Every day we send quick, no-fluff MLB previews with simple takeaways for every matchup.

You'll find our Best Bets powered by state-of-the-art AI to spot value edges, followed by straightforward game previews.

Reply with your thoughts, bets, or anything else (we read everything), and follow us on X/IG: @BetMonteCarmelo.

🔥 Top 3 Picks

Astros/Cardinals UNDER 8.5

Two veteran starters who miss bats, plus Houston's elite staff (30% K rate) vs a Cardinals lineup built on contact — this one profiles as a pitcher’s duel.

Mets -1.5 vs Twins

The Mets are rolling (10-5), led by the league’s best staff, and face a Minnesota team that can’t hit righties and has dropped 5 of its last 7.

Padres -1.5 vs Cubs

San Diego is a perfect 10-0 at home and hasn’t allowed a run after the 6th inning in three straight. Cease needs a bounceback, but the bullpen and bats have been elite.

⚾ Game Previews

Tigers at Brewers

Detroit’s off to a strong 9–6 start behind ace Tarik Skubal, who just blanked the Yankees. The Brewers have shown flashes — especially rookie Jackson Chourio — but remain inconsistent at the plate.

• Stat: Tigers bullpen walk rate since 2023: 7% — best in MLB.

Mets at Twins

New York’s pitching staff (2.30 ERA) has carried them to 10 wins in 15 games, and Clay Holmes adds 20 Ks in 14.2 IP. Minnesota is 5–11, can’t hit righties, and has managed just 23 runs in its last 7 games.

• Stat: Twins OPS vs RHP: .393 — worst in MLB.

Braves at Blue Jays

Atlanta’s in freefall at 4–11, including a brutal 1–9 road record, and the bats have vanished. Toronto’s Easton Lucas hasn’t allowed a run yet and George Springer (.375, 10 RBI) is heating up.

• Stat: Blue Jays batting .298 vs lefties this season — 4th-best in MLB.

Red Sox at Rays

Boston’s been boom-or-bust at the plate, crushing when ahead in counts but striking out way too much. The Rays (7–8) haven’t hit, but Shane Baz and their starters dominate with two strikes.

• Stat: Rays starters: 46% strikeout rate in 2-strike counts since 2023 — best in MLB.

Royals at Yankees

Kansas City’s sitting at .500 behind stellar road pitching and Seth Lugo’s 13-inning scoreless streak away from home. The Yankees started hot but have scored just 23 runs during their recent 2–5 skid.

• Stat: Yankees starters’ ERA: 5.40 — worst in MLB.

Nationals at Pirates

Paul Skenes is quickly becoming a must-watch for Pittsburgh, but the Pirates have lost 11 of 16 and can’t hit. The Nats are young, contact-heavy, and have covered the run line in 9 straight Monday NL road games.

• Stat: Nats bullpen OPS allowed to leadoff hitters last season: .933 — highest in MLB.

Astros at Cardinals

Houston (7–8) has leaned on dominant starting pitching but hasn’t hit outside of Yordan Alvarez. St. Louis (also 7–8) has found some rhythm at the plate and has been dangerous at home, but pitching remains shaky.

• Stat: Astros starters: 30% strikeout rate — best in MLB.

Cubs at Padres

The Cubs are hot (11–7), but run into a buzzsaw in San Diego, where the 13–3 Padres are unbeaten at home and thriving on both sides of the ball. Dylan Cease looks to bounce back after a meltdown vs Oakland.

• Stat: Padres home record: 10-0 — allowing just 1.10 runs per game.

Rockies at Dodgers

Colorado’s been completely lifeless, shut out for 27 innings and just 3–12 overall. Dustin May and the Dodgers (11–6) look to snap a cold streak of their own against a team they’ve beaten 8 of the last 10.

• Stat: Rockies road batting average: .172 — lowest in MLB.

Giants at Phillies

San Francisco is hot (11–4) with a lineup that’s slugging everything — 51% of their hits have gone for extra bases. Philly’s bullpen has been lights out in pressure spots, and they’ve been tough at home (5–1).

• Stat: Giants opponent AVG w/ RISP vs starters: .345 — highest in MLB.

Reply

or to participate

Keep Reading

No posts found