Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Phillies -1.5 (-120) vs Pirates – 6:05 PM ET
Zack Wheeler’s been elite (2.95 ERA, 74 K) and the Pirates are hitting just .220 vs RHP with a league-worst 2.78 road runs per game. Philly has covered the run line in 5 of Wheeler’s 6 starts.

Twins ML (-118) @ Brewers – 7:15 PM ET
Minnesota's won 12 straight and sends Pablo López (2.77 ERA) to face a Brewers offense hitting .190 in May. López dominates late — opponents have just a .290 OBP third time through.

Cubs -1.5 (-125) vs White Sox – 2:20 PM ET
Cubs have scored 5.7 runs/game (2nd MLB) and own 8 of last 9 vs South Siders. Sean Burke faces a tough ask at Wrigley against a locked-in Cubs lineup coming off a 13-run night.

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New York Mets (28-17, .622) @ New York Yankees (26-18, .591) – 1:05 PM
🔹 Griffin Canning (NYM): 5-1, 2.36 ERA, 42 SO — quietly sharp, 2.36 ERA
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 1-1, 4.73 ERA, 25 SO — better in May, 2.45 ERA vs Mets career
🔍 Judge leads MLB with 15 HR as Yankees ride 7 wins in 9. Canning's form vs a potent lineup meets a Mets team with just 4 total runs over their last 3 games.
Odds: Yankees -135, Mets +114 | Total: 10
✅ Best Bet: Under 10 (-112)

Chicago White Sox (14-31, .311) @ Chicago Cubs (26-19, .578) – 2:20 PM
🔹 Sean Burke (CHW): 2-4, 4.15 ERA, 29 SO — 1 ER in last outing, untested vs Cubs
🔹 Matthew Boyd (CHC): 3-2, 2.78 ERA, 45 SO — 3 quality starts in last 4
🔍 Cubs have won 8 of 9 vs the Sox and have the second highest scoring offense in MLB. South Siders are just 4-15 on the road.
Odds: Cubs -290, White Sox +235 | Total: 10
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (-125)

Detroit Tigers (30-15, .667) @ Toronto Blue Jays (21-23, .477) – 3:07 PM
🔹 Reese Olson (DET): 4-3, 3.38 ERA, 45 SO — solid mid-rotation arm
🔹 Eric Lauer (TOR): 1-0, 2.00 ERA, 9 SO — early returns promising
🔍 Tigers lead AL Central and rank 5th in HR and AVG. Toronto struggles with consistency (4.61 team ERA), and Detroit’s 21-5 as favorites speaks volumes.
Odds: Tigers -130, Blue Jays +110 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Tigers ML (-130)

Washington Nationals (19-27, .413) @ Baltimore Orioles (15-28, .349) – 4:05 PM
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 2-1, 4.00 ERA, 34 SO — 3 solid no-decisions in last 4 starts
🔹 Kyle Gibson (BAL): 0-2, 13.11 ERA, 9 SO — brutal .564 SLG allowed
🔍 Baltimore’s left 15 on base in last game and is hitting .212 w/RISP during a 4-game skid. Gibson has been hittable, while Washington wins ugly — 12% DP rate ranks 2nd in MLB.
Odds: Orioles -148, Nationals +124 | Total: 10.5
✅ Best Bet: Nationals +1.5 (-155)

Tampa Bay Rays (20-24, .455) @ Miami Marlins (17-26, .395) – 4:10 PM
🔹 Drew Rasmussen (TB): 1-4, 3.38 ERA, 35 SO — needs run support
🔹 Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 2-5, 8.10 ERA, 31 SO — crushed 3rd time through
🔍 Miami's .520 bullpen SLG allowed is worst in MLB. Rays have won 25 of last 30 vs MIA but are just .219 with 2 outs.
Odds: Rays -155, Marlins +130 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Rays ML (-155)

Pittsburgh Pirates (15-30, .333) @ Philadelphia Phillies (26-18, .591) – 6:05 PM
🔹 Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT): 1-3, 5.20 ERA, 26 SO — struggles vs RH lineups
🔹 Zack Wheeler (PHI): 4-1, 2.95 ERA, 74 SO — dominant vs CLE & TB
🔍 Pirates have blown 15 leads and average just 2.78 road runs. Wheeler is locked in and Phillies are 5-1 ATS in his starts.
Odds: Phillies -305, Pirates +245 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-120)

Cleveland Guardians (25-19, .568) @ Cincinnati Reds (22-24, .478) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Slade Cecconi (CLE): First start of 2025 — returning from oblique injury
🔹 Chase Petty (CIN): 0-2, 21.94 ERA — struggled in first two MLB starts
🔍 The Guardians aim to bounce back after a narrow loss, leaning on a bullpen with a 3.50 ERA this season. Petty has allowed 13 ER in 5.1 IP, while the Reds continue to allow too many home runs at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.
Odds: Guardians -125, Reds +105 | Total: 10
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (-125)

Houston Astros (23-21, .523) @ Texas Rangers (24-22, .522) – 7:05 PM
🔹 Ronel Blanco (HOU): 3-3, 4.04 ERA, 43 SO — 11 K gem last outing
🔹 Tyler Mahle (TEX): 4-1, 1.47 ERA, 37 SO — hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any start
🔍 Mahle’s streak is the best Rangers opening run since 1972. Astros hit .266 vs LHP but face a tough righty tonight.
Odds: Rangers -120, Astros +100 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-118)

St. Louis Cardinals (25-20, .556) @ Kansas City Royals (25-21, .543) – 7:10 PM
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 2-2, 4.35 ERA, 23 SO — veteran stability
🔹 Royals starter TBD
🔍 Cards have swept 2 straight series and lead MLB in AVG on changeups (.329). Royals slug just .310 with RISP and sit 27th in runs.
Odds: Royals -120, Cardinals +100 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Cardinals ML (+100)

Atlanta Braves (23-22, .511) @ Boston Red Sox (22-24, .478) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Grant Holmes (ATL): 2-3, 4.14 ERA, 44 SO — solid mid-rotation
🔹 Lucas Giolito (BOS): 1-1, 5.51 ERA, 14 SO — 7 IP, 1 ER vs KC last outing
🔍 Braves have won 4 of 5 and boast a 2.64 team ERA in May. Boston has scored 2 or fewer in 14 games this season.
Odds: Red Sox -120, Braves +100 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Braves ML (+100)

Minnesota Twins (25-20, .556) @ Milwaukee Brewers (21-24, .467) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Pablo López (MIN): 3-2, 2.77 ERA, 43 SO — elite vs third time through
🔹 Tobias Myers (MIL): 1-0, 3.86 ERA, 11 SO — 5th career start
🔍 Twins have won 12 straight and their starters lead MLB in BB rate. Brewers hitting just .190 in May and .194 vs relievers.
Odds: Twins -118, Brewers -102 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Twins ML (-118)

Colorado Rockies (7-37, .159) @ Arizona Diamondbacks (24-21, .533) – 8:10 PM
🔹 Germán Márquez (COL): 1-6, 8.27 ERA, 20 SO — rough 2025, but 7 IP, 1 ER last start
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 3-5, 4.59 ERA, 54 SO — looking to rebound
🔍 D-backs lead NL in runs (5.47/game) and hit .285 w/RISP. The Rockies are hitting just .184 on the road and own MLB’s worst ERA.
Odds: Diamondbacks -375, Rockies +295 | Total: 9.5
✅ Best Bet: Over 9.5 (+102)

Seattle Mariners (24-19, .558) @ San Diego Padres (27-16, .628) – 8:40 PM
🔹 Emerson Hancock (SEA): 1-2, 6.91 ERA, 22 SO — rough start to 2025
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 5-2, 3.05 ERA, 49 SO — solid early-season form
🔍 Hancock allowed 7 runs to the Yankees in his last outing and has struggled with command (1.71 WHIP), while Pivetta has been lights out at Petco Park (4-0, 25.1 IP, 4 ER). Seattle mashed three homers in Friday’s 5-1 win, snapping out of a 1-5 skid with 10 hits.
Odds: Padres -198, Mariners +164 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Padres ML (-198)

Oakland Athletics (22-23, .489) @ San Francisco Giants (26-19, .578) – 9:05 PM
🔹 Luis Severino (OAK): 1-4, 4.70 ERA, 40 SO — inconsistent results
🔹 Landen Roupp (SF): 2-3, 4.73 ERA, 42 SO — looking to settle in
🔍 Wilmer Flores erupted for 3 HR and 8 RBI in Friday’s 9-1 win, tying Aaron Judge for the MLB RBI lead and powering the Giants to a series-opening rout. Severino has held Flores hitless in 7 ABs but hasn’t found much support — A’s starters have allowed 14 runs in their last 11 innings.
Odds: Giants -155, Athletics +130 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Giants ML (-155)

Los Angeles Angels (18-25, .419) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (29-16, .644) – 9:10 PM
🔹 Tyler Anderson (LAA): 2-1, 2.58 ERA, 39 SO — Angels’ most reliable arm
🔹 Clayton Kershaw (LAD): 2025 debut
🔍 Dodgers slug .479 and have won 17 of 22 at home. Angels have MLB’s worst OBP and bullpen SLG allowed (.520).
Odds: Dodgers -218, Angels +180 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

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