 4.50 ERA, 51 SO — 2.68 career ERA vs DET
🔍 Cards have won 12 of 14 and are clicking offensively. Tigers are comfortable as road dogs, but without a confirmed starter, edge leans STL in a tight one.
Odds: Cardinals -162, Tigers +136 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Over 8 (-105)

Philadelphia Phillies (28-18) @ Colorado Rockies (8-38) – 8:40 PM
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 4-1, 2.91 ERA, 52 SO — 5+ IP in 7 of 8 starts
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 0-6, 6.15 ERA, 35 SO — 3 ER in 6 IP last start
🔍 Phillies are surging, while Colorado is in historic collapse mode. Expect runs at Coors, but the Phillies’ 73% implied win probability makes this a lopsided matchup.
Odds: Phillies -238, Rockies +195 | Total: 10
✅ Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (-115)

Kansas City Royals (26-22) @ San Francisco Giants (28-19) – 9:45 PM
🔹 Kris Bubic (KC): 4-2, 1.66 ERA, 56 SO — 1 ER over last 3 starts
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 6-0, 3.04 ERA, 55 SO — Giants are 9-0 in his starts
🔍 Giants swept the A’s and now turn to their undefeated ace. Royals have a .239 AVG vs LHPs this month and could struggle again against Ray.
Odds: Giants -135, Royals +114 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Giants ML (-135)

Los Angeles Angels (20-25) @ Oakland Athletics (22-25) – 10:05 PM
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 2-4, 3.46 ERA, 42 SO — looking to snap 6-start winless streak
🔹 J.T. Ginn (OAK): 1-1, 4.61 ERA, 15 SO — first start since April after rehab
🔍 A's have lost 5 straight and were outscored 41-8 in that span. Angels have shown life but need to support Soriano with better bullpen work.
Odds: Athletics -142, Angels +120 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Angels ML (+120)

Arizona Diamondbacks (25-22) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (29-18) – 10:10 PM

🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 6-3, 3.73 ERA, 44 SO — solid recent form, but vulnerable to hard contact
🔹 Landon Knack (LAD): 2-1, 5.89 ERA, 20 SO — battling inconsistency in early starts
🔍 The Dodgers were just swept at home by the Angels, but still lead MLB in runs scored and remain one of baseball’s most dangerous lineups. Arizona’s .828 OPS vs right-handed pitching is best in MLB, and Pfaadt has quietly settled in despite occasional struggles limiting barrels. Expect fireworks, especially at hitter-friendly Dodger Stadium, where LA is 10-1 to the over in their last 11.
Odds: Dodgers -148, D-backs +124 | Total: 10
✅ Best Bet: Over 10 (-105)

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