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🔥 Top Picks
Tigers +124 vs Twins
Detroit leads MLB in slugging with the bases empty and torches breaking balls, while Chris Paddack owns a brutal .533 average allowed first time through lineups. Jackson Jobe’s command has been shaky, but Minnesota’s .168 OBP vs lefties is the worst in baseball.
Nationals +1.5 (-135) at Marlins
Sandy Alcantara has dominated the Nats historically, but Washington’s contact-heavy lineup and Miami’s disastrous bullpen (6.23 ERA) flip the edge. Nationals have now covered eight straight as road dogs vs Miami.
⚾ Game Previews
Blue Jays vs Orioles
Bowden Francis leads a Toronto rotation with an absurd .325 OPS allowed with two strikes, while Tomoyuki Sugano faces a Jays lineup hitting .272 on breaking balls. Baltimore’s offense has gone cold, and Toronto’s defense leads MLB in non-routine plays.
• Stat: Blue Jays starters have allowed just a .375 OPS with RISP — best in MLB.
Tigers vs Twins
Chris Paddack has been shelled early, and Detroit’s lineup has crushed breaking stuff all season. Jackson Jobe walks too many, but Minnesota has an MLB-worst .200 SLG vs lefties.
• Stat: Tigers lead MLB with a .544 SLG with bases empty.
Red Sox vs White Sox
Martin Perez has a sub-1.00 ERA but gets shaky third time through, which sets up Boston's hitters who rake late (.266 AVG after 80+ pitches). Richard Fitts looks for his first win against a White Sox offense ranked dead last in OBP.
• Stat: White Sox average 3.16 runs per game — worst in MLB.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks
Corbin Burnes faces his old squad after a rough last outing, while Chad Patrick tries to neutralize Arizona’s elite fastball hitting (.843 OPS vs 95+ mph). Milwaukee’s bullpen crushes righties, and their patient approach travels well.
• Stat: Brewers relievers hold RHB to a .631 OPS — best in MLB.
Rays vs Braves
Drew Rasmussen’s 46% K rate with two strikes anchors the Rays, who also lead the league in walk rate. Atlanta is dangerous early in counts but hit just .172 with two strikes this year.
• Stat: Braves are 0-8 on the road this season.
Royals vs Guardians
Kris Bubic hasn’t allowed a run yet and Kansas City’s road ERA leads MLB, but the bats are ice-cold (.086 vs 95+ mph). Tanner Bibee needs to overcome Cleveland’s league-low 30% K rate with two strikes.
• Stat: Royals scoring 2.40 runs/game in April — lowest in MLB.
Nationals vs Marlins
Sandy Alcantara owns the Nationals (2.06 ERA last 5 vs WAS), but Miami’s bullpen has imploded with a 15% K rate and a 6.23 ERA. Trevor Williams has struggled vs the Marlins, but Washington hits .345 with two strikes — best in baseball.
• Stat: Nationals are 8-0 ATS as road dogs vs Miami.
Phillies vs Cardinals
Cristopher Sanchez faces a Cards lineup hitting .237 vs lefties, and Phillies starters allow just a .102 AVG with RISP. Miles Mikolas counters, but Philly's offense thrives with two outs and against lefties.
• Stat: Phillies have a .254 AVG with two outs — best in MLB.
Pirates vs Reds
Andrew Heaney has owned the Reds in his career and faces a lineup hitting just .071 with two strikes this month. Andrew Abbott makes his season debut for Cincinnati against a Pirates team that hits .198 overall.
• Stat: Reds batting .043 on pitches outside the zone — worst in MLB.
Rangers vs Mariners
Kumar Rocker has struggled badly vs lefties (.478 OBP allowed), while Bryan Woo’s control has been elite the second time through lineups (1% walk rate). The Rangers’ bats have been undisciplined, and Seattle owns MLB's best home pitching since 2023.
• Stat: Mariners hitting .171 at home — worst in MLB.
Athletics vs Mets
JP Sears faces a Mets team with elite bullpen support (1.27 ERA), and Canning gets the nod for New York’s MLB-best pitching staff (2.41 ERA). Oakland has mashed lefties but has lost control of games late all season.
• Stat: Mets are 74-22 when allowing 4 runs or fewer since 2023.
Rockies vs Padres
Kyle Hart (11.12 ERA) and Chase Dollander (7.20 ERA) both struggle, but San Diego’s lineup is rolling behind Tatis and MLB’s lowest strikeout rate. Colorado’s staff is last in ERA and K rate, and they've been brutal on the road.
• Stat: Padres are 8-0 at home this season.
Angels vs Astros
Tyler Anderson faces Ryan Gusto, who’s been sharp in relief but makes his first MLB start. The Angels lead the AL in runs per game this month and feast on starters third time through.
• Stat: Angels have 8 HR when facing SP for a third time — most in MLB.
Giants vs Yankees
Jordan Hicks has been lights out on the road for the 10-3 Giants, while rookie Will Warren takes the ball for a Yankees team with a 7.44 home ERA in April. San Francisco's bullpen has struck out 42% of lefties this week.
• Stat: Giants’ road ERA is 2.74 — 2nd-best in MLB.
Cubs vs Dodgers
Ben Brown’s 7.71 ERA sets up LA’s red-hot offense, while Roki Sasaki tries to harness his electric stuff despite 11 walks in 8.2 innings. Chicago’s offense leads the NL in two-out runs and has grounded into the fewest double plays.
• Stat: Dodgers are 6-0 at home and lead MLB with 29 home runs.