Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Cubs -1.5 (-118) vs Marlins – 7:40 PM ET
Chicago’s Colin Rea (2.43 ERA) has been rock solid, while Miami's Cal Quantrill (7.11 ERA) continues to struggle. Cubs are solid -258 favorites vs a 15-24 Marlins team. Miami has lost 2 of 3 to the White Sox

Tigers ML (+105) vs Red Sox – 6:40 PM ET
Tanner Houck has a 6.10 ERA and has been torched for 23 ER in 24 road IP. Detroit’s 26-15 and should rebound at home behind Spencer Torkelson and a Boston team hitting .161 over the weekend.

Padres -1.5 (+105) vs Angels – 9:40 PM ET
Michael King (2.22 ERA) faces an Angels lineup that’s dropped 18 of 25. San Diego is 24-14 ATS and has been dominant at Petco Park.

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Milwaukee Brewers (20-21, .488) @ Cleveland Guardians (23-17, .575) – 6:10 PM ET
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 4-2, 2.18 ERA, 48 SO — has allowed 3 ER or fewer in every start
🔹 Ben Lively (CLE): 2-2, 3.46 ERA, 28 SO — 1 ER allowed across 11 May innings
🔍 The Brewers snapped a 3-game skid behind Christian Yelich’s Mother’s Day homer, while Cleveland’s been shut out in two straight. Milwaukee’s hitters chase the fewest first pitches in MLB, setting up a patient vs. precision duel.
Odds: Brewers -125, Guardians +105 | Total: 8.5 (O/U -110)
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-110)

Boston Red Sox (22-20, .524) @ Detroit Tigers (26-15, .634) – 6:40 PM ET
🔹 Tanner Houck (BOS): 0-2, 6.10 ERA, 32 SO — 23 ER allowed in 24 road innings
🔹 Jackson Jobe (DET): 2-0, 4.88 ERA, 20 SO — promising but inconsistent
🔍 Detroit struggled to hit over the weekend (.161 vs TEX), but gets a favorable matchup against road-worn Houck. Spencer Torkelson (10 HR, 33 RBI) leads the Tigers' bounce-back bid at home.
Odds: Red Sox -125, Tigers +105 | Total: 8.5 (O -112 / U -108)
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (+105)

St. Louis Cardinals (22-19, .537) @ Philadelphia Phillies (24-16, .600) – 6:45 PM ET
🔹 Matthew Liberatore (STL): 3-3, 3.07 ERA, 38 SO — just 6 BB in 41 IP
🔹 Cristopher Sánchez (PHI): 4-1, 2.89 ERA, 44 SO — 44 Ks in 37 IP
🔍 Cardinals ride an 8-game win streak into a clash with a Phillies squad that’s won 11 of 14. Two surging clubs and two sharp lefties set the stage for a playoff-caliber tilt.
Odds: Phillies -180, Cardinals +150 | Total: 8.5 (O/U -110)
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-110)

Pittsburgh Pirates (14-27, .341) @ New York Mets (26-15, .634) – 7:10 PM ET
🔹 Paul Skenes (PIT): 3-4, 2.77 ERA, 47 SO — brilliant with zero run support
🔹 David Peterson (NYM): 2-2, 3.05 ERA, 36 SO — 3 ER or fewer in all 7 starts
🔍 The Pirates rank last in MLB in runs scored. Skenes dominates, but New York’s depth and Lindor’s .877 OPS (.301 AVG) give the Mets the clear edge.
Odds: Mets -166, Pirates +140 | Total: 7 (O -122 / U +102)
✅ Best Bet: Mets ML (-166)

Washington Nationals (17-24, .415) @ Atlanta Braves (19-21, .475) – 7:15 PM ET
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 2-1, 3.94 ERA, 33 SO — won 4 of last 5 starts
🔹 Grant Holmes (ATL): 2-3, 4.58 ERA, 40 SO — 6 HR allowed in last 3 outings
🔍 The Nats have been outscored 37-10 during a 5-game losing streak, but Irvin’s past dominance over Atlanta (2-0, 1.16 ERA last year) gives them a shot. Still, Braves are home and desperate to respond.
Odds: Braves -185, Nationals +154 | Total: 8.5 (O -118 / U -102)
✅ Best Bet: Braves ML (-185)

Miami Marlins (15-24, .385) @ Chicago Cubs (23-18, .561) – 7:40 PM ET
🔹 Cal Quantrill (MIA): 2-3, 7.11 ERA, 22 SO — 8 HR allowed in 6 starts
🔹 Colin Rea (CHC): 2-0, 2.43 ERA, 25 SO — quietly effective in early season
🔍 The Cubs limp back to Wrigley after a weak road trip but face a prime get-right spot. Miami has lost 2 of 3 to the White Sox and continues to struggle at the plate.
Odds: Cubs -258, Marlins +210 | Total: 8.5 (O/U -110)
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (-118)

Colorado Rockies (7-33, .175) @ Texas Rangers (20-21, .488) – 8:05 PM ET
🔹 Chase Dollander (COL): 2-3, 7.71 ERA, 25 SO — 8 HR allowed, command issues
🔹 Tyler Mahle (TEX): 3-1, 1.48 ERA, 32 SO — 1.48 ERA through 6 starts
🔍 After firing manager Bud Black, Colorado enters freefall mode. Mahle looks to cruise against a team that’s 1-9 in its last 10 and leads the league in chaos.
Odds: Rangers -265, Rockies +215 | Total: 9 (O +102 / U -122)
✅ Best Bet: Rangers -1.5 (-115)

Kansas City Royals (24-18, .571) @ Houston Astros (20-19, .513) – 8:10 PM ET
🔹 Michael Wacha (KC): 2-4, 2.98 ERA, 34 SO — 12 scoreless innings over last 2 starts
🔹 Ryan Gusto (HOU): 3-1, 2.93 ERA, 29 SO — converted bullpen arm with consistency
🔍 Royals dropped two straight after a 7-game win streak. Wacha blanked the Astros just two weeks ago, but Houston gets slight edge at home in this coin-flip.
Odds: Astros -122, Royals +102 | Total: 8 (O -115 / U -105)
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.0 (-105)

Los Angeles Angels (16-23, .410) @ San Diego Padres (25-14, .641) – 9:40 PM ET
🔹 Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 0-4, 3.83 ERA, 39 SO — still winless in 2025
🔹 Michael King (SD): 4-1, 2.22 ERA, 48 SO — 24-14 ATS with King at home
🔍 San Diego returns home after a 6-3 road trip. The Angels have lost 18 of 25 and continue to freefall. This is a mismatch on paper and by the numbers.
Odds: Padres -205, Angels +170 | Total: 7 (O -122 / U +102)
🔥 Top Pick: Padres -1.5 (+105)

New York Yankees (23-17, .575) @ Seattle Mariners (22-17, .564) – 9:40 PM ET
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 0-1, 4.79 ERA — inconsistent early form
🔹 Emerson Hancock (SEA): 1-1, 5.70 ERA, 17 SO — vulnerable to big innings
🔍 Aaron Judge has 7 homers in his last 14 games and leads an offense that torched Oakland 12-2 on Sunday. Seattle was swept by Toronto and scored just 7 total runs in that series.
Odds: Yankees -148, Mariners +124 | Total: 8 (O -108 / U -112)
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.0 (-108)

Arizona Diamondbacks (21-20, .512) @ San Francisco Giants (24-17, .585) – 9:45 PM ET
🔹 Merrill Kelly (ARI): 3-2, 4.09 ERA, 33 SO — only 8 ER over last 5 starts
🔹 Justin Verlander (SF): 0-2, 4.50 ERA, 35 SO — 7 ER over last 4 starts
🔍 Verlander is still searching for his first win with the Giants, while Kelly has quietly been one of the D-backs' most consistent arms. Tight divisional tilt with playoff implications.
Odds: Diamondbacks -118, Giants -102 | Total: 8 (O -112 / U -108)
✅ Best Bet: Diamondbacks ML (-118)

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