⚾ Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

Every day, we send you quick, no-fluff MLB previews — quick takeaways for every matchup, so you can stay sharp on the day’s action without doing homework.

We also give our best bets. We simulate the sports traders, not the games. Using state-of-the-art AI reasoning models, we replicate how betting analysts actually price games — to find where the edges are.

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All times ET

Tigers ML (-120) at Angels – 9:38 PM
Casey Mize (4-1, 2.12 ERA) leads a Detroit squad that’s won 19 games and faces Yusei Kikuchi (0-4, 4.31 ERA), who’s allowed 32 hits in 31.1 innings.

Mets -1.5 (+124) vs Diamondbacks – 1:10 PM
Kodai Senga (3-1, 1.26 ERA) starts for a Mets team that’s 13-2 at home. Zac Gallen (1-4, 5.57 ERA) has struggled early.

Phillies -1.5 (+110) vs Nationals – 6:45 PM
Philadelphia’s won four straight and sends out Taijuan Walker (1-2, 2.78 ERA). Washington has lost the first two games of the series and is starting rookie Brad Lord (0-3, 4.67 ERA).

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Cubs at Pirates – 12:35 PM
🔹 Colin Rea (CHC): 1-0, 0.96 ERA — coming off six shutout innings
🔹 Paul Skenes (PIT): 3-2, 2.39 ERA — holding hitters to a .190 average
🔍 Insight: The Cubs lead the NL in runs but are slight underdogs against Skenes, who’s been electric. Pittsburgh’s looking to take the series after a win on Wednesday.
✅ Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-102)

Cardinals at Reds – 12:40 PM
🔹 Matthew Liberatore (STL): 2-2, 3.19 ERA — just 2 walks in 31 IP
🔹 Andrew Abbott (CIN): 2-0, 3.60 ERA — coming off a rough start at Coors
🔍 Insight: St. Louis is riding high after a 15-run doubleheader sweep, while the Reds try to avoid being swept at home. Momentum’s flipped quickly in this NL Central battle.
✅ Best Bet: Over 9 (-110)

D-backs at Mets – 1:10 PM
🔹 Zac Gallen (ARI): 1-4, 5.57 ERA — inconsistent all April
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 3-1, 1.26 ERA — scoreless in 3 of last 4 starts
🔍 Insight: Senga has been dominant at home, and the Mets are 13-2 at Citi Field. Gallen’s struggles make this a potential blowout.
🔥 Top Pick: Mets -1.5 (+124)

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Royals at Rays – 1:10 PM
🔹 Seth Lugo (KC): 2-3, 3.08 ERA — strong in last outing
🔹 Shane Baz (TB): 3-0, 2.45 ERA — zero earned in 2 of last 5
🔍 Insight: Kansas City’s won 8 of 9 and is riding strong pitching into a possible sweep. Tampa Bay’s offense has stalled, hitting just .248 as a team.
✅ Best Bet: Under 8 (-105)

Twins at Guardians – 1:10 PM
🔹 Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN): 2-2, 4.07 ERA — 7 Ks in last start
🔹 Ben Lively (CLE): 1-2, 4.40 ERA — looking for first quality start
🔍 Insight: Cleveland has allowed just 3 runs over the last two games while riding home dominance (60-35 in last 95). Twins are 4-12 on the road.
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (-108)

Brewers at White Sox – 2:10 PM
🔹 Chad Patrick (MIL): 1-2, 2.45 ERA — steady early-season performer
🔹 Sean Burke (CWS): 1-4, 6.00 ERA — crushed in multiple outings
🔍 Insight: Milwaukee faces a White Sox team that’s lost 23 of 30 and has the worst run differential in MLB. Patrick should have the edge.
✅ Best Bet: Brewers ML (-185)

Athletics at Rangers – 2:35 PM
🔹 Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 3-3, 6.04 ERA — giving up runs in bunches
🔹 Tyler Mahle (TEX): 3-0, 1.14 ERA — Texas’ most reliable starter
🔍 Insight: Mahle's been untouchable, and the A's offense is streaky. Texas looks to rebound from a surprising series loss at home.
✅ Best Bet: Rangers -1.5 (+140)

Nationals at Phillies – 6:45 PM
🔹 Brad Lord (WSH): 0-3, 4.67 ERA — still seeking first MLB win
🔹 Taijuan Walker (PHI): 1-2, 2.78 ERA — solid across 3 starts
🔍 Insight: Philly’s won four straight and is hammering the ball. Washington’s offense has gone quiet with just 7 total runs in the series.
🔥 Top Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+110)

Blue Jays at Red Sox – 7:07 PM
🔹 José Berríos (TOR): 1-1, 4.24 ERA — 5.1 scoreless in last start
🔹 Tanner Houck (BOS): 0-2, 7.58 ERA — 11.65 ERA on the road
🔍 Insight: Both clubs are fighting for traction in the AL East. Toronto took a wild 7-6 win yesterday, but Houck’s home/road split is a major concern.
✅ Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-118)

Tigers at Angels – 9:38 PM
🔹 Casey Mize (DET): 4-1, 2.12 ERA — sharp across the board
🔹 Yusei Kikuchi (LAA): 0-4, 4.31 ERA — 32 hits in 31.1 IP
🔍 Insight: Detroit’s pitching keeps rolling, while the Angels have lost 5 straight and can't find offense. Mize is a mismatch here.
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers ML (-120)

Rockies at Giants – 9:45 PM
🔹 Kyle Freeland (COL): 0-4, 5.93 ERA — no answers through April
🔹 Justin Verlander (SF): 0-2, 4.99 ERA — still finding form
🔍 Insight: The Giants are heavy favorites, and Colorado's 1-14 road record backs it up. Beck and Goodman have been bright spots in an otherwise dismal Rockies season.
✅ Best Bet: Giants -1.5 (-112)

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