Today’s MLB Rundown + Best Bets

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🔥 Top Picks

All times in ET

Tigers -1.5 (+110) vs Orioles – 1:40 PM
Tarik Skubal owns Baltimore, and Detroit’s 12-3 at home. Kremer’s .333 BAA against the Tigers and the O’s .223 team average make this a clean run line spot.

Mets -1.5 (+114) at Nationals – 1:35 PM
Tylor Megill is quietly dominating (1.09 ERA), and the Mets are 9-1 in their last 10. Mitchell Parker has a 9.31 career ERA vs New York, and Washington’s outgunned.

Reds ML (-135) at Rockies – 3:10 PM
Nick Lodolo’s rolling with a 2.79 ERA and gets MLB’s worst team in Coors. Cincy’s won 3 straight while Colorado’s dropped 13 of 14.

⚾ Game Previews

Mets at Nationals – 1:35 PM

🔹 Tylor Megill (NYM): 3-2, 1.09 ERA – Surging with sharp command
🔹 Mitchell Parker (WSH): 1-1, 1.39 ERA – But 9.31 ERA in two career starts vs NY
🔍 Insight: Mets are on fire and Parker’s had no answers for this lineup. With Lindor raking and Alvarez heating up, New York's run line holds strong value.
🔥 Top Pick: Mets -1.5 (+114)

Orioles at Tigers – 1:40 PM

🔹 Dean Kremer (BAL): 2-3, 6.84 ERA – Hit hard in past meetings vs DET
🔹 Tarik Skubal (DET): 2-2, 2.83 ERA – 0.92 WHIP and owns Baltimore
🔍 Insight: Tigers are 12-3 at home and hunting a sweep. With Baltimore bottom-five in most offensive metrics, Skubal’s spot looks dominant.
🔥 Top Pick: Tigers -1.5 (+110)

Red Sox at Guardians – 1:40 PM

🔹 Brayan Bello (BOS): 1-0, 1.80 ERA – Impressive return
🔹 Logan Allen (CLE): 1-1, 2.11 ERA – Just 2 ER over his last three starts
🔍 Insight: Two in-form arms, and both teams are 4-2 in their last six. Guardians are 8-3 at home and Bello could be on a pitch count.
✅ Best Bet: Guardians ML (-115)

Angels at Twins – 1:40 PM

🔹 José Soriano (LAA): 2-3, 4.34 ERA – Coming off a 5 ER outing
🔹 Joe Ryan (MIN): 1-2, 4.00 ERA – Inconsistent but has missed bats
🔍 Insight: Angels have lost six straight on the road, and Minnesota’s slight edge on the mound + home crowd gives them the nod.
✅ Best Bet: Twins ML (-180)

Astros at Royals – 2:10 PM

🔹 Hunter Brown (HOU): 3-1, 1.16 ERA – 4 straight scoreless starts
🔹 Kris Bubic (KC): 2-1, 1.45 ERA – Lights out last time out
🔍 Insight: Pitching duel coming. Brown’s streak is elite, and Houston’s due to bounce back after two shutouts. Royals bullpen may get tested.
✅ Best Bet: Astros ML (-142)

Brewers at Cardinals – 2:15 PM

🔹 José Quintana (MIL): 3-0, 0.96 ERA – Lone bright spot on a slumping squad
🔹 Erick Fedde (STL): 1-2, 3.33 ERA – Has kept the Cards in games
🔍 Insight: Brewers are 4-11 on the road, and STL is 10-4 at home. Despite Quintana’s ERA, Fedde and the Cards have the better setup.
✅ Best Bet: Cardinals ML (-112)

Reds at Rockies – 3:10 PM

🔹 Nick Lodolo (CIN): 2-0, 2.79 ERA – Emerging ace
🔹 Ryan Feltner (COL): 0-1, 3.86 ERA – Mid-pack at best
🔍 Insight: Reds have momentum, and Colorado’s 4-22 overall with a 3-8 home mark. Lodolo should feast, and Cincy looks like a clear play.
🔥 Top Pick: Reds ML (-135)

White Sox at Athletics – 4:05 PM

🔹 Davis Martin (CWS): 1-3, 3.95 ERA – Keeping things respectable
🔹 Osvaldo Bido (OAK): 2-2, 4.85 ERA – Hit-or-miss
🔍 Insight: White Sox are 7-20 and hitting .209. Oakland’s won four of five in this matchup and gets the pitching edge at home.
✅ Best Bet: A’s ML (-218)

Rangers at Giants – 4:05 PM

🔹 Jack Leiter (TEX): 2-0, 0.90 ERA – Nails through two starts
🔹 Jordan Hicks (SF): 1-3, 6.59 ERA – Getting shelled lately
🔍 Insight: Texas isn’t hitting, but Leiter gives them a true edge over Hicks. SF has home-field, but this is a pitching mismatch.
✅ Best Bet: Rangers ML (+114)

Pirates at Dodgers – 4:10 PM

🔹 Bailey Falter (PIT): 1-2, 5.19 ERA – Struggling vs righties
🔹 Tyler Glasnow (LAD): 1-0, 3.71 ERA – 12.2 K/9, .164 BAA
🔍 Insight: Glasnow is lights-out when healthy, and Falter can’t keep this Dodgers lineup in check. LA should roll.
✅ Best Bet: Dodgers -1.5 (-155)

Rays at Padres – 4:10 PM

🔹 Zack Littell (TB): 0-5, 5.28 ERA – Better than record but hittable
🔹 Randy Vasquez (SD): 1-2, 3.97 ERA – Coming off a blowup
🔍 Insight: Rays are surging and San Diego’s depleted. Littell has pitched into bad luck, but Rays have more healthy bats and bullpen edge.
✅ Best Bet: Rays ML (-102)

Marlins at Mariners – 4:10 PM

🔹 Max Meyer (MIA): 2-2, 2.10 ERA – Best Marlins arm
🔹 Logan Evans (SEA): MLB debut
🔍 Insight: Meyer gives Miami a shot, especially against a debut arm. Value sits squarely with the underdog here.
✅ Best Bet: Marlins ML (+124)

Braves at D-backs – 4:10 PM

🔹 Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL): 1-1, 2.56 ERA – Command has been sharp
🔹 Brandon Pfaadt (ARI): 4-1, 2.73 ERA – Stable and reliable
🔍 Insight: Atlanta’s lineup is rolling and looking for the sweep. Both pitchers are dealing, but lean goes to the hotter bats.
✅ Best Bet: Braves ML (-115)

Blue Jays at Yankees (Game 1) – 1:35 PM

🔹 Kevin Gausman (TOR): 2-2, 3.16 ERA – Fly-ball risk at Yankee Stadium
🔹 Max Fried (NYY): 4-0, 1.42 ERA – Domination mode
🔍 Insight: Toronto’s good vs lefties, but Gausman’s fly balls and the short porch could haunt. Bronx bats are alive.
✅ Best Bet: Yankees -1.5 (-102)

Blue Jays at Yankees (Game 2) – 6:35 PM

🔹 Chris Bassitt (TOR): 2-1, 1.88 ERA – Locked in lately
🔹 Clarke Schmidt (NYY): 0-1, 7.45 ERA – Been getting torched
🔍 Insight: Huge pitching mismatch here. If the Jays drop Game 1, look for them to bounce hard here with Bassitt vs. Schmidt.
✅ Best Bet: Blue Jays ML (+136)

Phillies at Cubs – 7:10 PM

🔹 Aaron Nola (PHI): 0-5, 6.43 ERA – Falling apart
🔹 Jameson Taillon (CHC): 1-1, 4.73 ERA – Solid enough at home
🔍 Insight: Cubs are 6-1 in their last seven at Wrigley. Nola’s trending the wrong way and Philly’s lineup is slumping.
✅ Top Pick: Cubs ML (-120)

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