⚾ Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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🔥 Top Picks

All times ET

Cubs -1.5 (-108) at Pirates – 6:40 PM
Matthew Boyd (2.54 ERA) faces a Pittsburgh lineup hitting .224, and the Cubs have crushed righties like Mlodzinski (6.95 ERA). Chicago’s covered four of its last five run lines and leads MLB in team average.

Padres -1.5 (+160) vs Giants – 4:10 PM
Michael King (2.18 ERA) has been elite, especially at Petco. The Giants counter with Landen Roupp, who didn’t get out of the fourth in his last start and faces a San Diego lineup that just snapped a four-game skid with seven runs.

Over 9.5 (-105) Orioles vs Yankees – 6:35 PM
These two teams have combined for 24 and 15 runs in back-to-back games. Povich (5.04 ERA) and Carrasco (5.26 ERA) both enter with shaky recent form, and Yankee bats are surging after six homers Tuesday.

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⚾ Game Previews

Cardinals at Reds (Game 1) – 12:40 PM
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 0-2, 5.70 ERA — tossed 6 shutout innings vs ATL last start
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 4-0, 3.62 ERA — riding strong run support
🔍 Insight: The Reds are on a five-game win streak and have been scorching at the plate, while St. Louis is 2-12 on the road and looking lost. This is a momentum mismatch at Great American Ballpark.
✅ Best Bet: Reds ML (-148)

Tigers at Astros – 2:10 PM
🔹 Jackson Jobe (DET): 2-0, 2.70 ERA — allowed just 3 total runs in last 2 starts
🔹 AJ Blubaugh (HOU): MLB debut — 2.70 ERA in Triple-A Sugar Land
🔍 Insight: The AL Central–leading Tigers try to avoid a sweep behind top prospect Jobe, but face an Astros team riding back-to-back wins and a rookie debut buzz at home. Expect a tight, low-scoring duel between two high-upside arms.
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-115)

Braves at Rockies – 3:10 PM
🔹 Chris Sale (ATL): 1-2, 5.40 ERA — flashed signs of dominance vs ARI last week
🔹 Chase Dollander (COL): 1-3, 7.91 ERA — shelled for 17 ER in 19.1 IP
🔍 Insight: Atlanta has pummeled Colorado with 28 hits in two games and looks to complete a sweep at Coors against a rookie who’s been battered all month. The 4-25 Rockies have dropped eight straight and are reeling across the board.
✅ Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (-185)

Marlins at Dodgers – 3:10 PM
🔹 Cal Quantrill (MIA): 2-3, 7.83 ERA — hasn’t completed 6 IP all year
🔹 Tony Gonsolin (LAD): First MLB start since 2023 TJ surgery
🔍 Insight: After a 15-2 blowout, the Dodgers are rolling and welcome Gonsolin back in a spot tailor-made for a win. Miami has allowed 23 runs in two games and is just trying to survive.
✅ Best Bet: Dodgers -1.5 (-155)

Giants at Padres – 4:10 PM
🔹 Landen Roupp (SF): 2-1, 4.56 ERA — lasted 3.2 IP in last outing
🔹 Michael King (SD): 3-1, 2.18 ERA — 1.01 WHIP, thriving at Petco
🔍 Insight: Roupp hasn’t found rhythm, and the Padres’ bats came alive Tuesday with a statement win. San Diego’s 12-1 at home, and King’s form gives them a serious edge in a bounce-back spot.
🔥 Top Pick: Padres -1.5 (+160)

Angels at Mariners – 4:10 PM
🔹 Tyler Anderson (LAA): 2-0, 2.60 ERA — giving Angels a fighting chance
🔹 Emerson Hancock (SEA): 1-1, 3.91 ERA — finding consistency in rotation
🔍 Insight: Seattle’s won 11 of 18 and has dominated as a home favorite, while the Angels are batting .210 and have lost 6 of 7. Unless Trout breaks out, L.A.’s slump looks likely to continue.
✅ Best Bet: Mariners ML (-148)

Twins at Guardians – 6:10 PM
🔹 Pablo López (MIN): 2-1, 2.08 ERA — the rotation’s ace
🔹 Luis Ortiz (CLE): 2-3, 5.96 ERA — struggling to locate
🔍 Insight: Cleveland halted a 3-game slide with a walk-off, but Minnesota had won 4 straight before that. This rubber match is a tone-setter for two AL Central teams hovering around .500.
✅ Best Bet: Twins ML (-130)

Orioles at Yankees – 6:35 PM
🔹 Cade Povich (BAL): 1-2, 5.04 ERA — 6.2 IP, 1 ER in last start
🔹 Carlos Carrasco (NYY): 2-1, 5.26 ERA — career 2.22 ERA vs BAL
🔍 Insight: After a 15-3 beatdown Tuesday and six Yankees homers, offense should again headline this AL East clash. The Orioles have allowed 24 and 15 runs in back-to-back blowouts at home.
🔥 Top Pick: Over 9.5 (-105)

Cubs at Pirates – 6:40 PM
🔹 Matthew Boyd (CHC): 2-2, 2.54 ERA — quietly reliable
🔹 Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT): 1-3, 6.95 ERA — opponents hitting .318
🔍 Insight: Cubs have outscored Pittsburgh 13-1 in two games and have hit four bombs off Pirates pitching. Mlodzinski has been lit up early and often, and Boyd’s been steady.
🔥 Top Pick: Cubs -1.5 (-108)

Cardinals at Reds (Game 2) – 6:40 PM
🔹 Steven Matz (STL): 2-0, 1.80 ERA — sharpest arm in Cards’ rotation
🔹 TBD (CIN): Reds haven’t named a starter
🔍 Insight: Matz has been lights out, and the Cards are desperate to grab one on the road. The Reds’ offense remains the X-factor in what could be a tricky back-end doubleheader.
✅ Best Bet: Cardinals ML (+105)

Nationals at Phillies – 6:45 PM
🔹 Jake Irvin (WSH): 2-0, 3.19 ERA — solid all season
🔹 Cristopher Sanchez (PHI): 2-1, 3.42 ERA — coming off a quality start
🔍 Insight: The Phillies walked off the Nats 7–6 in Game 1, but Washington’s young core keeps them competitive. CJ Abrams went 4-for-4 Tuesday and remains a breakout force.
✅ Best Bet: Phillies ML (-230)

Royals at Rays – 7:05 PM
🔹 Noah Cameron (KC): MLB debut — Royals’ No. 5 prospect
🔹 Drew Rasmussen (TB): 1-1, 2.10 ERA — 3-0 vs KC, 2.13 ERA career
🔍 Insight: The Royals have won 7 of 8 but run into Rasmussen, who’s dominated them in the past. Cameron’s debut adds volatility in a tough environment.
✅ Best Bet: Rays ML (-185)

Red Sox at Blue Jays – 7:07 PM
🔹 Lucas Giolito (BOS): First start of 2025 — 6.33 ERA vs TOR last 5
🔹 TBD (TOR): Blue Jays have not announced a starter
🔍 Insight: Boston’s won 3 straight and scored 10+ in back-to-back games. Toronto has dropped 8 of 9 and is struggling to score.
✅ Best Bet: Red Sox ML (-122)

D-backs at Mets – 7:10 PM
🔹 Corbin Burnes (ARI): 0-1, 4.05 ERA — searching for his first win
🔹 Kodai Senga (NYM): 3-0, 1.26 ERA — Cy Young-level dominance
🔍 Insight: The Mets have piled on 27 runs in two games and look unstoppable behind Senga. Burnes needs to be near-perfect to slow New York’s roll.
✅ Best Bet: Mets ML (-105)

Brewers at White Sox – 7:40 PM
🔹 Tobias Myers (MIL): 0-0, 4.50 ERA — rusty in 2025 debut
🔹 Shane Smith (CHW): 1-1, 2.30 ERA — 7 K, 0 ER in last outing
🔍 Insight: Milwaukee’s won 11 of their last 12 against the Sox, and Smith may be their lone bright spot. Brewers are playing steady ball, while Chicago sits at 7-22.
✅ Best Bet: Brewers ML (-166)

Athletics at Rangers – 8:05 PM
🔹 Luis Severino (OAK): 1-3, 3.49 ERA — limiting opponents to .210
🔹 Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 2-2, 2.21 ERA — owns a 0.93 WHIP
🔍 Insight: Texas looks to build on last night’s blowout with Eovaldi on the hill. Oakland’s offense has cooled and now faces the AL’s 4th-best pitching staff.
✅ Best Bet: Rangers ML (-155)

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