Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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🔥 Top Picks

All times ET

Brewers -1.5 (-135) at White Sox – 7:40 pm
Milwaukee turns to Freddy Peralta (2.43 ERA), who owns a 1.80 career ERA vs the Sox. Chicago has dropped 8 of its last 10 and ranks near the bottom in every major offensive category.

Red Sox ML (-142) at Blue Jays – 7:07 pm
Garrett Crochet (1.95 ERA) has been dominant all month, and Boston's riding a hot stretch behind Jarren Duran. Toronto’s dropped five straight and hasn’t scored more than four runs in any of its last 10.

Mets -1.5 (+142) vs Diamondbacks – 7:10 pm
New York’s 12-1 at home and just hung 19 runs on Washington. David Peterson draws a cold D-backs lineup that’s 4-6 in its last 10 and starting Eduardo Rodríguez (4.40 ERA).

⚾ Game Previews

Twins at Guardians – 6:10 PM
🔹 Chris Paddack (MIN): 0-3, 6.45 ERA — rough start to 2025
🔹 Tanner Bibee (CLE): 2-2, 5.19 ERA — 2-0, 2.72 ERA career vs Twins
🔍 Insight: Minnesota’s quietly won 6 of 7 and hammered the Guardians in Monday’s opener. Cleveland has dropped three straight and struggled to keep games close.
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (-148)

Yankees at Orioles – 6:35 PM
🔹 Carlos Rodón (NYY): 3-3, 3.50 ERA — just 1 ER allowed over last 13 IP
🔹 Kyle Gibson (BAL): First start of 2025
🔍 Insight: Baltimore snapped a three-game skid with last night’s win, but faces a red-hot Rodón and a Yankees team that’s 7-0 in division games following a loss. Expect another tight one in this rivalry.
✅ Best Bet: Yankees ML (-148)

Cubs at Pirates – 6:40 PM
🔹 Shota Imanaga (CHC): 2-1, 3.18 ERA — consistent, low WHIP
🔹 Andrew Heaney (PIT): 2-1, 1.72 ERA — 0.77 WHIP, quietly excellent
🔍 Insight: The Cubs are slight road favorites behind Imanaga, though Heaney’s been lights out. Both teams are looking to stop the bleeding after recent losses.
✅ Best Bet: Cubs ML (-142)

Cardinals at Reds – 6:40 PM
🔹 Miles Mikolas (STL): 0-2, 5.70 ERA — seeking first win
🔹 Brady Singer (CIN): 4-0, 3.62 ERA — unbeaten and efficient
🔍 Insight: The Reds have won five straight and are red-hot at home, while the Cards are 2-12 on the road and stuck in neutral. Elly De La Cruz and Noelvi Marte are carrying the offense right now.
✅ Best Bet: Reds ML (-142)

Nationals at Phillies – 6:45 PM
🔹 MacKenzie Gore (WSH): 2-3, 3.34 ERA — 13 K vs PHI on Opening Day
🔹 Zack Wheeler (PHI): 2-1, 3.62 ERA — has allowed 1 HR in every start
🔍 Insight: Philly snapped a 5-game skid and gets a bounce-back spot at home. Washington’s reeling after giving up 19 to the Mets and may struggle to rebound.
✅ Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 (+114)

Royals at Rays – 7:05 PM
🔹 Michael Lorenzen (KC): 2-3, 3.90 ERA — solid veteran
🔹 Taj Bradley (TB): 2-1, 5.08 ERA — inconsistent so far
🔍 Insight: The Rays just swept the Padres and are 8-5 at home. KC has shown flashes, but their bats haven’t matched up well on the road.
✅ Best Bet: Rays ML (-155)

Red Sox at Blue Jays – 7:07 PM
🔹 Garrett Crochet (BOS): 2-2, 1.95 ERA — just 6 ER over last 32 IP
🔹 Bowden Francis (TOR): 3.58 ERA — holding opponents to .103 BA vs Boston
🔍 Insight: Boston's won 4 of 5 and is riding momentum, while the Jays are stuck in a brutal offensive slump. Boston's bullpen also ranks top-5 in ERA.
🔥 Top Pick: Red Sox ML (-142)

D-backs at Mets – 7:10 PM
🔹 Eduardo Rodríguez (ARI): 1-2, 4.40 ERA — inconsistent command
🔹 David Peterson (NYM): 1-1, 3.29 ERA — steady arm behind MLB’s best staff
🔍 Insight: The Mets have scored 29 runs in their last two games and own the league’s best home record. Arizona’s road woes and recent inconsistency set the table for another lopsided affair.
🔥 Top Pick: Mets -1.5 (+142)

Brewers at White Sox – 7:40 PM
🔹 Freddy Peralta (MIL): 2-2, 2.43 ERA — dominant career vs CWS
🔹 Bryse Wilson (CWS): 0-0, 4.30 ERA — revenge spot vs old team
🔍 Insight: Milwaukee hammered STL 7-1 last time out and faces the league’s worst lineup. The Sox are just 2-8 in their last 10.
🔥 Top Pick: Brewers -1.5 (-135)

Athletics at Rangers – 8:05 PM
🔹 Jacob Lopez (OAK): 0-0, 0.00 ERA — first start of the season
🔹 Jacob deGrom (TEX): 0-1, 3.33 ERA — 2 solid starts, still building up
🔍 Insight: deGrom faces a pesky A’s squad that’s won 3 of 4. The Rangers have dropped three straight and need a stabilizer badly.
✅ Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-112)

Tigers at Astros – 8:10 PM
🔹 Reese Olson (DET): 3-1, 3.29 ERA — but 8.00 ERA on the road
🔹 Ryan Gusto (HOU): 3-1, 2.78 ERA — impressive rookie
🔍 Insight: Detroit’s bullpen and overall pitching have carried them, but Olson’s road splits are alarming. Houston’s lineup is heating up at home.
✅ Best Bet: Astros ML (-122)

Braves at Rockies – 8:40 PM
🔹 Bryce Elder (ATL): 1-0, 5.33 ERA — 6 IP, 2 ER vs COL last outing
🔹 Germán Márquez (COL): 0-4, 9.30 ERA — has been shelled all season
🔍 Insight: Braves have won 8 of 10, and Colorado’s now lost 7 straight. Coors Field could mean runs, but Atlanta’s pitching still has the edge.
✅ Best Bet: Braves -1.5 (-125)

Angels at Mariners – 9:40 PM
🔹 Jack Kochanowicz (LAA): 1-3, 5.47 ERA — rookie struggles continue
🔹 Bryce Miller (SEA): 1-3, 4.21 ERA — 1.53 ERA vs LAA in 2024
🔍 Insight: Seattle’s 16-12 and atop the AL West, while the Angels are 1-5 on their road trip and in a tailspin.
✅ Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (+124)

Giants at Padres – 9:40 PM
🔹 Logan Webb (SF): 3-1, 1.98 ERA — ace-level command
🔹 Nick Pivetta (SD): 4-1, 1.20 ERA — nasty splitter working
🔍 Insight: This is a true pitcher's duel. Both teams rely on contact-heavy lineups, and one big swing could decide it.
✅ Best Bet: Under 6.5 (-115)

Marlins at Dodgers – 10:10 PM
🔹 Sandy Alcantara (MIA): 2-2, 6.56 ERA — far from Cy Young form
🔹 Dodgers: TBD
🔍 Insight: LA leads the league in slugging and just walked off the Marlins last night. Alcantara’s struggled to limit damage, especially vs elite bats.
✅ Best Bet: Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

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