Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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All times EST

Mets -1.5 (+100) vs Pirates – 7:10 PM
Kodai Senga owns a 1.16 ERA and faces a Pirates lineup that's scored 4 runs or fewer in 18 straight. Mitch Keller struggles late in games.

Tigers ML (-112) vs Red Sox – 6:40 PM
Detroit’s rolling, averaging 5.43 runs per game and fresh off a 14-2 rout. Brayan Bello has overperformed his 2.01 ERA, while Tyler Holton adds unpredictability in his first start of the year.

Cubs -1.5 (+140) vs Marlins – 7:40 PM
Dansby Swanson’s hitting .422 with 5 HR in his last 13 games, and the Cubs are surging behind a deep lineup. Miami’s offense remains unreliable despite Derek Hill’s return.

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All times EST

Milwaukee Brewers (20-22, .476) @ Cleveland Guardians (24-17, .585) – 6:10 PM
🔹 Quinn Priester (MIL): 1-1, 5.08 ERA, 20 SO — inconsistent and struggles vs CLE
🔹 Logan Allen (CLE): 1-2, 4.33 ERA, 25 SO — marginally better at home
🔍 Cleveland shut out Milwaukee 5-0 Monday behind power and speed, and the Brewers are batting just .184 over their last five. The Guardians are -135 favorites with most bets backing them to cover.
Odds: Guardians -135, Brewers +114 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (-135)

Boston Red Sox (22-21, .512) @ Detroit Tigers (27-15, .643) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 2-0, 2.01 ERA, 13 SO — xERA suggests regression
🔹 Tyler Holton (DET): 2-2, 3.12 ERA, 17 SO — first start after 15 relief appearances
🔍 After a 14-2 blowout win, the Tigers’ offense remains hot and leads the AL Central. Detroit's -112 ML price offers solid value.
Odds: Tigers -112, Red Sox -108 | Total: 8.5
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-112)

Chicago White Sox (12-29, .293) @ Cincinnati Reds (20-22, .476) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Jonathan Cannon (CWS): 2-4, 4.09 ERA, 33 SO — allows lots of traffic
🔹 Andrew Abbott (CIN): 2-0, 2.25 ERA, 31 SO — Reds’ most consistent starter
🔍 Cincinnati's 47 stolen bases could exploit Cannon’s lack of command. Reds aim for sweep behind Abbott’s lefty dominance.
Odds: Reds -205, White Sox +170 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Reds -1.5 (-110)

Tampa Bay Rays (18-22, .450) @ Toronto Blue Jays (20-20, .500) – 7:07 PM
🔹 Shane Baz (TB): 3-2, 4.93 ERA, 40 SO — tagged for 13 ER in last 2
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 1-1, 3.86 ERA, 45 SO — 17 Ks over last 12 IP
🔍 Toronto’s scored 29 runs in a four-game win streak, while Tampa’s bats have gone quiet. Jays have been solid ATS this season.
Odds: Blue Jays -135, Rays +114 | Total: 8
✅ Best Bet: Blue Jays ML (-135)

Pittsburgh Pirates (14-28, .333) @ New York Mets (27-15, .643) – 7:10 PM
🔹 Mitch Keller (PIT): 1-4, 4.40 ERA, 35 SO — league-worst .927 OPS allowed 2nd time through
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 4-2, 1.16 ERA, 35 SO — 6 shutout innings in last start
🔍 Pirates have scored ≤4 runs in 18 straight. Senga’s dominance and NY’s 6-of-7 run make them heavy favorites.
Odds: Mets -250, Pirates +205 | Total: 7.5
🔥 Top Pick: Mets -1.5 (+100)

Washington Nationals (17-25, .405) @ Atlanta Braves (20-21, .488) – 7:15 PM
🔹 Michael Soroka (WSH): 0-2, 7.20 ERA, 11 SO — facing former team
🔹 Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 1-3, 3.42 ERA, 43 SO — sharp in last outing
🔍 Atlanta’s pushing to get back to .500 while the Nats have dropped 6 straight. Soroka’s reunion storyline adds intrigue.
Odds: Braves -218, Nationals +180 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (-108)

Miami Marlins (15-25, .375) @ Chicago Cubs (24-18, .571) – 7:40 PM
🔹 Valente Bellozo (MIA): 0-2, 3.50 ERA, 14 SO — hasn’t gone deep in starts
🔹 Ben Brown (CHC): 3-3, 4.95 ERA, 44 SO — inconsistent but backed by hot lineup
🔍 Cubs have won behind Dansby Swanson’s tear (.422 in last 13). Miami’s offense continues to sputter.
Odds: Cubs -265, Marlins +215 | Total: 8
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (+140)

Colorado Rockies (7-34, .171) @ Texas Rangers (21-21, .500) – 8:05 PM
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 0-5, 6.41 ERA, 30 SO — hit hard last outing
🔹 Jack Leiter (TEX): 2-2, 5.09 ERA, 18 SO — command issues in last start
🔍 Rangers took the opener 2-1 and face a Colorado team still adjusting post-Bud Black.
Odds: Rangers -250, Rockies +205 | Total: 8.5
✅ Best Bet: Rangers -1.5 (-115)

Kansas City Royals (25-18, .581) @ Houston Astros (20-20, .500) – 8:10 PM
🔹 Kris Bubic (KC): 4-2, 1.69 ERA, 47 SO — breakout year post-TJ surgery
🔹 Framber Valdez (HOU): 2-4, 3.94 ERA, 44 SO — inconsistent but capable
🔍 KC’s riding momentum after a 7-5 win and Bubic’s stellar season. Astros look to even the series behind Valdez.
Odds: Astros -135, Royals +114 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-112)

Los Angeles Angels (17-23, .425) @ San Diego Padres (25-15, .625) – 9:40 PM
🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 2-4, 4.00 ERA, 37 SO — allowed 3+ ER in 4 of last 5
🔹 Dylan Cease (SD): 1-2, 4.91 ERA, 48 SO — carried no-hitter deep last start
🔍 Padres look to bounce back after a blown save ended their win streak. Cease has flashed elite stuff.
Odds: Padres -225, Angels +185 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Padres -1.5 (+102)

New York Yankees (24-17, .585) @ Seattle Mariners (22-18, .550) – 9:40 PM
🔹 Max Fried (NYY): 6-0, 1.05 ERA, 47 SO — hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any start
🔹 Bryan Woo (SEA): 4-1, 3.25 ERA, 44 SO — shelled in last start
🔍 Yankees have won two straight and Fried is dealing. Seattle’s dropped 4 in a row and looks overmatched.
Odds: Yankees -142, Mariners +120 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (+120)

Arizona Diamondbacks (22-20, .524) @ San Francisco Giants (24-18, .571) – 9:45 PM
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 6-2, 3.28 ERA, 41 SO — strong season but needs better road splits
🔹 Robbie Ray (SF): 5-0, 2.84 ERA, 46 SO — 8-0 record and dealing
🔍 Corbin Carroll powered Arizona in Monday’s win with 2 HR. Tight moneyline reflects balanced matchup.
Odds: Diamondbacks -118, Giants -102 | Total: 7.5
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-105)

Oakland Athletics (21-20, .512) @ Los Angeles Dodgers (27-14, .659) – 10:10 PM
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 4-3, 4.81 ERA, 32 SO — decent bounce-back vs SEA
🔹 Landon Knack (LAD): 2-0, 4.61 ERA, 12 SO — 5 scoreless in last start
🔍 Dodgers start a homestand with Freddie Freeman on fire (.475 in last 10). A’s are better on the road (13-7) but face long odds.
Odds: Dodgers -205, Athletics +170 | Total: 9
✅ Best Bet: Under 9 (-102)

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