
We deliver concise MLB previews with key takeaways for every matchup, so you’re informed without the hassle. Our AI-driven analysis simulates sports traders’ betting strategies to identify the best bets.
We’re most active on Twitter. Reply to this email with your thoughts, bets, or anything else — we respond to every reply.
🔥 Top Picks
Over 8.0 (-106) – Cubs @ Brewers – 9:08 PM ET
Shota Imanaga’s 2025 analytics were concerning (37th percentile xERA, 11th percentile average exit velocity), and Milwaukee put up 9 runs in Game 1. With Aaron Ashby serving as an opener before a multi-armed bullpen approach, the setup points to higher scoring potential.
Dodgers ML (-132) @ Phillies – 6:08 PM ET
Blake Snell struck out 35.4% of hitters since September 1 and recorded 12 strikeouts against these same Phillies a few weeks ago. Los Angeles posted a 113 wRC+ in September (fifth in MLB) and now faces Jesús Luzardo, who allowed 4 runs over 7 innings in his last start versus L.A.
Under 7.5 (-109) – Dodgers @ Phillies – 6:08 PM ET
Blake Snell and Jesús Luzardo are both strikeout-first lefties. The Phillies struck out in 24% of their plate appearances against left-handed pitching this season, fifth-highest in the NL, while Dodgers starters posted a 47% strikeout rate with two strikes (second-best in MLB).
Sponsored
🎯 Boost Your Edge with Novig
Looking for better odds and a smarter way to play? Check out Novig — the #1 Sports Prediction Market in the U.S.
🧠 On Novig, you trade, not bet. That means:
You play against other users, not the house
You can set your own odds or take the best available
You can play with Coins for fun, or trade Cash for the chance to win real rewards
💸 Use code MONTE on your first purchase to get a 50% match up to $25.
✅ Available in 42 states | Must be 21+ | No purchase necessary
Join the future of sports trading → Join Novig
⚾ Game Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers (1-0, 1.000) @ Philadelphia Phillies (0-1, .000) – 6:08 PM ET
🔥 Top Pick: Dodgers ML (-132)
🔹 Blake Snell (LAD): 5-4, 2.35 ERA, 72 SO — 35.4% K rate since Sept. 1; 12 Ks vs PHI in last meeting
🔹 Jesús Luzardo (PHI): 15-7, 3.92 ERA, 216 SO — allowed 4 ER over 7 IP to LAD in last start
🔍 The Dodgers took Game 1 behind Shohei Ohtani’s nine strikeouts and a lineup featuring Freeman and Betts producing consistently. Philadelphia counters with Trea Turner’s speed, Bohm’s ability to work counts, and Realmuto’s clutch hitting after his Game 1 two-run triple.
💰 Odds: Dodgers -132, Phillies +109 | Total: 7.5
Chicago Cubs (0-1, .000) @ Milwaukee Brewers (1-0, 1.000) – 9:08 PM ET
🔥 Top Pick: Over 8.0 (-106)
🔹 Shota Imanaga (CHC): 9-8, 3.73 ERA, 117 SO — 37th percentile xERA; Cubs 1-4 in his last five starts
🔹 Aaron Ashby (MIL): 5-2, 2.16 ERA, 76 SO — opener role before Milwaukee’s deep bullpen
🔍 Milwaukee won Game 1 by a 9-3 margin at home and looks to take a 2-0 series lead. William Contreras has hit Imanaga hard (.300 AVG, .900 SLG, two HR in 11 PA), while Jackson Chourio is day-to-day with a right hamstring injury.
💰 Odds: Brewers -132, Cubs +108 | Total: 8.0
👀 New to Monte Carmelo?
Preview every MLB game today with our short-form write-ups. Each newsletter has:
🔮 Best Bets at the top.
📊 Game Previews below.
👀 Plus, we’re building tools to let you experiment on your own - more coming soon…
Are you a sportsbook operator? Reply to this email to discuss integrating our live game write-ups into your platform or explore our B2B site: montecarmelo.info
Interested in making your own newsletter? Use the link below to receive a 30-day trial + 20% OFF for 3 months on Beehiiv! Reply to this email, and we’ll even help you get started with AI tips and tricks to jumpstart your journey