Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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Tigers ML (-115) vs Rangers – 6:10 PM
Detroit has won five straight and eight of nine, with Jack Flaherty allowing a .169 average the first two times through the order. deGrom’s been sharp, but the Rangers are 4-12 in their last 16 and fading.

Padres -1.5 (-148) at Rockies – 8:10 PM
San Diego is hammering teams, putting up 13 runs on Friday, and gets to face Bradley Blalock and his 8.03 ERA at Coors. Stephen Kolek (0.00 ERA) leads a rested Padres pen against a Rockies team that’s lost seven straight.

Under 8.5 (-102) Cubs at Mets – 7:15 PM
Tylor Megill (2.50 ERA) faces a Cubs offense that’s cooled off, and New York owns the second-best team ERA in the league. Brad Keller hasn't gone deep, so expect a bullpen-heavy night that plays to the under.

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Braves at Pirates – 4:05 PM
🔹 AJ Smith-Shawver (ATL): 2-2, 3.00 ERA — steady through five starts
🔹 Andrew Heaney (PIT): 2-3, 3.18 ERA — quietly reliable
🔍 Insight: Pittsburgh stunned Atlanta on Friday and could take a rare series behind a resurgent Heaney. Atlanta’s bats have been ice cold, and the Pirates hit multiple home runs for the first time in two weeks.
✅ Best Bet: Pirates +1.5 (-162)

Yankees at Athletics – 4:05 PM
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 4-3, 2.96 ERA — 0.70 ERA over last four starts
🔹 JP Sears (OAK): 4-2, 2.93 ERA — keeping the A's afloat
🔍 Insight: Jasson Dominguez’s three-HR explosion boosted a lineup already led by Aaron Judge. Rodón’s dominance gives the Yankees a clear edge in what’s shaping into a sneaky pitcher’s duel.
✅ Best Bet: Yankees ML (-162)

Brewers at Rays – 4:10 PM
🔹 Tobias Myers (MIL): 1-0, 3.65 ERA — impressive in limited action
🔹 Taj Bradley (TB): 3-2, 4.43 ERA — still finding rhythm
🔍 Insight: Myers' lethal slider could frustrate a Rays lineup that’s striking out a ton. Tampa is slight home favorite, but Milwaukee has edges in matchup-specific metrics.
✅ Best Bet: Brewers ML (+105)

Rangers at Tigers – 6:10 PM
🔹 Jacob deGrom (TEX): 2-1, 2.61 ERA — four straight quality starts
🔹 Jack Flaherty (DET): 1-4, 3.79 ERA — strong early, struggles late
🔍 Insight: Detroit’s run continues behind a bullpen that’s stepping up. Flaherty dominates early, and deGrom may not get the run support he needs.
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-115)

Phillies at Guardians – 6:10 PM
🔹 Ranger Suárez (PHI): 0-0, 17.18 ERA — rocked in his only start
🔹 Tanner Bibee (CLE): 3-2, 4.26 ERA — 2.50 ERA last three starts
🔍 Insight: Cleveland's won six straight and just blanked Philly behind a balanced attack. Bibee owns a 7-inning shutout vs Philly from last season.
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (+110)

Reds at Astros – 7:10 PM
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 4-2, 3.66 ERA — solid across six starts
🔹 Lance McCullers Jr. (HOU): 0-0, 0.00 ERA — back from injury
🔍 Insight: Cincinnati’s lineup is depleted and facing one of the AL’s best bullpens (2.73 ERA). McCullers is a tough draw at home where Houston has won 6 of 7.
✅ Best Bet: Astros ML (-135)

Red Sox at Royals – 7:10 PM
🔹 Garrett Crochet (BOS): 3-2, 2.02 ERA — breakout season
🔹 Cole Ragans (KC): 2-1, 3.79 ERA — strong command
🔍 Insight: Kansas City has won seven straight and leads MLB in team ERA (2.81). This one leans under with both lefties locked in and low totals from both clubs.
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.0 (-105)

Marlins at White Sox – 7:10 PM
🔹 Edward Cabrera (MIA): 0-1, 6.29 ERA — high walk rate
🔹 Shane Smith (CHW): 1-2, 2.41 ERA — emerging as a legit piece
🔍 Insight: Miami has scored 1 run or fewer in 7 of its last 10. Smith has been sharp, and with the Marlins just 4-11 on the road, Chicago has a slight edge.
✅ Best Bet: White Sox ML (-110)

Cubs at Mets – 7:15 PM
🔹 Brad Keller (CHC): 0-0, 3.78 ERA — likely opener
🔹 Tylor Megill (NYM): 3-2, 2.50 ERA — 45 Ks in 36 innings
🔍 Insight: Mets are 14-3 at home and dominated Game 1. Chicago’s bats have slowed, and New York’s elite pitching continues to lead the way.
🔥 Top Pick: Under 8.5 (-102)

Giants at Twins – 7:15 PM
🔹 Logan Webb (SF): 4-2, 2.61 ERA — master of command
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 2-2, 2.93 ERA — just 1 ER allowed in last two
🔍 Insight: Twins have won seven straight at home. This one’s all about pitching, with both starters in excellent form.
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.0 (-105)

Dodgers at Diamondbacks – 8:10 PM
🔹 Dustin May (LAD): 1-2, 4.36 ERA — 14 ER in last three starts
🔹 Corbin Burnes (ARI): 1-1, 3.58 ERA — heating up
🔍 Insight: D-backs handed LA a rare loss on Thursday and get another crack at May, who’s trending the wrong way. Burnes gives Arizona a chance in another tight matchup.
✅ Best Bet: Diamondbacks ML (+100)

Padres at Rockies – 8:10 PM
🔹 Stephen Kolek (SD): 1-0, 0.00 ERA — dominant debut
🔹 Bradley Blalock (COL): 0-1, 8.03 ERA — overwhelmed at this level
🔍 Insight: San Diego’s rolling with 13 runs Friday and Blalock on the mound. Colorado’s dropped seven straight and has no answers right now.
🔥 Top Pick: Padres -1.5 (-148)

Orioles at Angels – 9:38 PM
🔹 Kyle Gibson (BAL): 0-1, 14.09 ERA — disaster early
🔹 Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 1-5, 5.79 ERA — struggling to miss bats
🔍 Insight: This one could go off the rails fast. Baltimore snapped a losing skid Friday, but both starters have serious blowup potential.
✅ Best Bet: Over 10.0 (-112)

Blue Jays at Mariners – 9:40 PM
🔹 Bowden Francis (TOR): 2-5, 5.66 ERA — HR-prone
🔹 Logan Evans (SEA): 1-1, 7.20 ERA — hasn’t gone deep in games
🔍 Insight: Seattle ranks 4th in HRs and gets a soft flyball pitcher in Francis. Toronto won Friday, but Mariners are tough at home.
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-105)

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